http://swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do;jsessionid=FCEE7381AF47AD83D90A5429B69332ED?diaryId=3110Public Policy Polling (9/17-19, likely voters, 9/9 in parens):
Kay Hagan (D): 46 (43)
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 41 (42)
Christopher Cole (L): 6 (6)
Undecided: 7 (9)
(MoE: ±3%)
Hoo-ah! Those are some damn good numbers for Kay Hagan. What's driving her success? Well, you could say: It's the economy, stupid.
58% of voters name the "Economy and Jobs" as their most important issue this year, and imcumbency is poison to these voters: Hagan leads by 57-30 among this group. Tom Jensen has more:
She's also doing well with North Carolina's fastest growing group of voters: suburbanites. They now represent a plurality of the state's voters, and Hagan is the most popular with them of any of the candidates for President, Governor, and Senate. She leads 53-36 with that emerging power broker.
Also contributing to Hagan's strength is her steady improvement among African-American voters (a group that Dole performed well with in 2002... for a Republican); Hagan now leads by 79-11 among these voters. That's up from 52-28 in July.
I like this race more and more everyday.
SSP currently rates NC-Sen as a Tossup.