There's a 100% chance of rain in the forecast

[taterguy]

Should I:

a) Not believe it since I have outdoor activities planned this weekend.

b) Change my plans.

c) Buy a raincoat.

I'm intentionally posting this in GD since I think it's applicable to a lot of discussions here, especially any that have to do with peak oil and climate change.

BTW, the plans in question are a 90 mile bike ride to benefit the National MS Society.

[SIMPLYB1980]

1. Wear your rubbers, and

have fun.

[TxRider]

2. Get wet.. ;) What are ya gonna melt?

[taterguy]

7. My cigarettes might get wet

Do you know how expensive those damn things are?

[mwb970]

3. You have to use a correction factor for rain forecasts.

For some reason, weather forecasters predict rain at a much higher rate than actual rain occurs. (I've noticed, because I like rain.) Here's the conversion table between the prediction and the true probability:

0-50% chance of rain predicted = 0%
60% chance = 30%
70% chance = 40%
80% chance = 60%
90% chance = 75%
100% chance = 90%

So, you just might be OK!

[petronius]

9. You forgot the additive planned-activity component:

Planning an outdoor wedding? Add 90% to Probability of Precipitation
Woke up with a headache and want the kids to play outside? Add 75%
Just washed the car? Add 50%
Neighbor kids TPed your house in the night? Add 25%
Planning to stay in anyway? No change to PoP
Lawn is dry and needs water? Subtract 25%
Entire state is in drought and reservoirs near empty? Subtract 75%
Want to avoid someone else's outdoor wedding? Subtract 90%

[Creena]

4. I'm biased.

Since my momma has MS, I say: ride on! But, maybe wear yer rubberz. If you don't want to get damp, that is.

[petronius]

5. Go for the ride, knowing that it's likely you'll get wet, then watch the afternoon

games after a nice hot shower...

[gateley]

6. Wear your rubbers - and become one with the rain. You'll end up really enjoying

yourself. And good on you for doing this! :headbang:

[Sebastian Doyle]

8. Actually, on a 90 mile bike ride, I'd probably welcome a little bit of rain

Just as long as it's not the pouring down, raining sheets, visibility near zero kind.

[taterguy]

14. Supposed to rain all damn day

Did I mention it's a two-day ride with camping out?

[Javaman]

10. not GD worthy, put in either the lounge or environmental/energy forums. nt

[taterguy]

13. Who died and made you the arbiter of what's worthy?

[damntexdem]

11. Don't believe the hype, but also wear your rubbers.

After all, even on a charity bike ride, one should still practice safe sex. ;-)

[taterguy]

15. After 90 miles on a bike, I'm not sure I'll be in the mood for that

Besides, I'm one of those boring old monogamous people that has no need for condoms.

Haven't tried sex while riding a bike though; that might be a bit unsafe.

[KittyWampus]

12. first of all, there is always 100% chance of rain in the forecast. Somewheres on Earth it will be

raining.

[Liberal_in_LA]

16. Buy a raincoat and enjoy your life