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Parche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 11:29 AM
Original message
Stopoilspeculationnow
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 11:34 AM
Response to Original message
1. kneejerk crap
Oil 'speculation' has existed for decades. So has "speculation" in every other capital market.



All 2 way auction markets encourage market participants to take place in price discovery.

Futures markets are zero sum, and there MUST be equal short positions to correspond to long positions.

You are being sucked in by the MSM and their fear of EVIL SPECULATORS!!!! oh noes!
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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 11:44 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Commodities markets should be restricted to those actually wanting to take delivery
The commodity markets sole reason for existing is to facilitate the sale of necessary commodities, they were never designed to be a market for speculators.
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 11:48 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. actually,
they were designed *(hundreds of years ago) to help commercials (producers AND consumers) to hedge

here's a hint.

Only consumers would ever want to take delivery.

"speculators" are part of price discovery.

I am not aware of ANY market that has not experienced bubbles (and bear markets) in the past. Oil is NO different.

And all the kneejerk'ers start decrying evil speculators now that we have an oil bubble.

It's ridiculous kneejerk crap and you are being spoonfed by the MSM

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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. You must be a speculator, or an oil employee
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. translation
You have no argument, no data (COT reports), and make no sense. You are just parroting MSM pap.

So, you devolve to attacking the messenger cause you have nothing else.

Typical low information posting

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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:10 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. The Danger of Speculation


It’s time to speak the truth. No more disingenuous questioning and wondering. No more exasperated resignation. We know the reason why oil prices are high, and it’s time to admit it and do something about it.

Oil prices are high because of speculation, pure and simple. That’s not an assertion, that’s a fact. Yet rather than attack the speculation and rid ourselves of the problem, we flail away at the symptoms. High gasoline prices? Oh, let’s use hybrid cars, or drill in the Rockies or off the California coast. How about doubling the use of ethanol, even though it costs more to produce than the energy you get out of it? Then again, we can go to Alaska, or build more refineries, or triple the number of nuclear power plants. Sound good?

What if we just stopped the speculation?

No, you can’t do that! That would be interfering with the “free” market.

Hey, the “free” market is starting to get awfully expensive.

Tell me, how is it free when speculators rule the roost? It’s one thing when they do what they do with pieces of paper called stocks, but it’s another when they do it with a vital commodity like oil. We saw the devastation their behavior wrought in the 1990s, and we’re witnessing it again right now.

More-
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,166038,00.html
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. again, you are parroting
the MSM.

typical

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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:20 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. You really are coming across as someone with a vested interest in high oil prices
Typical.
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:25 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. actually the exact opposite
I am short the front month contract from the break of support @ 130 as i posted here a couple of weeks ago.

it's currently 123.70

So, I am UP 6.30 because I am short

I have covered 1/2 +5 and will hold my short with a stop @ entry on the 2nd half

so, considering I am currently profiting from the fall, what you say is demonstrably false

feel free to research my support @ 130 post a couple of weeks ago

again, you present no argument. you just parrot the MSM and then accuse me, because you have no argument

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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. So you DO have a vested interest
No wonder the thought of ending oil speculation is a nightmare for you.

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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. lol
"ending oil speculation"

low information posters will come in here AFTER a bubble and say "we need to get rid of these evul specultoors!"

never fails.

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johnaries Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #17
28. Thank you for outing yourself.
Edited on Mon Jul-28-08 09:27 PM by johnaries
Yes, you "make money" if prices go down, but you make even more money if prices go up and then down.

Now every thing makes sense. Why you argue so vehemently against expert opinions and even "common sense". Why you argue so vehemently against limits on "short selling".

And why you argue so vehemently against requiring "physical possesion".

Thank you for exposing yourself and the motivations behind your lies. I apologize that we weren't so easily mislead as you obviously expected. But that's part of the game of speculation, just like Poker. How stupid do you think the other guy is? Obviously, you misunderestimated DU. Cash in your chips and go home.
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XRubicon Donating Member (193 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:08 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Consumers take delivery of oil?
Here is a hint for you- refiners take delivery of crude oil not consumers. Financial speculators buy and sell futures and never take delivery.

You probably believe the dot com bubble was driven by supply and demand because "thats how the stock market works".

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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #10
19. actually, no
Consumers DO (occasionally take delivery)

try not to lecture me on oil trading since I do it nearly every day (QM)

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Parche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. No Its Not
Its the Enron loophole, look what Enron did to the Electricity Market.
If they regulated Speculators so they would have to put up 100%, instead of the 10-20%
this would not be happening,

Consumption didnt go up overnight, agreed it is a big part, but this is speculation driven.........:hi:
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Lol.
So, at what point did speculators have to put up 100% when purcashing futures contracts?

(I can't wait for you to find out the answer)

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Parche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:13 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. Right Now
They dont, that is why they are getting away with what they are doing, they only have to put up 10-20% When they should put up 100%, that would stop the "Enron' type speculation.....

:hi:
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:14 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. you are evading
You said it was the enron loophole

I said AT WHAT POINT DID SPECULATORS EVER HAVE TO PUT UP 100%?

and you failed to answer.

once you find out the answer, you will realize your "enron loophole" claim is erroneous

here, i'll give you a hint.

www.nymex.com is where crude trades.

feel free to research.

you might then realize you are wrong

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Parche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:19 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Just What I Said
They never had to put up 100%, that is the problem
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. my understanding
was that you referred to it a the enron loophole

traders have been trading on margin for CENTURIES was my point

i significantly predates enron

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Parche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:37 PM
Response to Reply #18
22. Maybe I Miscommunicated
They are doing the same thing as Enron did back in 2000-2001.....

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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. well, yes
in a sense. in that ENE traders were spec'ing in the energy markets.

the difference is that ENE spec's were actually manipulating the SUPPLY of energy while simultaneous trading it

that's similar to insider trading, and it's illegal

merely spec'ing is not

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Parche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:55 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. In a sense
Speculating is not, but how they are trading the 'Enron' way it is.....
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aspergris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:58 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. not sure what you mean
in that a LOT of speculators got WIPED out by this pop in oil, since (futures markets are zero sum, remember?) a huge lot of them were SHORT and got crushed.

their margin calls and forced covering helped fuel the bubble.

heck, nearly every bubble is partially fueled by those on the wrong side of the price action getting walloped and being forced to cover

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johnaries Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 01:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
26. Here you are again.
You are wrong. First of all, Google Enron Loophole. Speculators did not have the ability to hide their "deals" until the Enron Loophole which also allowed Enron to manipulate the market and caused the California Energy Crisis in 2000.

BTW, just curious, what do you do for a living?
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RB TexLa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 01:07 PM
Response to Reply #1
27. I wish I could recommend your post. Thank you.
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antigop Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
4. What are these guys up to these days?
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Squatch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
9. Sto poils pecula tion ow?
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