How many votes will Sotomayor obtain from the full Senate?

[usregimechange]

Vote and then please guess a specific number. Yes, after the hearings today I am assuming she will be confirmed.

[usregimechange]

1. I will guess 71 votes.

[customerserviceguy]

3. I think you're probably right

She hasn't given them any red meat to chew on, it will just look petty to vote against her. Still I expect 25-30 Rethugs will do so, moved solely by ideology.

On the other hand, that's what we did the last couple of times, as well. It's just a game they all play.

[Mojambo]

2. Over 70. I'm gonna say 73. n/t

[imdjh]

4. I said 95. I can see no political advantage to voting against her. nt

[AlinPA]

11. The base can not handle that. They'll go berserk.

[imdjh]

12. Where else are they going to go? The Constitution Party?

[AlinPA]

14. Their vote against her will be primarily ideology and to placate the base.

[BlooInBloo]

5. I think they'll blink. I went high - around 80.

[ThomWV]

6. 77 is my bet

[babylonsister]

7. 78. nt

[Arkana]

8. 70-74.

Even if the GOPers don't want to vote against her, their horrible racist constituents will punish them if they don't. I can foresee a few of them jumping ship and voting for her but the others will become martyrs for the cause.

[timeforpeace]

9. No way any repukes will vote against the first nominee of this president. 95+

[AlinPA]

10. I'm hoping that there won't be a filibuster. If the Democrats can keep everyone

together, then the vote will end up 60-40. The republican base will crucify them if they vote for her.

[TheCowsCameHome]

13. 80+

The pukes are screwn and thay know it.

[saltpoint]

15. All my guesses tend to be long-shots. I'll go with 72.

[D23MIURG23]

16. 57 - 59. But she will not be fillibustered.

She will draw 2 or three republicans in the actual up or down vote which will be balanced by a slightly greater number of "centrist" attention whores like Lieberman and Nelson, who will vote against her so that they can feel sufficiently... whatever they get out of having their noses up McConnell's tailpipe.

But she will get through, because enough republicans and DINOs understand that trying to block her is not a good idea barring any major skeletons/meltdowns.