Projection: Franken to Win Recount by 27 Votes

[Fluffdaddy]

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/projection-franken-to-win-recount-by-27.html

"Projection: Franken to Win Recount by 27 Votes As we wrote yesterday evening, the ever-increasing number of challenged ballots in Minnesota is making it more and more difficult to determine the extent to which Al Franken is in fact gaining ground in the state's recount process. An analysis of precinct-by-precinct returns available on the Secretary of State's website, however, suggests that Franken's position is somewhat stronger than it appears, and that he may in fact be the favorite to prevail in the recount process.

Consider the following. In precincts where no challenges have been issued (these are the only precincts in which, in some sense, the results of the recount can be considered to be final and "official") Franken has gained a total of 34 votes, and Coleman a total of 6 votes, for a net gain by Franken of 28 votes. Moreover, in precincts where just 1 challenge has been issued, Franken has gained a net of 31 votes on Coleman, and in precincts where exactly 2 challenges have been issued, Franken has gained a net of 32 votes on Coleman."

[Rosa Luxemburg]

1. I hope that we win another seat

[StreetKnowledge]

2. Good luck Al!

We're rooting for you, here. :fistbump:

[GodlessBiker]

3. Wow. That would be amazingly cool.

[liberal N proud]

4. That would be close

But a win is a win

[The_Casual_Observer]

5. It would be the Al Franken Decade for sure.

[Dangerously Amused]

6. Go Al! I can't stand the suspense!

[TheCoxwain]

7. I am FRANKLY ecstatic ..... that will be uber cool

[Alter Ego]

8. And Coleman will challenge the fuck out of it and the beat will go on.

[RiverStone]

15. I wonder how long into 2009 this could go?

It would be fantastic if Al pulls this out, but he may not be able to serve until well after Obama's inauguration???

[IDemo]

9. After they disallow Coleman's challenge of McCain+Franken ballots

because of "voter intent", it will probably be higher. How the hell doesn't the reverse apply: voters who selected Franken actually meant to vote for Obama?

[Initech]

10. Anyone who says our votes dont count... can shut the fuck up now.

27 votes? Damn that is such a slim margin!

[peacetalksforall]

11. Please, let it be Franken. One thing we won't get if Franken wins:

We won't get a partisan, arrogant, mal-intended, dangerous, hateful White House giving Franken an assignment to say ridiculous things to push ridiculous agendas and positions.

[HereSince1628]

12. Does the loser have any additional possible avenuse for appeal

or is this count the end of it?

[Fluffdaddy]

13. All the way to the state supreme court

[HereSince1628]

14. Thanks. Then I'm guessing that is where it will be decided.

No one would accept a 20-something margin without a fight.

[Daemonaquila]

16. I wish I could believe that.

A 214 vote shift seems a bit steep considering how the recount has gone so far. Coleman so needs to lose and disappear from politics. I lived in MN for a long time - he is so damned sleazy it isn't even funny. When he was mayor of St. Paul downtown went from struggling to a ghost town. Yet somehow he keeps trying to brag about those days. What's funnier is that he was well known to run around with expensive call girls at a particular St. Paul night spot while his wife (seemingly a marriage of convenience) tries to launch an acting career in Hollywood. I'm amazed that it never wound up on the front page of a paper.