Trend
Rasmussen
Gallup
Hotline/FD
FOX
NBC/WSJ
CBS News
CNN
ABC/WP
IBD/TIPP
USA/Gallup
Hotline/FD
CBS News
USA/Gallup
CBS News
CNN
Registered V
vs Likely V
Poll Averages
Date
9/10
9/10
9/10
9/09
9/08
9/07
9/07
9/07
9/07
9/07
9/04
9/03
8/31
8/31
8/31
Size
3000 LV
2765 RV
924 RV
900 RV
1000 RV
655 RV
942 RV
1000 LV
868 RV
823 LV
916 RV
734 RV
1835 RV
781 RV
927 RV
RV avg
LV avg
Total
MoE
1.79%
1.86%
3.22%
3.27%
3.10%
3.83%
3.19%
3.10%
3.33%
3.42%
3.24%
3.62%
2.29%
3.51%
3.22%
Obama
48
44
44
42
46
44
48
47
40
44
46
42
50
48
49
45.4
46.3
45.5
McCain
48
48
46
45
45
46
48
49
45
54
40
42
43
40
48
44.8
50.3
45.8
Other
4
8
10
13
9
10
4
4
15
2
14
16
7
12
3
9.8
3.3
8.7
Spread
0
(4)
(2)
(3)
1
(2)
0
(2)
(5)
(10)
6
0
7
8
1
0.5
(4.0)
(0.3)
Obama
44.8
44.0
44.8
45.4
45.0
44.6
45.0
43.8
44.4
46.0
47.0
47.2
47.6
47.2
47.4
McCain
46.4
46.0
46.0
46.6
46.6
48.4
47.2
46.0
44.8
43.8
42.6
44.0
43.6
44.0
44.6
Obama
50.1
50.0
50.3
50.2
50.0
48.8
49.7
49.9
50.9
52.1
53.2
52.5
52.9
52.5
52.2
McCain
49.9
50.0
49.7
49.8
50.0
51.2
50.3
50.1
49.1
47.9
46.8
47.5
47.1
47.5
47.8
Spread
0.2
0.0
0.6
0.4
0.1
(2.4)
(0.6)
(0.2)
1.8
4.2
6.5
5.0
5.8
5.0
4.4
Win Prob
53.5
50.0
57.7
54.8
51.0
27.0
42.2
48.0
69.8
88.8
97.5
91.0
99.3
91.7
91.0