McDumbass' Exit Poll Memo

[prayin4rain]

However, we want to remind the campaign that the media’s own post-election study of the exit polls in 2004 showed that the exit polls overstate the Democratic candidate’s support. Therefore, we would discourage a rush to judgment based on the exit polls and wait until there has been a representative sampling of actual tabulated results from a variety of counties and precincts in a state.

Here are the key points to keep in mind when the exit poll data starts being leaked:

1. Historically, exit polls have tended to overstate the Democratic vote.

2. The exit polls are likely to overstate the Obama vote because Obama voters are more likely to participate in the exit poll.

3. The exit polls have tended to skew most Democratic in years where there is high turnout and high vote interest like in 1992 and 2004.

4. It is not just the national exit poll that skews Democratic, but each of the state exit polls also suffers from the same Democratic leanings.

5. The results of the exit polls are also influenced by the demographics of the voters who conduct the exit polls.

Based on the previous exit poll results, we should expect once again that Tuesday’s exit poll data could overstate the Obama vote and under represent the McCain vote.

It is important that the campaign make sure the media realizes this, so that when the exit polls do leak, people do not overreact to the early exit poll data. Rather than looking at the exit polls, we should wait until we start seeing actual election results from key precincts and counties to gauge who won the election.


http://www.drudgereport.com/flashmm.htm


I can't help it.... seeing stuff like this scares me that they are up to something dirty.

[barbtries]

1. of course they are

but it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough. it won't be enough.
amen

[prayin4rain]

2. thanks!!! I have had a black

ribbon tied around my wrist for four years (seriously) and I want to cut it off tomorrow!!!

[Eric J in MN]

6. Did you put it on after John Kerry conceded? NT

NT

[prayin4rain]

9. yeah, I was really uspset over the last

election... maybe even abnormally. I was crying on my way home from work for a week, it was awful. So I had to make a gesture to myself in order to move on. I sewed a black ribbon on my wrist just so that I could get a grip. I had to tape a lavender ribbon and put a bracelet over it for my wedding! haha But it's been like my security blanket for me to deal with the last four years... and I will happily cut it off tomorrow!!! I am just so tense that they will do something illegal though.

[tblue]

5. Precisely. Our best defense is a landslide.

[Eric J in MN]

3. Exit polls are normally extremely accurate because willingness....

...to talk to an exit pollster is unrelated to party affiliation.

Exit polls are inaccurate when there is fraud.

[prayin4rain]

4. Exactly... that's what makes me afraid... already starting with the

polls don't mean anything BS.

[Jazzgirl]

10. Thank you for making this excellent point Eric.

The exit polls of 2000 and 2004 are an anomaly we can all explain as fraud.

[Drunken Irishman]

7. Or they're just trying to keep supporters from not giving up early.

They can't afford supporters giving up and sitting it out in the western half, making this election an even larger landslide.

[Johnyawl]

15. Exactly!

This is potentially very embarrassing for mccain. If this looks like an early rout, the west coast repugs stay home, and mccain loses his home state. So he goes back to the Senate a loser who couldn't even carry his home state.

[Jack Rabbit]

8. Why the five points. One will do:

The exit polls tend to skew more Democratic when more Democrats vote.

[BeFree]

11. Thing is

Obama could steal it, or MCCain could. Just saying its possible. And it needs to be made impossible as possible.

They way it is, anything could happen.

[prayin4rain]

12. Absolutely agree

I live in Texas and the way we vote here is.... shocking!! We walk up to a touch screen that says Diebold across it, touch the screen for who we want, hit submit ballot and walk away having no idea at all if that vote was ever recorded. It does not inspire any confidence at all.

[BeFree]

13. It is amazing

How the people can have no confidence in the outcome. And even more so that we still vote on the durn things.

I kinda hope that the freepers try to prove that Obama stole his election by merely convincing the private owners of the machines to make it happen. Things could get quite interesting.

[Parker CA]

14. Nate Silver was on earlier saying that people should ignore exit polling. He thinks Obama

is going to win huge. I think the McLiar camp is just blowing hot air at this point. Basically asking for the media to not make it too ugly.

Obama and Biden have this. An incredibly hard fought battle nearing the end. In roughly 26 hours from now, I think it will be announced that Barack Obama and Joe Biden are our new President and Vice President.

Vote. Vote. Vote.
Yes we can!!!!!!!