Look at this! The Atlantic ocean is swarming with storms!

[Breeze54]

The Triad: Gustav, Hanna and Ike. An Update.

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/basin-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&basin=atlantic

[SharonRB]

1. Calling Al Gore!

Wow. Just wow.

[avaistheone1]

2. That looks mighty scary.

Is that normal during a hurricane?

[kdmorris]

7. It's normal during a busy hurricane season

2004 and 2005 were similar to this. Most seasons are not like this

[Cetacea]

36. In other words, it's not normal.

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2008/20080807_hurricaneoutlook.html

[Breeze54]

10. Yeah, they spin off Africa and head west or north... but it looks amazing!

Doesn't it?

[Catherine Vincent]

3. Do they know where this storm after Hanna is heading to?

I think they named it Ike.

[Chovexani]

5. Last I saw on the news

It was booking straight west to FL, but it's still too far out to really track it accurately.

[Breeze54]

13. Gustav Tuesday as a Cat 4; Hanna Friday as a Cat 3; Ike Tuesday the 9th

Gustav Tuesday as a Cat 4; Hanna Friday as a Cat 3; Ike Tuesday the 9th

http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?blog=meteomadness&partner=&pgUrl=/mtweb/content/meteomadness/archives/2008/08/gustav_tuesday_as_a_cat_4_hanna_friday_as_a_cat_3_ike_tuesday_the_9th.asp

THREE MAJOR HITS ON THE U.S. BETWEEN THE 1ST AND THE 10TH OF SEPTEMBER....

snip-->

Speaking of Hanna, I still think Hanna becomes a Category 3 storm and heads across South Florida on Thursday and hits the Gulf coast on Friday somewhere in the Florida Panhandle. The worst case scenario, New Orleans escapes Gustav, but gets hit from Hanna coming in from the Southeast. It is also possible that South Florida takes a double hit by Hanna first and a few days later Ike. The Euro model takes Ike into South Florida by the 9th and a major hurricane. My concern is, that Ike becomes the East Coast storm that we all have been fearing would happen. I say that becomes the timing of the trough coming into the East could pick up Ike and bring it up the coast. We have plenty of time to look at that. In the mean time, we have Gustav on Tuesday and Hanna later in the week...

More...

[malaise]

27. Isn't that Ike now? n/t

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200809_sat.html

[Breeze54]

28. Ike is still a TS and to far out yet.

[bdamomma]

42. is Ike looking for Tina?

just being silly.

[Motown_Johnny]

4. Yep.. the next story will be Hannah moving toward the east coast or Florida

Repugs won't get many news cycles out of their convention

[ClarkUSA]

6. 3 hurricanes are moving towards the Gulf this week... the RNC must be gnashing their teeth

The biggest one is due to make landfall on the night planned for McCain's convention speech.

[kdmorris]

11. Where did you get that information?

Hanna is supposed to hit anywhere from the SE coast of Florida to the Outer Banks of NC. Ike is really too far out to tell. His 5 day cone only takes him to the Bahamas. The third storm out there has not been named a Tropical Depression yet (though she is expected to become Josephine tomorrow).

Now, if you want to say there are 3 POSSIBLE land falling hurricanes moving toward the US, that would be accurate.

[Breeze54]

14. Ike is possibly a major Hurricane and possible it may hit the East Coast. NY, RI, MA, CT, ME, NH

http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?blog=meteomadness&partner=&pgUrl=/mtweb/content/meteomadness/archives/2008/08/gustav_tuesday_as_a_cat_4_hanna_friday_as_a_cat_3_ike_tuesday_the_9th.asp

[kdmorris]

15. That's not the Gulf though

And Ike hasn't become a hurricane, yet. It is forecast by a couple of reliable models to become a major hurricane, but at one point, Hanna was forecast to not become a hurricane until tomorrow sometime.

From the NHC 11 PM discussion on Ike:

THE INTENSITY MODELS GENERALLY
AGREE ON A CLIMATOLOGICAL STRENGTHENING RATE WITH TIME...AND SUGGEST
THAT IKE WILL BECOME A HURRICANE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. THERE IS
HOWEVER A LITTLE DIVERGENCE IN WHAT THE MODELS ARE INDICATING
BEYOND 48 HOURS. BOTH THE GFDL AND THE HWRF INTENSIFY IKE INTO A
POWERFUL HURRICANE WHILE THE SHIPS AND LGEM INDICATE WEAKENING
DUE TO INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS AND IS VERY CLOSE TO
THE ICON INTENSITY CONSENSUS.

I understand what you are saying, but all that is still what is POSSIBLE, not what IS. And the link you posted was written Saturday morning. A LOT has changed since then. The likelihood of Hanna crossing Florida and entering the Gulf isn't even being entertained anymore. It is likely heading for SC.

[Breeze54]

17. It depends if the jet stream lifts enough to let Ike head northeast or west... it depends.

They're watching it but the experts at that link are saying the Euro model shows Ike as being major.

I didn't say it was written in stone and in fact I used the word "possible" twice.

Atlantic Storms -- Ike - 2008

Ike Position - Sept. 1st, 2008

[kdmorris]

20. You did

I am completely one edge and I am sorry if it seemed like I was chastising you. That wasn't the case. It depends is the mantra of people who do hurricane forecasting and sometimes, it makes people crazy.

Yes, Ike will probably become a major storm. I hope it goes out to sea because I can't wish that it goes anywhere in the Gulf, Hanna will probably mess up parts of the Carolinas, but I sure don't want it to come here as a major, either.

I am going to bed. I wasn't trying to fight with you and I apologize if it seemed like that.

[Breeze54]

22. It's ok... we're all tired.... Peace and sleep tight.

:hi:

[ClarkUSA]

40. Heard it on MSNBC -- David Shuster was talking to the meteorologist yesterday

The meteorologist said it.

[Cascades07]

8. That hopes

Hopes no one turns out to be deadly.

[Breeze54]

30. Welcome to DU, Cascades07 !

:hi:

I hope they all fizzle out too!

[distantearlywarning]

9. And maybe Josephine by this time tomorrow

Pretty crazy weather this week.

[Breeze54]

19. No, Josephine is after Ike.... next week; if it becomes a storm or fizzles.

We'll have to wait and see. ;)

Atlantic Storms - Josephine - 2008

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&stormNum=9&storm=Josephine&ocean=atlantic

Prior Storm (Ike) | Next Storm (Kyle)

No Information at this Time

[mnhtnbb]

12. Wow. Here in NC we're watching Hanna. One swimmer drowned at Kure Beach today.

[kdmorris]

16. Good luck!

We are still watching it in SE Florida, but that seems to be kind of far-fetched at this point. Only the UKMET seems to think it will come here. Maybe we will all get lucky and some of the stupider models will pan out for once, thereby sending Hanna out to sea and out of all of our hair!

[alfredo]

18. A Hanna animation

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200808_v5d.html?extraprod=v5d#a_topad

[Breeze54]

21. Thanks... here's one for you - 'Hanna Forecast Eye Path'

Atlantic Storms - Hanna - 2008

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?ocean=atlantic&storm=Hanna&imagetype=move&stormNum=7

Hanna Forecast Eye Path

[Lex]

23. Looks like we're getting plenty of rain in central NC this weekend.

Maybe it will dodge our NC coast, though. I just wish it would go away altogether, but that's not going to happen. :(

[Breeze54]

24. Looks like it'll be a tropical storm... rain and wind

maybe the rain will help with any droughts there?

At least it's not a Cat 5!! Hang in there!

I hope Ike doesn't hit the east coast.... I mean north east.

Or anywhere for that matter but we shall see in a few days.

[Alwayshere]

25. Yes

And those which are near the coast of Africa have a good chance of veering towards the north, missing land.

[Breeze54]

26. They all come off Africa.... where they go

depends on the jet stream.

Welcome to DU, Alwayshere! :hi:

[dysfunctional press]

29. if history is any judge- florida and the corlinas have nothing to fear from hanna...

[Breeze54]

31. Funny! Hanna's headed right for Florida...

Hanna Forecast Eye Path


http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&storm=Hanna&ocean=atlantic&stormNum=7&imagetype=move

[alfredo]

32. Better to pass to the east than the west.

[Breeze54]

33. Not if you live on the East Coast!

:(

[alfredo]

37. The wind and rain are heavier on the eastern side.

[dysfunctional press]

34. 4 out of 6 computer models say no...

but it looks like socar might be in a for a history-maker.

[Breeze54]

35. I don't know... it turns back to a TS before SC n/t

[dysfunctional press]

38. this projection shows it hitting socar as a cat 2 or 1..

but it'll be after the repug convention, so fuck'em, i guess...:shrug: as far as the party, the candidate and the media will be concerned.

[Breeze54]

44. No, that icon means Tropical Storm and it''s been downgraded to a TS today. n/t

[Quantess]

39. The "Bermuda Triangle".

I wonder how many small planes will be lost this week in the Bermuda Triangle?

Anyway, seriously, it looks like you're in for some harsh weather. Stay safe.

[bdamomma]

41. to all those who do not believe in Global warming

mother nature is striking back.

[alfredo]

43. It's the fault of that A hole from Focus on the Family that tried to get God

to rain on Obama's parade.