http://www.slate.com/id/2204984?y=1<<Attention, convicts: Time is running out to get applications to the pardon attorney at the Justice Department if you're hoping President Bush will be your decider. Few of you should get your hopes up—Bush has rejected a record number of requests for pardons and commutations. In the last eight years, he has pardoned 157 people—a miserly sum compared with his predecessors. But you don't have to give up entirely: More are expected in the coming months, most notably for Vice President Cheney's former chief of staff, I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby. >>
The article is interesting, although I disagree with some of their assessments. Most notably, I think Ted Stevens is a lock to get pardoned. (Warning: you won't like what I have to say next). If Bush doesn't pardon Stevens, I think Obama will. The Senate is a pretty clubby place, and the old guard Dems(most notably Robert Byrd and Danniel Innouye)as well as most of the GOP will make the case that Stevens can't / won't run again (and the pardon could certainly be made conditional on that point), and will argue that, despite his failings, he is a living part of Alaskan history and deserves to be cut some slack.
Notably absent from the Slate article is another touchy pardon topic -- Jonathan Pollard. Many have argued that Pollard has been somewhat of his own worst enemy in the effort to gain release from prison. Nevertheless, if he were granted a conditional pardon/clemency(read: leave the US and don't come back), it would greatly please Israel. Bush might see it as a final bone to throw them for their assistance in the war on terror, and to reinforce the notion that the GOP -- not the Dems -- are Israel's friends.