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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 03:55 PM
Original message
Obama's Housing Plan Sucks
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 04:34 PM by Oregone
Sorry. It really does. A measly $75 billion aimed at the core of the problem, which initiated the economic collapse? He is only looking to help 9 million homeowners? He is going to subsidize banks, who are borrowing government money in the first fucking place (he is now paying them to lend our money out)? And its only going to help government backed loans, which only contribute to 20% of the nationwide problem (and only those deemed "troubled" by paying more than 31% of their income in mortgage)? Will it really ignore all other homeowners, who our country desperately needs to have spending and consuming in our economy again?

Is this a joke?

Is this what we've all been waiting for to solve this?

Is this $75 billion going to do a damn thing at the end of the day?

=======================================================================

We need a direct government to consumer loan branch (with low interest, low closing cost loans) NOW for ALL Americans (up to certain values). If you refi'ed a $250 K/30 year loan at 6.25% ($1539 payments, with $273 to principle), and brought it to 4% loan your payment would be $1193 ($360 of which going to principle). That is a monthly savings of $346, and an annual savings of $4152. The consumer would be paying the government around $10K a year in interest to borrow this money (and that is called *profit* that can be used for social programs)!

Not only would the government own these assets (its originally their loaned money after all), and stand to make tremendous profits over their traditional bank loans, but the banks would also have instant cash injection for ever single loan that consumers refi (which would end the credit freeze). You would see:

1) ALL consumers(who refi) instantly have more money from smaller payments to inject into the economy (as much as $400 dollars!)
2) Such consumers instantly get more wealth in equity from principle payments
3) The government would be setup to profit from a 4% loan, compared to their current 0% to 1% loans to banks that they actually subsidize
4) Banks holding mortgages of troubled homeowners would be able to unload them and have liquid cash injected for lending
5) Every saved home would contribute to an immediate market stabilization
6) Eventually banks who could not compete in the free market and make marginal profits would wither. The rest would become much more lean and efficient for the future.

Am I missing something here? When the government can help EVERYBODY (including banks unfortunately) and PROFIT from it, why are they coming up short? The price tag isn't the answer (we've already pissed trillions away on this mess). Whatever cash isn't produced up front creates debt, but medium yield 'mortgage bonds' can also be sold generate income for this (and what the hell else does anyone have to invest in these days?).

Why could Obama's plan even be considered reasonable in light of this?

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peace13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
1. Number one, the bank deals were done before he got there.
That might be important to remember. Now start from there with a little less hostility.
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LostinVA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Too bad -- the Feds get to make the rules on things like this
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 04:00 PM by LostinVA
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:02 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. It still sucks
And Im glad to be hostile about it. Its pissing in the wind when the problem could forever be fixed. If only the American culture wasn't afraid of the word "socialism", we would be able to actual solve these problems.
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Romulox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:59 PM
Response to Reply #1
53. Obama voted for the TARP. FYI. nt
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LostinVA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
2. I 100% agree on a Government-backed 4% refi plan
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 04:15 PM by LostinVA
And, to streamline it (I was talking about this with my wife last night), there's no involved paperwork if you're current with your payments, and have a good payment record. It could be a one page app that is put through on the spot. The whole system could be put in place in three months, tops.

This would save us soooo much money every month. We could pay off the loan faster AND have money for improvements -- and maybe even a nice dinner out!
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:06 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. It would drastically shift the entire existing social paradigm...
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 04:07 PM by Oregone
Things would drastically shift from a society of the Owners (financial institutions and established Old Money) and the Ownerless. The People, as a whole, would own and profit from the loans, and everyone would have a real chance at owning and building equity. It would truly initiate a new age of empowerment and entrepreneurship in our country (and I have no idea if the end result would be positive or negative in light of recent events). But yes, it would be an almost instant "fix" in a matter of months for everyone, that would revitalize our economy.
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LostinVA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. It would also totally free up money for use in the economy
AND, the Financial Industry would no longer be peevish and petty Gods.
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Raksha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:28 PM
Response to Reply #5
62. Now THAT is what I call an "Ownership Society"!!!
Re Things would drastically shift from a society of the Owners (financial institutions and established Old Money) and the Ownerless. The People, as a whole, would own and profit from the loans, and everyone would have a real chance at owning and building equity. It would truly initiate a new age of empowerment and entrepreneurship in our country (and I have no idea if the end result would be positive or negative in light of recent events). But yes, it would be an almost instant "fix" in a matter of months for everyone, that would revitalize our economy.
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:12 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. A simple registered letter to all mortgage holders would do the trick
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 04:13 PM by SoCalDem
Just a letter saying that on a specified date, your NEW mortgage interest would be 4%..no fanfare needed..just staple to the mortgage docs & you're good to go..

the "details" would be between your mortgage company & the govt.

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LostinVA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:14 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. ooooo -- even better and easier!
I am totally compiling all of this into a letter and sending it off to my Critters... even though it will do no good.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:23 PM
Response to Reply #10
15. I was recently planning on writing about this at least to some "experts" to see if I can float it
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 04:23 PM by Oregone
Until Obama announced this morning. So the wheels are probably in motion for his $75 billion dollar plan.... (Im the pessimist)

But remembered, this is essentially a government owned consumer bank (though it runs for profit). In other words, its the devil (socialism), and Americans may fear it.
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Raksha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #15
70. Getting their interest payments down to 4%, 30-year fixed
would get them over their fear of socialism faster than anything I can think of!!!

Re But remembered, this is essentially a government owned consumer bank (though it runs for profit). In other words, its the devil (socialism), and Americans may fear it.
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renate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 07:42 PM
Response to Reply #8
74. I love that idea
Have you submitted it to http://www.recovery.gov/ ?
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snappyturtle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:14 PM
Response to Reply #2
9. Sounds good to me! We have done the same surmising...it's so simple!
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:07 PM
Response to Original message
6. There are some smart people out there who beg to differ-
here's one... Me, I'll wait and see before going off half-cocked.

http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/tapped_archive?month=02&year=2009&base_name=housing_plan_reax#comments

HOUSING PLAN REAX.

I e-mailed David Abromowitz, an expert in housing policy at the Center for American Progress, to get a very preliminary reaction to the administration's plan to prevent foreclosures. Noting that this is a very complex plan and that the devil, as always, is in the details, Abromowitz offers this first reaction to the administration's principles:

The Obama plan is a welcome change of course from the last few years, on 3 counts: The plan clearly places foreclosure prevention at the forefront of the overall economic recovery battle. Rather than hoping the modifications might occur as a benefit that would somehow flow from pumping more funds into banks, the plan plainly recognizes the basic facts: If over 10 million more families face the loss of their homes, then surrounding neighborhoods with 5 or 10 times that many families are all cutting back spending and shrinking the economy rapidly. What companies will be borrowing and expanding to sell more products if consumers are still scrimping, cutting costs and staying home? Contrast this plan with, for example, the recent conservative rhetoric during the stimulus debate acknowledging that foreclosures and vacant homes are the problem, but then proposing to reduce everyone's' mortgage rate to 4% regardless of whether they need it or not. This plan instead is targeted to where we most need to focus our efforts.

Also, by endorsing a bankruptcy change benefiting homeowners who owe more than their house is worth, they are signaling that lenders will no longer be able to simply try to wait out the problem or march forward with a foreclosure. This should help motivate modifications, in addition to the specific cash incentives for servicers and mortgage investors in the proposal.

And for the first time, by directly spending an estimated $75 billion on efforts crafted to accelerate widespread loan modifications, the Executive Branch is allocating major funding for the benefit of homeowners.


I think Abromowitz is particularly right about the incentives to motivate modifications: the key to this plan is getting mortgage holders and servicers out of their game theory-style security dilemma, where waiting out the crisis may be good for an individual lender but bad for the housing market and economy overall. The plan can't be a bribe for the lending industry -- hence the support for allowing bankruptcy judges to modify mortgages -- but it can grease the wheels to get loan mods rolling.

-- Tim Fernholz
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:20 PM
Response to Reply #6
12. Sounds like he is just playing cheerleader
"I think Abromowitz is particularly right about the incentives to motivate modification"

Every "incentive" is essentially a subsidization of payments to the bank. Banks, who are borrowing this money at 0-1% from the government are to be paid to loan it at such a rate where the government is losing money by making loans. How the hell does that make more sense than the government profiting off loans they make themselves to consumers?!? All this is, is shifting more wealth from government coffers right into the banks, all while the smoke and mirrors put smiles on our face.

"the recent conservative rhetoric during the stimulus debate acknowledging that foreclosures and vacant homes are the problem, but then proposing to reduce everyone's' mortgage rate to 4% regardless of whether they need it or not."

That conservative rhetoric was the smartest thing the Republicans backed in a century. Even if someone doesn't need it, our economy needs people to have it. If they can have it without the government borrowing it from our children (tax cuts), all the better. Even if you aren't troubled, consuming goods and increasing demand in our economy is essential to recovering.

BTW, off topic, did you know the top 1% already borrows money at 4% when they want to, so this definitely isn't for them. Those with millions of dollars in holdings get offers from banks (who borrow it from our government) for these behemoth, low interest credit lines for projects. I just recently learned this from an old family friend we've worked for, for ages (who married into money). Essentially, banks act as devices to allow these wealthy people to cheaply siphon government funds for their projects, they will grossly profit from.

"The Obama plan is a welcome change of course from the last few years"

Yes, it is welcome because it is different, and although he makes some points, it is not nearly sufficient at addressing the problem or causing a significant shift in the problem. It consists of very little money (much of it is probably just for subsidizing the banks) and is targeting a very little number of family.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:36 PM
Response to Reply #12
45. So anyone who disagrees with you is just playing cheerleader?
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:21 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. That's called an ad hominem argument. There are also "smart people" who disagree with him.
Mute point.
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snappyturtle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
11. yep. 5 th K&R! I think the plan stinks too. nt
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endarkenment Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:20 PM
Response to Original message
13. 7) real estate revalued at current market value
with the difference going to the 'toxic assets bank'. Home owners stuck with loans against the housing bubble fraud inflated prices should be able to have them rewritten for the current market value, minus any principle they have already paid off. Quite a few people would transition from 'in debt' to 'debt free'. Others would see vast decreases in monthly payments on top of the reductions you outline above.

Why should only the billionaires get to rid themselves of the loss column on their balance sheets?
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. Well, I wanted to start with baby steps and provide as little objectionable as possible...
And what is objectable about a 4% refi coming straight from the people, which interest is paid straight back to the people?

I understand something needs to be done with that issue you mention (this alone may save many paying interest on non-existent equity for the short term). But I didn't want to throw it out there and bundle it in for the naysayers to pick at.
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endarkenment Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #17
36. "paying interest on non-existent equity "
That is the crux of it. The people who sold that "non-existent" equity are making out like bandits in this mess. The people who own the banks that hold the mortgages (and the trillions of fictional dollars in bullshit leveraged scams built on them), the billionaire stakeholders, are getting 'bailed out' of their little problem, but the working stiffs, the peasants who bought houses that are now worth far less than the price they paid for them are stuck "paying interest on non-existent equity ", even at a reduced rate as you propose, and that is just wrong.

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Fire1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #13
33. Amen!
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sinkingfeeling Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:27 PM
Response to Original message
16. Why stop there? I want them to go retro and give me back all that extra interest I've paid since I
signed the note taking out my loan! Then maybe they could pay for my yearly property taxes and force my insurer to reduce the cost of my home owners' policy!

I don't agree with your 'solution'.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:32 PM
Response to Reply #16
20. You don't agree? You don't think the government should loan to consumers?
You think instead the government should loan to banks (And then subsidize the payments), who in turn loan to consumers?

Well....how about this......what if the government purchased an existing bank (100% of its shares), so its still a bank, which receives 1% loans, and re-loans them out at 4% to consumers? In other words, what if we just took a normal bank, bought out all its shares, and offered these low interest loans (and other than that, it operates the same as any bank)? You disagree with that?
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sinkingfeeling Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #20
23. I said to nationalize the banks that refused to loan money before the TARP was even passed. However,
it seems to me that many here want someone/something to wave a magic wand and relieve them of all the debt they've spent years accumulating. I strongly oppose those who are saying, 'let's just stop paying on our credit card bills, mortgages, student and car loans'. That's just stealing.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:46 PM
Response to Reply #23
26. How is this a magic wand? Its just a plan that would allow reasonable REFIs...
At the same rate many of the top 1% are getting....how is that "magic"? Why is a 4% loan magic? Are us poor folks not supposed to actually be able to pay stuff off and have reasonable payments? The idea of such "magic"?

What is magic is convincing people that their government should pay, or subsidize if you will, banks to re-loan out money. And that is magic that works...

This isn't about relieving me of any debt (yeah, I got just a $100K mortgage I could do without). This is about a plan that would inject cash into the consumers hands, and hence the economy, and generate a profit for the government.
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n2doc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
18. your numbers are off
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 04:29 PM by n2doc
4% 30 year 250K loan has payment of $1193/month. But otherwise I agree, and they could also make these loans available without the large fees (3-5K) that now are being charged.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:33 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. Lemme fix that. I fudged up looking at amoratization table...
I thought that was a bit high.
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n2doc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:34 PM
Response to Reply #21
44. However, if the rate were 1%...
You would be darn close. I can dream, can't I? Especially since the admin seems to have backed off of its efforts to push down interest rates.....
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #44
47. Yeah, but then you are approaching another philosophical argument...
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 05:43 PM by Oregone
Shouldn't there be a cost to home ownership? Doesn't the government have a right to profit (and use those funds publicly) for offering a decent service? Etc....

Yeah, itd be nice.
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n2doc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:44 PM
Response to Reply #47
67. I didn't say it was fair....
but one can dream. I guess in this world only the super rich get billions handed to them (not a crit of your comment just a comment on the way things are)
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Chulanowa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:30 PM
Response to Original message
19. Is it better than nothing, though?
Obviously it's a band-aid on a bullet wound. But sometimes you need that band-aid there while you're in the ambulance to the hospital (or whatever similar metaphor you choose)

Unfortunately I don't think we'll ever have an administration that does anything useful in one fell swoop. Obama's not going to do it, at least. Still, I prefer steps in the right direction rather than total apathy
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:39 PM
Response to Reply #19
24. Im not sure to be honest
It may help a few people, but if it doesn't fix a rapidly deteriorating economy (which this would do by injecting more capital into consumers' hands and ending the credit freeze), those people could still be vulnerable when they lose their jobs and have no income at all.

You know, is all projection. But if you aren't going to completely solve an economic armageddon, well, then its still an economic armageddon. No matter who the 75 billion touches, it may mean nothing if the economy continues to falter (its not like were going to relocate homes to Fantasy Economy Land--they will still live and work in the shit).
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Fire_Medic_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
22. Why do you use we when you don't live here and don't pay taxes here?
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #22
25. I still have a mortgage here, believe it or not....
But beyond that, habit. That aside, the entire world economy depends on what the US does right here. This is a step that can touch countless lives in numerous places, by staving off a global depression. That is a bit important, I would think.
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Fire_Medic_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:46 PM
Response to Reply #25
27. So you do pay taxes here.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:49 PM
Response to Reply #27
29. Not income.
It would be county taxes (property taxes) that go to schools and roads in a small impoverished coastal community. I can live with that. Other than that, I file a 1040NR for now on.

So......you disagree with the merits of what I am saying?
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Fire_Medic_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #29
34. I have thought for some time that there were better ways to deal with it.
You realize of course that your property taxes pay someone's salary. That person pays income taxes that go to fund the military. Not that I'd want you to lose any more sleep.

David
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:20 PM
Response to Reply #34
38. At some point, you just have to say, Fuck it....
I mean, hell, everything we do eventually creates carbon emissions. Does that mean that you 1) kill yourself, 2) give up, 3) minimize it and do your best.

I minimized my bloody-hand footprint. So, you are wondering about the merits of what I was suggesting here, or just kicking dirt my way?
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Fire_Medic_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:22 PM
Response to Reply #38
42. I spoke to your suggestions.
I agree the plan is bad. There were far better ways to deal with the problems.

David
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frazzled Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
28. Funny, you are proposing the same thing the right-wing Republicans did
http://money.cnn.com/2009/02/01/news/economy/Senate_stimulus_housing/index.htm?postversion=2009020117

and it's been discredited widely.

Besides, how do I know you won't take your money and spend it on a trip to Europe, or buying foreign-made goods that don't contribute to job creation.

I'd like forty-acres-and-a-mule and a pair of diamond earrings. This ain't about you: it's about fixing the economy.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:58 PM
Response to Reply #28
31. I wasn't aware the Republicans wanted a socialized consumer banking branch
(and actually, they didn't).

"how do I know you won't take your money and spend it on a trip to Europe, or buying foreign-made goods that don't contribute to job creation"

As for the money borrowed, its for a REFI on an existing home (up to some ceiling like $250 K). But regardless, as for the extra money people are no longer paying in interest to private banks, world economies are somewhat reciprocal, and you can only "hope" if it goes away that it may somewhat find its way back. But that is the reality when it comes to not forcing production with government spending (it is the major fault of tax cuts). Anyway, that extra money consumers would have, that isn't going to banks, would otherwise be going be going to a private institution who are not not lending right now. There is no benefit to not doing this, because currently, that money goes into a black hole.

At least if the consumer was paying interest to the government, the public money could be invested into domestic production that creates jobs. The private money saved from the black-hole banks, well, its a crapshoot, but you have to hope it is spent domestically. At least with this model, you can ensure some of the money is being spent. With the other model, where it all goes to the banks....well, thats a major crapshoot.

Yes, its not about me...this is a plan that would touch ALL homeowners and generate government revenue. That would help the economy.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:00 PM
Response to Reply #31
32. How much would it cost?
In case you had missed my post below.

Thanks.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #32
39. I responded below
The more I think about it, maybe nothing. The money is already allocated, and this shifts it into a more profitable and useful venture.
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frazzled Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:42 PM
Response to Reply #31
46. "McConnell Proposes Cheap, Government-Backed Mortgages to Stimulate Economy"
Yes, you and Mitch want the same thing:

Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell on Monday demanded an amendment to the mammoth economic stimulus package to give government-backed, low-interest loans to homeowners -- a revision that he says will both increase the demand for houses and boost the average household income.

"We believe that a stimulus bill must fix the main problem first and that's housing," McConnell told reporters Monday in introducing a plan to offer fixed mortgages of 4 percent to "any credit-worthy borrower."

Under the "Fix Housing First Act" -- an amendment spearheaded by both McConnell and Republican Sen. Lamar Alexander of Tennessee -- new and refinanced mortgages would be available to homeowners for 4 to 4.5 percent.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #46
49. Are you sure "government backed" means from the government without private institutions?
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 05:46 PM by Oregone
Doesn't that term mean "insured" or backed with securities bought up by FM?

Otherwise, if he is on the exact same page, what can I say. Thats one hell of an idea he had there. A broken watch is right twice a day. And even the 'better' party can make mistakes.

Discrediting an idea by saying Republicans had it, well, is an insubstantial argument.
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frazzled Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #49
55. It's not bad just because it's from a Republican ... it's bad because
(1) it proposes the same type of "give the money to the people, because they know best" type of false populism that is behind the lower taxes is always better ideology.
(2) It does not really address the most vast portion of the economic problem: the financial markets. Losses from home mortgages is not actually the largest part of the problem by far (there was a good graph chart in last Friday's NY Times: I can fish it up if you need it). The biggest problem, and contributor, was not the mortgages themselves but the bundled securities the banks made out of them and then gambled with.
(3) You don't "need" a lower mortgage: you just want one. You can refinance, as you always could (why do you have a 6.25% mtg anyway--you could have one in the mid-5s), or if a drop in your home value has made it impossible, the new plan Obama announced will make it possible to do so (at perhaps 5.1%).

I'm not saying all Republican ideas are bad--but your idea, as I mentioned before, would have taken the biggest chunk of the stimulus plan and made it not all that job-creating potentially. So it was really a bad idea to put in the stimulus plan. Now, we are addressing the housing foreclosure crisis, separately: it is not stimulus, so it should be used with precision only to stem more foreclosures and stabilize the housing market. If you're not about to be foreclosed on, you don't need a 4% mortgage. If you are credit-worthy and your house is worth something, you should be able to get a fairly decent refi on your house, even possibly at 4.85 for a few thousand.

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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:24 PM
Response to Reply #55
60. Just a few responses here....
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 06:38 PM by Oregone
(1) In my example, far more money (at the start of amortization) is generated in government revenue than saved for the consumer (currently, and under Obama's plan, this doesn't happen). That money can instantly be used for public works projects to stimulate the economy, if that is seen to be the best way to do so.

Though I do agree that giving consumers the money isn't really the answer all the time because you cannot control spending flow. But, they would be building real wealth at least (in equity), and it may significantly change consumer sentiment (after all-this is far more than any tax cut could deliver). IF you are concerned they have too much free income, raise taxes (we need to anyway).

(2) It actually does address more of the financial market than you realize (and much more than Obama's plan). Every homeowner that REFIs eliminates the chance that they will contribute to banks building further toxic assets (it lowers potential liabilities). Further, upon REFI, cash is instantly injected into the banks, which may help relieve the credit freeze and contribute to positive liquidity.

(3) Yes, I want a lower mortgage, but I cannot afford the closing costs, and bundling them in the loan doesn't justify itself unless Im keeping the house for years (its currently for sell). I think everyone wants to pay less monthly. It would help a lot for many households, though they dont 'need' it. They also don't "need" affordable health care, and are existing just fine without it (albeit a little ill), but it sure as fuck might be nice. Sometimes societies are just built on providing necessities, but they look towards building a stronger society and a brighter tomorrow.

"So it was really a bad idea to put in the stimulus plan"

As were the tax cuts. :) But I agree on that point

"If you're not about to be foreclosed on, you don't need a 4% mortgage."

As I said, a lot of people don't need a lot of things. But with that said, I can surely miss a few payments to make it happen.

"you should be able to get a fairly decent refi on your house, even possibly at 4.85 for a few thousand"

With $100K loan, it would cause $4.4 K to do that. Trust me, I looked into it already. Thats not relief I can believe in.


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bertman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:44 PM
Response to Reply #55
68. In my neck of the woods, those refi's are hard to come by. Seems the bankers don't
want to lend that money. For some reason.

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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
30. How much is the price tag for your plan?
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:18 PM
Response to Reply #30
37. It depends on how many mortgages are REFIed
Now, I should first mention, all spending on this creates "good" debt. With a 4% interest rate, if you lend a trillion, it will ensure the generation of $700 billion if all loans are taken to full term. (Dollar for dollar, you get about 1.72% more back to the government than what you loan out). Lowering the payments alone for people makes these assets more dependable.

I would say, lend as much as we could without undermining our currency. If you have to start with $1 trillion, then fine, as it is worth it. The strange thing is, once the government REFIs a loan, then it pays off the current note holder (which is sometimes the government (FM), and sometimes a bank). If its a bank, who is lending government cash in it borrowed in the first place, guess who ends up with the payoff. In a way, this is all done at very low cost, because as you put money forth for this program, other programs and loans will be paid off with the money spent (you are merely shifting government funds into a more profitable and useful venture, which are already allocated). So in the end, it hard to actually put a finger on what is being actually spent, but it may be far less than the starting cost.

But, I also mentioned the program could be funded by medium-yield "mortgage bonds". Investors can purchase bonds that inject instant cash that will be available to lend. In the end, the government can give a portion of the interest profits to the investors. This would enable the government to REFI more loans without increasing the national debt level. This would be an easy sell, as there are no other stable investments at the time.

Another thought is that whatever profits you make from the loans after a year, you can re-invest back into re-lending for additional loans. That way, the amount you loan can gradually increase without increasing the overall national debt.


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Thickasabrick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:19 PM
Response to Reply #37
59. Excuse me - but what idiot wouldn't refi at 4%? You are talking about
every mortgage in the US.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:28 PM
Response to Reply #59
63. Then fine, let it be...
:)

Most of the action would be re-shifting funds that are already allocated. Hell, if the fat cats can get 4% loans, the people should be able to also.
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Two Americas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:53 PM
Response to Reply #30
69. it is not a "cost"
Public investment in food, housing, medicine and the public infrastructure are not "costs" to anyone except the wealthiest few, and even for them it is a very small cost and they derive much benefit.

Money invested in the people increases productivity, prosperity and wealth. It should never be seen as a "cost." It is the one and only thing you can spend money on that is not a "cost." This is foundational to any and all political views other than libertarian or extremely conservative views.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #69
71. Then what is your proposal for rental assistance?
Or is only a 3 bedroom/2 bath house in the suburbs a "right"?
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Two Americas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 07:33 PM
Response to Reply #71
72. not sure what you are asking
Housing is a right, yes. Of course. As are food and medicine.

For something to be a cost, it needs to come out of someone's pocket never to be seen again.

Whose pockets?

I would say the pockets of the wealthiest 1% of the population. There would be no pain for them in that even if we took enough to house, feed, educate, and give health care to all.

How did that money get in the pockets of the wealthiest 1%? Where did it come from?

It came from the productivity of the working people.

What would happen if we took that money and invested it into the working people, 99% of the population, and provided for their needs?

That money would circulate in the economy. It would not disappear or be a loss.

But wouldn't people then be lazy and unproductive if we just hand out what they need to them?

That didn't happen with food. We stabilized farming and removed farm credit from the "free market" world of Wall Street investment and speculation and the financial industry, and by that New Deal program the farmers and the eaters are subsidized. The millions and billions of profiteering in the financial industry was taken away from them and is placed on the serve of the producers, the farmers, and the people, the eaters. This did not result in people being lazy or unproductive - quite to the contrary. It led to wealth and prosperity.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 07:44 PM
Response to Reply #72
75. I was trying to point out that this plan, regardless of how it is structured...
is not going to help poor Americans, as they are rarely home owners.

But that is not the focus of the plan, is it? This plan, it seems to me, is a measure to stabilize the economy, rather than a vehicle for social justice. I sincerely hope that President Obama does address the latter, but I'm not holding this plan up as his effort in that regard. I am a believer that there is a limit to how many birds can be struck with a single stone.
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Two Americas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #75
76. pandering
The program is designed to pander and to compromise. It panders to the upper 10% - the power base in the Democratic party as disproportionately represented here and throughout the party - and compromise with the upper 1%.

When we talk about stabilizing the economy, we need to know whose economy we are talking about. To think that it is all one economy, and that what stabilizes and helps the wealthy few helps the economy and therefore helps all of us is trickle down Reaganomics repackaged.

There are two economies. There is the economy of the investors and speculators. controlled by the wealthiest 1%, and there is the economy of the workers and producers, the everyday people, the economy that we depend upon to survive. It is necessary to decide which economy you are helping. The right says that by helping the investors and speculators, the producers will somehow be helped. The left says that by helping the producers - the working people and their dependents, the every day people - all will be helped.

The degree to which you are helping the economy of the investors and speculators will always be the degree to which you are hurting the real economy - the one we build and are dependent upon if we are to survive.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 07:34 PM
Response to Reply #71
73. Lowering the cost of owning a home can lower the cost of renting from the owners...
Regardless, In the example I cited, homeowners are forking over $10K in interest to the government. I wouldn't call that a "right" so much.
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:10 PM
Response to Original message
35. Ah, similar to the plan I proposed a few days ago.
Nice.

:hi:
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:22 PM
Response to Reply #35
41. Yes...
Ive posted in the past and have seen other people mentioning it lately. I hope the idea is gaining enough traction to be taken seriously. But I hope it isn't too late.
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SidneyCarton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
40. Very Well, President Oregone, you have the floor...
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 05:23 PM by SidneyCarton
Please tell us how you would solve the housing crisis.

(edited for lousy typing.)
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:24 PM
Response to Reply #40
43. I just did
:)

What crisis, when everyone can afford their loans and has money to inject into the economy? Crisis adverted.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:45 PM
Response to Original message
48. Yes, and I wish Obama would pay off all my credit cards too.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #48
51. I don't....
And I wouldn't even suggest a socialized credit company for consumers like a credit card company. That is high risk interest with high yield. Private institutions are welcome to keep trying their hand at that gimmick....


Now, may I mention, in Obama's plan, he is subsidizing banks. Giving free money to bank to lend money that isn't theirs in the first place.

With my idea, the homeowners pay it all back at a reasonable rate. He actually is the one throwing corporate welfare out there. And at least my idea generates government revenue (his shuffles public funds into private coffers).

At what point do I suggest anything about the government paying any loans off? Thats silly. I suggest they allow consumers to REFI them so that consumers can continue to pay them off, AND, have more spending money. And personally, I think this should happen at a waiving of a tax deduction for mortgage interest (because the government would then be counter productively subsidizing payments, well, to them).
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-19-09 12:46 PM
Response to Reply #51
77. I was being sarcastic.
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KamaAina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
50. 9 million homeowners ain't exactly chopped liver
there are around 111 million households in the U.S., of which around 32 percent are renters. That leaves 75 million or so homeowners total, of which another 40 percent or so own their homes outright: either paid off their mortgage, or inherited it, or paid cash, maybe. So there are around 45 million mortgages out there, of which Obama's plan benefits 9 million, or a full 20 percent.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 05:56 PM
Response to Reply #50
52. Ive read there are more....55+
Regardless of the ~20% figure...why not address them ALL and generate a government profit, as well as free up consumer cash to be injected into the economy? In light of that, yes, it is chopped liver. If this wont, paired with a somewhat anemic stimulus, fundamentally stop the economy from deteriorating further, than it is all for nothing. We need a dramatic change for the entire economy. We don't need a little tinkering here and there on the Hindenburg.
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Gin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:06 PM
Response to Reply #52
54. the part about the upside down mortgages in the plan doesn't make sense..
if the loan is more than the house is worth... and you have made payments regularly but know this cannot continue...refinancing will do no good unless they refi for present market value...maybe that is the plan but I didn't hear it. The principal has to be lowered.
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Thickasabrick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:26 PM
Response to Reply #54
61. That won't work. You would have to do that with every owner that
bought during the bubble. Will never fly.
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earth mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:11 PM
Response to Original message
56. I think you've got a great idea here-it's just too bad that Obama & Congress aren't going to help
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 06:11 PM by earth mom
homeowners in this way.

Instead they will be giving the banks yet ANOTHER bailout-to the tune of a trillion dollars or so.

The banks are "more special" doncha know?! :puke:
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Born_A_Truman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:13 PM
Response to Original message
57. Um...
These overpriced mortages now owned by the banks (or bundled into mortgage back securities) are what? Written off? Sold to treasury?



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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:32 PM
Response to Reply #57
64. Its handled just as any normal REFI is handled.
The original note holder is paid off (and they no longer finance the property). This injects cash into the banks actually. Fortunately, they can turn around and payoff the government, who they loaned the money from in the first place at killer rates. The banks now have more of a certainty over their assets, because they clear out potentially toxic mortgages at the time of the REFI (which could lead to them lending again)
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Thickasabrick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:17 PM
Response to Original message
58. Question. If everyone jumped on a government 4% loan - what would
happen to the mortgage companies?
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:34 PM
Response to Reply #58
65. They would compete in the "free market" or wither....
Edited on Wed Feb-18-09 06:34 PM by Oregone
Personally I find this more attractive than nationalizing them and purchasing their assets (which just gives more public funds to private people).

Look, its a free market...they are welcome to race to the bottom against the government and compete. Maybe they cant get down to 4%, but they can offer better service, like a monthly tank of gas, or pencils, or free T-Shirts. They will figure it out. They have smart CEOs
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bertman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-09 06:38 PM
Response to Original message
66. What happens to the folks who are about to lose their homes because they lost their jobs?
They sure as hell aren't going to get refinancing because they can't pay it back without income.

This seems to be a big GAP in the plan. Am I missing something, or did those potential foreclosure victims get thrown under the bus?

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