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"The END!" of Wall Street.........from the guy who wrote "Liar's Poker!"

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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 08:10 PM
Original message
"The END!" of Wall Street.........from the guy who wrote "Liar's Poker!"
Edited on Wed Nov-12-08 08:21 PM by KoKo01
A DU'er posted this article earlier today...my computer crashed and I can't find the OP but I read the article and all DU'ers who are interested in the Markets and Bail Out need to read this.

Apologies to the "OP" of this article because I couldn't find it but had to go to my "sent link" for the link.

Posting again and if the "OP" has link...please give it so I can kick it instead of this post:

============

http://www.portfolio.com/news-markets/national-news/portfolio/2008/11/11/The-End-of-Wall-Streets-Boom?print=truehttp://www.portfolio.com/news-markets/national-news/portfolio/2008/11/11/The-End-of-Wall-Streets-Boom?print=true

The End
by Michael Lewis Nov 11 2008

The era that defined Wall Street is finally, officially over. Michael Lewis, who chronicled its excess in Liar’s Poker, returns to his old haunt to figure out what went wrong.

To this day, the willingness of a Wall Street investment bank to pay me hundreds of thousands of dollars to dispense investment advice to grownups remains a mystery to me. I was 24 years old, with no experience of, or particular interest in, guessing which stocks and bonds would rise and which would fall. The essential function of Wall Street is to allocate capital—to decide who should get it and who should not. Believe me when I tell you that I hadn’t the first clue.

The crash did more than wipe out money. It also reordered the power on Wall Street. Most economists predict a recovery late next year. Don’t bet on it.
I’d never taken an accounting course, never run a business, never even had savings of my own to manage. I stumbled into a job at Salomon Brothers in 1985 and stumbled out much richer three years later, and even though I wrote a book about the experience, the whole thing still strikes me as preposterous—which is one of the reasons the money was so easy to walk away from. I figured the situation was unsustainable. Sooner rather than later, someone was going to identify me, along with a lot of people more or less like me, as a fraud. Sooner rather than later, there would come a Great Reckoning when Wall Street would wake up and hundreds if not thousands of young people like me, who had no business making huge bets with other people’s money, would be expelled from finance.

When I sat down to write my account of the experience in 1989—Liar’s Poker, it was called—it was in the spirit of a young man who thought he was getting out while the getting was good. I was merely scribbling down a message on my way out and stuffing it into a bottle for those who would pass through these parts in the far distant future.

Unless some insider got all of this down on paper, I figured, no future human would believe that it happened.

I thought I was writing a period piece about the 1980s in America. Not for a moment did I suspect that the financial 1980s would last two full decades longer or that the difference in degree between Wall Street and ordinary life would swell into a difference in kind. I expected readers of the future to be outraged that back in 1986, the C.E.O. of Salomon Brothers, John Gutfreund, was paid $3.1 million; I expected them to gape in horror when I reported that one of our traders, Howie Rubin, had moved to Merrill Lynch, where he lost $250 million; I assumed they’d be shocked to learn that a Wall Street C.E.O. had only the vaguest idea of the risks his traders were running. What I didn’t expect was that any future reader would look on my experience and say, “How quaint.”

I had no great agenda, apart from telling what I took to be a remarkable tale, but if you got a few drinks in me and then asked what effect I thought my book would have on the world, I might have said something like, “I hope that college students trying to figure out what to do with their lives will read it and decide that it’s silly to phony it up and abandon their passions to become financiers.” I hoped that some bright kid at, say, Ohio State University who really wanted to be an oceanographer would read my book, spurn the offer from Morgan Stanley, and set out to sea.

Somehow that message failed to come across. Six months after Liar’s Poker was published, I was knee-deep in letters from students at Ohio State who wanted to know if I had any other secrets to share about Wall Street. They’d read my book as a how-to manual.

In the two decades since then, I had been waiting for the end of Wall Street. The outrageous bonuses, the slender returns to shareholders, the never-ending scandals, the bursting of the internet bubble, the crisis following the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management: Over and over again, the big Wall Street investment banks would be, in some narrow way, discredited. Yet they just kept on growing, along with the sums of money that they doled out to 26-year-olds to perform tasks of no obvious social utility. The rebellion by American youth against the money culture never happened. Why bother to overturn your parents’ world when you can buy it, slice it up into tranches, and sell off the pieces?

At some point, I gave up waiting for the end. There was no scandal or reversal, I assumed, that could sink the system.

MORE of an EXCELLENT READ....LONG..but WORTH IT! at......

http://www.portfolio.com/news-markets/national-news/portfolio/2008/11/11/The-End-of-Wall-Streets-Boom?print=true
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Demeter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 08:13 PM
Response to Original message
1. K&R For Audacity and Hope!
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 09:02 PM
Response to Original message
2. ....
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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 09:04 PM
Response to Original message
3. ...
:kick:
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 09:13 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Thanks for "kick"....it's a long read and many DU'ers might not have time...but it's a good one!
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slipslidingaway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 10:30 PM
Response to Original message
5. K&R...
and to finish later, thanks for posting.
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Blue_Tires Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 10:42 PM
Response to Original message
6. ttt n/t
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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 10:44 PM
Response to Original message
7. thanks KoKo - once again you have found the jewel
in the pile

:hi:
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arcadian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
8. Is that the script for "American Psycho"?
The similarities are striking.
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chalky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
9. Whoa.
In Bakersfield, California, a Mexican strawberry picker with an income of $14,000 and no English was lent every penny he needed to buy a house for $720,000.

K&R!

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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 11:18 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. Get the word out!
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 11:16 PM
Response to Original message
10. Holy shit, if I had known how fucking stupid these guys were, I'd be a millionaire before 30.
Edited on Wed Nov-12-08 11:27 PM by Selatius
Shit, I've had some accounting in my training. Give me a job to crack open Citigroup or WaMu or AIG's fucking books and I could've told you they were lying. Hell, a whole boatload of their securities cannot even be valued because they contain toxic tranches of defaulted mortgages.

Oh well, it appears the Titanic is on its way to sinking at this point.
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chalky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 11:29 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Stupid like a rabid, amoral fox.
I kept reading, and ran across the kicker:

Whatever rising anger Eisman felt was offset by the man’s genial disposition. Not only did he not mind that Eisman took a dim view of his C.D.O.’s; he saw it as a basis for friendship. “Then he said something that blew my mind,” Eisman tells me. “He says, ‘I love guys like you who short my market. Without you, I don’t have anything to buy.’ ”

That’s when Eisman finally got it. Here he’d been making these side bets with Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank on the fate of the BBB tranche without fully understanding why those firms were so eager to make the bets. Now he saw. There weren’t enough Americans with shitty credit taking out loans to satisfy investors’ appetite for the end product. The firms used Eisman’s bet to synthesize more of them.
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Kaleko Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 11:42 PM
Response to Original message
13. Great find. Recommended.
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tavalon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-13-08 09:21 AM
Response to Original message
14. That was an awesome read, or rather a horrifying read
but fascinating. I keep thinking we're all going to see huge fallout from this and we're going to see it right now, but then the next day comes and still not much change but it has to be coming.
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Elidor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-13-08 11:54 AM
Response to Original message
15. Fascinating
I'd suggest cross-posting this in Editorials, where it will stay on the first page for a day or two.
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-13-08 06:59 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. ahh...I might do that. Thought there would be more interest here on "GD"
but it sort of sunk. Glad to have the "serious" read it, though.
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