Economic catastrophe loomsBy John Browne
When the US Congress passed its US$787 billion stimulus package last week, the size of the plan caused many observers to forget the water that has already passed under the bridge. Fewer still are wondering what havoc will erupt when all this liquidity eventually washes ashore.
The latest spending, signed into law this week by President Barack Obama, came on top of $300 billion committed to Citigroup, $700 billion for Troubled Assets Relief Program 1, $300 billion for the Federal Housing Administration, $200 billion for the Term Auction Facility and some $300 billion for mortgage guarantors Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Just over the past six months, which excludes the initial George W Bush administration stimulus and several massive, unfunded Federal guarantees, nearly $5 trillion has been committed by the government to the financial industry. Rational observers cannot be faulted for concluding, despite administration claims to the contrary, that the government is merely throwing money at the problem.
Although the rhetoric has managed to convince many observers of the possibility of success, the gold market appears to clearly understand the implications of this unprecedented spending.
The feeling that the government has no idea how to proceed has created palpable panic. In response, pragmatic investors are seeking the ultimate store of wealth. In 2009, as has occurred countless times throughout history, that store will be stocked with gold. Thus, whether the Federal government's interventions will succeed or fail will be anticipated by the price of gold. Right now, the market is screaming failure. ........(more)
The complete piece is at:
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/KB20Dj02.html