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Should a 10% GDP Stimulus reduce

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One_Life_To_Give Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-05-09 01:53 PM
Original message
Should a 10% GDP Stimulus reduce
the federal unemployment rate by 10% as well?
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-05-09 01:55 PM
Response to Original message
1. GDP and unemployment have a relationship, but it definitely is not 1 to 1.
You can grow GDP by 2% a year and still see unemployment rise due to gains in productivity and growth of the labor force. You generally have to be growing by at least 3% per year to see unemployment fall.
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ixion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-05-09 01:56 PM
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2. A 10% of our GDP 'stimulus' created from thin air and borrowed money
only puts us deeper in the hole.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-05-09 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I suppose WWII spending did absolutely nothing but crank debt up to 120% of GDP.
No positive effects or anything. I'll ignore that 150% increase in GDP.
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ixion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-05-09 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. the difference is this: back then we made things
we had a manufacturing base that drove that recovery. The service industry will most certainly not be able to perform this function, and we no longer have much of a manufacturing base here.

That said: if the money were spent on invigorating manufacturing -- if we went back to making things -- we would recover much better.

However, handing out more taxpayer dollars to inside players will not accomplish this, IMO.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-05-09 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. We have the world's highest industrial output by shear dollar volume.
We are the largest producers of capital equipment. If money is spent there that is very positive.
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