The recent demand by Treasury Secretary Paulson that the U.S. taxpayer (mostly the poor and the middle class) bailout Wall Street (the wealthy) has left many Americans wondering: Why?
Fortunately for the American people, Secretary Paulson appeared on
Meet the Press last Sunday to
explain why this is necessary. The following are the relevant excerpts from
Meet the Press where he tried to explain
why the American people must immediately hand over nearly a trillion dollars to Wall Street – with key points in italics:
Last week there were times when the capital markets or credit markets were frozen. American companies weren’t able to raise financing. That has very serious consequences. So what we need to do right now is stabilize the markets, and this is for the, for the benefit of the taxpayers we’re doing this, the American public…
But it is far better than the alternative. The situation we had last week, where credit markets were frozen – you know, the stock market… They watched the stock market drop about 1,000 points and then recover on the news of this plan…And when companies can’t borrow money and – this has a big impact on everyone. It’s difficult to get jobs, it hurts people’s budgets, retirement savings…
We’re preventing failure. We – the financial institutions are clogged with illiquid loans, so what we need to do is quickly buy those loans. They won’t be giving us control of real estate, but this – we need to manage these assets and manage them quickly…
It would have been, in my judgment, unthinkable to have AIG declare bankruptcy. And you know, Tom, they were a few hours away from declaring bankruptcy…we avoided a real catastrophe in our financial markets…we did this to protect the taxpayer…
We’re going to stabilize the financial markets.
To paraphrase this whole thing, I would simply say: We need to immediately stabilize our financial and credit markets in order to protect the American taxpayer and the jobs and savings of the American people. To do this, the American taxpayers must immediately give $700 billion to Wall Street.
Well, speaking as someone who admittedly is not an economist, I must say that this sounds like a bunch of gobbledygook to me. We must save ourselves by immediately paying nearly a trillion dollars to the same people who got us into this mess.
Where have we heard stuff like this before?When evaluating the demands that are made upon us, it is often worth while to consider situations from the past when similar demands were made upon us, and how those situations turned out.
Trickle down economicsTrickle down economics, otherwise known as “Reagonomics”, was introduced in the United States as an economic theory by the Ronald Reagan presidency in 1981. It is based on
the theory that increasing the wealth of the wealthy is good for the poor (and everyone else) because the additional wealth will eventually trickle down to the middle class and to the poor. Consequently, the economic policies that derive from trickle down theory primarily involve attempts to increase the wealth of the wealthy.
We can evaluate the effects of trickle down economics by looking at the 12 year period, from 1981 to 1993, during which it was initiated and maintained by the Reagan/Bush presidencies. Let’s consider median family income, poverty rate, and national debt. Surely if trickle down theory had any validity we would expect to see, during this period of massive wealth accumulation by the few, a good rise in median family income (adjusted for inflation), a decrease in poverty, and no massive increase in the national debt.
This chart shows median family income levels, beginning in 1947, when accurate statistics on this issue first became available. With the top marginal tax rate approaching 90% at this time, median family income rose steadily (in 2006 dollars) from $22,433 in 1947 to more than double that, $48,976, by 1980. Then, for the 12 years of the Reagan/Bush presidencies there was almost no growth in median income at all, which rose only to $51,494 by 1992, a paltry growth of only 5.1% over 12 years.
The
graph on page 11 of the U.S. Census Bureau publication, “Income Poverty and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2006”, plots poverty trends in the United States. That graph shows that beginning with President Lyndon Johnson’s much maligned “
War on Poverty” in the early ‘60s, poverty in the United States declined precipitously, from about 22% to 12% before leveling out beginning around 1970. Then, with the onset of the Bush/Reagan presidencies starting in 1981, poverty began to rise again, reaching a maximum of about 15% twelve years later, just prior to the Clinton Presidency. The poverty rate then began a slow steady decline, to about 11% by the end of Clinton’s presidency.
This graph (Scroll down to “Annual Change in Debt 1941-2009”), which plots change in our national debt by year, shows two huge mountains of increasing national debt. One began with the Reagan administration and went on for the 12 years of Reagan and Bush I presidencies. Then following 8 years of precipitous decrease in the rate of debt accumulation, the onset of the Bush II presidency was marked by another, even more precipitous increase in debt accumulation than was the Reagan presidency.
So, where was the benefit to our nation as a whole from trickle down economics? There was none at all, except to the wealthy
The Bush tax cuts for the richShortly after becoming president, George W. Bush told the American people that we needed massive tax cuts for the rich (He didn’t use those words of course) in order to make our economy healthy. The argument was very similar to that of “trickle down economics” and Secretary Paulson’s current argument that we need to bailout Wall Street in order to save our economy. So, what have been the results of that?
An extensive analysis of the Bush tax cuts separately evaluated the results for the wealthiest 1% of our population versus the rest of us:
From 2001 to 2006, 99 percent of U.S. residents received an average tax break of $2,616, but their added debt burden rose by $9,782 per person, leaving an additional net debt of $7,166 per person.
Because the benefits of the Bush tax cuts have gone primarily to the wealthiest 1 percent, this small group still comes out ahead even after the added debt burden is factored in. For the wealthiest 1 percent, who have an average 2006 income of $1,272,000, the tax breaks outweigh the added debt burden by a net average of $30,352 per family member.
Got that? The Bush tax cuts gave us an average of $30,352
gain per wealthy person, and an average
loss of $9,782 for the rest of us. What else has happened economically during the Bush era?
Median family income actually
decreased by $991 (in 2006 dollars). The poverty rate reversed itself and began to rise again, going from about 11% at the end of the Clinton administration to 12.3% by mid-year 2006. The current economic downturn (or recession) will in all likelihood
send another 5-10 million Americans into poverty, thus raising the poverty rate in our country another 1-4%. And our national debt has risen astronomically, reaching unprecedented levels.
The Iraq WarIn addition to Bush’s tax cuts for the rich, the Iraq War has been his other biggest priority. Just as he is now telling us that we need to spend nearly a trillion dollars to prevent our economy from failing, in 2002 and 2003 he told us that Iraq was a serious threat to our national security. What a laugh. Even if Saddam Hussein had actually produced a good many of the weapons of mass destruction that Bush and Cheney claimed he had, the idea that he represented a security threat to our country would have been preposterous. Yet George Bush managed to bully Congress into giving him a green light to go to war. And what did we get for that? We killed
hundreds of thousands of innocent Iraqi civilians, spent the lives of
4,170 American soldiers, added
hundreds of billions of dollars to our national debt, and
greatly increased our risk of being attacked by anti-American terrorists. BUT, the war turned out to be
enormously profitable to a select few friends of the Bush administration.
A summary of the current situation by Paul KrugmanWhat I love about Paul Krugman is that he is one economist who purposely writes and talks in a manner that makes complex issues understandable to ordinary people, and his economic
goals are aimed at providing benefits for everyone, not just the wealthy elites. He also wrote a wonderful book called “
The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century”, which is a thorough and detailed rebuke of George W. Bush’s economic policies, written long before they became unpopular or were even initiated.
For those reasons I’ll end this post with a
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/22/opinion/22krugman.html&OQ=_rQ3D1Q26thQ26emcQ3Dth&OP=1683753fQ2F)iQ25Q60)-l0yEllzO)Oqqb)qH)OO)l6JQ5DJlQ5D)OOWE5Q51Q23sQ5D!hzQ23_">summary of his views of the current situation. With regard to Paulson’s demand that we solve the crisis by giving him $700 billion to spend as he sees fit, Krugman says that that will leave our financial system:
crippled by inadequate capital unless the federal government hugely overpays for the assets it buys, giving financial firms – and their stockholders and executives – a giant windfall at taxpayer expense…
Mr. Paulson insists that he wants a “clean” plan. “Clean,” in this context, means a taxpayer-financed bailout with no strings attached – no quid pro quo on the part of those being bailed out. Why is that a good thing? Add to this the fact that Mr. Paulson is also demanding dictatorial authority, plus immunity from review “by any court of law or any administrative agency,” and this adds up to an unacceptable proposal.
Krugman also warns Congress of falling into the same stupid old trap once again, reminding them that they’ve been down that road before:
I’m aware that Congress is under enormous pressure to agree to the Paulson plan in the next few days, with at most a few modifications that make it slightly less bad. Basically, after having spent a year and a half telling everyone that things were under control, the Bush administration says that the sky is falling, and that to save the world we have to do exactly what it says now now now.
The bottom line is that whenever Congress does what the right wing ideologues demand it to do, the American people end up getting screwed. Congress is told that it must be done immediately in order to stave off catastrophe. But the only reason it has to be done immediately is that the right wing ideologues know that if Congress has time to think about it they might figure out what's going on. That's what happened with the USA Patriot Act. That's what happened with the Iraq War. That's what happened with almost everything that George Bush and Dick Cheney have demanded since they took office. Any Congressperson who trusts anything that George W. Bush or any of his minions have to say is beyond hope and doesn’t deserve to represent the American people.