passing this along.... Political Scientists Predict Victory for Obama

[radfringe]

Political Scientists Predict Victory for Obama, or a Tight Race
By David Glenn, Chronicle of Higher Education, September 2, 2008

Will Barack Obama cruise to victory in November -- or will the contest be Bush-Gore tight? Both scenarios were sketched here on Friday during the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association when eight scholars offered stylized forecasting models for this fall's election.

Seven of the scholars predicted popular-vote victories for Mr. Obama, but two of them forecast margins so thin that they said he might easily lose the Electoral College. The eighth panelist was not ready to make an official call because his model is based partly on Labor Day opinion polls. But he said it was very possible that his model would predict a victory for John McCain.

-----

rest of article is here: http://stone-waves.blogspot.com/

[radfringe]

1. ...bump

[a kennedy]

2. kick

:patriot:

[KansDem]

3. To paraphrase Idlai Stevenson...

...but he needs a majority to win.

Stevenson's wit was legendary. During one of Stevenson's presidential campaigns, allegedly, a supporter told him that he was sure to "get the vote of every thinking man" in the U.S., to which Stevenson is said to have replied, "Thank you, but I need a majority to win."

Wikipedia

[trayfoot]

4. This doesn't sound particularly encouraging to me.

eom