"Obama has now led in 111 straight national polls with methodologies we trust... ."

[Liberal_in_LA]

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/11/in-the-polls-ba.html


In the polls, Barack Obama has quite a streak going

How much of a cataclysmic upset to the world of polling would a John McCain victory over Barack Obama on Tuesday represent?

Here's a statistic from NBC political director Domenico Montanaro that puts it in perspective: "Obama has now led in 111 straight national polls with methodologies we trust... ."

Also today, Montanaro's hard-working colleagues who crank out MSNBC's "First Read" political note break down the final NBC/Wall Street Journal national poll, looking behind the numbers that give Obama an 8 percentage point lead (51% to 43%). Here are the specifics that leapt out to us:

Obama’s advantage is largely based on his overwhelming success with African Americans (winning them 90%-3%), Latinos (68%-27%), and 18 to 34 year olds (59%-38%). It's about as solid of a three-legged support stool as any candidate could ask for.

[tekisui]

1. That is a helluva streak!

[krumpli]

2. If someone is ahead by 7 or more in the national polls

no way he can lose the el. college.

I mean if the vote is free and fair.

[NNN0LHI]

3. I haven't looked but I don't think McCain gets above 45% in any of them

I have been noticing that. The Republican base and the dyed in the wool racists would account for that number.

Don