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Every DUer Should Read grantcart's Journal Entries On The Senate HCR Bill

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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:01 PM
Original message
Every DUer Should Read grantcart's Journal Entries On The Senate HCR Bill
Edited on Tue Dec-29-09 08:02 PM by berni_mccoy
This is very important and probably the least talked about points of the HCR Bill out of the Senate. It's why the House will support a final bill without the House version of a Public Option. Why? Because there actually is a Public Option in the Senate bill, it's just not run by the Federal Government. And furthermore, the OPM will strictly regulate the cost of plans and ensure the MLR is enforced. When I first learned of the Senate's bill with no PO, this was my biggest concern. That there would be too much wiggle room for insurance companies to play with the numbers. It turns out that there will be far more price regulation than I imagined and why it isn't discussed more here, I have no idea.

State Driven Public Options
Every private plan will need to compete with minimum standards set forth by a State regulated and non-profit run plan. The plan must adhere to strict standards set forth by the OPM.

From grantcarts first journal article on the topic ( http://journals.democraticunderground.com/grantcart/256 ):

In Kerry's recent long explanation of the bill he included the often heard "American citizens should have the opportunity to buy the same health care plans that federal employees and members of Congress enjoy" is repeated and this is what they are talking about.

Every state exchange will also must have atleast one "non profit plan".

The alternative in having OPM negotiating plans for small and individual buyers is not as desireable as having a clearly identifiable Robust Public Option. It is probably better than the severly more limited Public Option that we was being restricted to a small population simply because it is an established option that can be introduced relatively easily.

States have significant options to use this HCR and make it even stronger, for example States can increase the MLR in their state, reducing the gross margins


That's pretty powerful and shows how the current Senate bill may actually be stronger than the weakened PO that had originally been considered by the Senate.

A New Beginning

It's been recognized by even Dean that this bill could be what brings about a true Universal Single Payer system as each state has the power to go there. From grantcart's second journal entry on the topic ( http://journals.democraticunderground.com/grantcart/257 ), we find that Saskatchewan did something similar in Canada:


Yesterday on MTP Dr. Dean said, "We should pass the bill and improve it in conference. There are many good things in the Senate bill that we can build on . . . The House bill has a public option and we should include that. They say the Senate Bill has a substitute for a public option but it isn't really.


He is referring to the requirement that every state public option include atleast one non profit option.



As a reference point here is the Canadian timeline for single payer.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_health_care

1946 Saskatchewan Passes the Saskatchewan Hospitalization Act providing free hostpital care.

1957, the federal government passed the Hospital Insurance and Diagnostic Services Act paying 50% of province plans

1961 All provinces enact participating legislation, Saskatchewan enacts first full single payer plan.

1966 Medical Class Act allows provinces to establish universal care.

1984 Canadian Health Act prohibits userfess and any extra billing by physicians becoming truley a single payer system.





Ultimately nothing in the bill prevents states from
- passing legislation establishing a state non profit that operates as a Public Option?

- a collection of like minded states from joining such a non profit?

- pass legislation increasing private companies MLR.

- effectively eliminate private companies from the market place.

As grantcart points out:

If Tommy Douglas could do it in Saskatchewan then why can't we do it in states like Vermont?


The Senate Bill has slipped under the radar of the opposition and those focused on the Public Option. I too was one of those people focused on a PO or bust, and totally missed these incredible aspects of the bill. If this bill is passed, it would be the beginning of a massive revolution of the health care system of the United States.

I would like to publicly thank grantcart for his in-depth research and reporting on this topic and sticking to the facts of the bill. He is an invaluable member of Democratic Underground and I appreciate his work here.
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NYC_SKP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. An unrec. Hmmm. K and R.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Maybe whoever unrec'd it doesn't like to read or is afraid the facts will get out.
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Bobbie Jo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Bet on the latter.
... You don't have to look too far, btw.
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Nikki Stone1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #2
17. The main question still stands:
Who is going to police this bill? Who will be able to keep rates under control?

The answer is "no one", not as long as Congress is dependent on the insurance and finance industry for election funding. You can post as many pretty pictures about this bill as you want, but the real problem is policing the industry and preventing it from using the taxpayer as an endless trough. Within our current system, it can't be done. The only hope was a public option to compete with the private insurers to keep them honest and that was left on the cutting room floor.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. You are incorrect. The OPM will "police" it.
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elocs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
28. Again, an OP is so important that the very first response must be about an UnRec.
:shrug: I don't get this obsession with UnRecs. Why not just let it pass since it's attention those who UnRec likely want. Why continually, continually give them that satisfaction? Kicking is more important anyways since 2 days from now when Rec/UnRec means nothing it can still bring this thread to the top of GD.
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:08 PM
Response to Original message
3. LOL So now they're going to blame the states for this clusterfuck failure
LOL
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I guess with that attitude HCR is just a big joke to you.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:14 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. The entire effort is nothing less than comical thus far
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. I prefer to call it just plain sad and depressing. Someday I might look back
and laugh, but my family has too much at stake on this working.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:17 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. We'll see who will have the last laugh.......
pray that it isn't you...
cause it appears that whatever you project out,
what is good for us is exactly the opposite.


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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:21 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. UnRec for personalizing the political
Nice try

The Ruling Class is having the last laugh at our expense as they plunder what little is left.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:22 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. You personalized it when you attempted to make a mockery of the facts.
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. um...facts are not people
er...
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. You ignored the facts my friend and chose to make it about politics.
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. LOL
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panader0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:25 PM
Response to Original message
11. All I can say is
Go Saskatchewan!! Who knew..........
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Indeed. I love the prairie. Have family in Eatonia (outside Kindersly) and Saskatoon.
Edited on Tue Dec-29-09 08:26 PM by berni_mccoy
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Truth2Tell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:28 PM
Response to Original message
14. Why do you want me to think that rat
is my pony?

:shrug:
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. I don't. But if you haven't researched it, you don't really know what it is, do you?
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Truth2Tell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #16
22. Are you suggesting that reading garntcart posts
constitutes "reasearch?"
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. He has done considerable research on the HCR issue. Are you afraid to read them?
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Truth2Tell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #23
26. I've read them. I always read grantcart posts
whenever I see them on DU, and I just went and looked and I've read nearly everything in that journal. Nevertheless, as hard as it may be for you to believe, I remain unconvinced. Believe it or not there is a lot more information out there about this bill than simply grantcart posts, and many many people on DU have researched this at great length.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #26
35. And yet the "many people on DU" who have "researched" this at "great length"...
fail to discuss this important point of the bill. Why? It seems to be a pivotal component of the legislature and yet the critics main argument is simply "Kill the Bill" with no offer on how to improve it or make it better.
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Edweird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
19. "it's just not run by the Federal Government" - well then IT'S NOT A PUBLIC OPTION.
Edited on Tue Dec-29-09 08:32 PM by Edweird
The public option was the compromise from single payer. No Deal.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. I disagree. Are public roads managed and policed by the Federal government?
They receive funding from the federal government for Interstate Highways, but each state maintains and polices it's portion of an interstate.

The concept is similar here.
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Edweird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #21
24. Mmhhmm. A lot of 'can' and 'may', but no 'shall'.
I 'can' be president. Monkeys 'may' fly out of my ass. I 'shall' eat and drink or I will perish.

Everybody - especially states - are strapped for cash. Attempting to place the burden on each individual state is simply passing the buck.
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truedelphi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 10:09 PM
Response to Reply #19
36. Thank you. If it is not run by the Federal Government, in a way consistent with the
Spirit of providing health care to people being more important than profits for insurers, then what is it about?

Who will write up the needed details for the legislation? What group of people?

Will it even be included in the final copy of the bill? Or will it be mysteriously left out?

I hate being such a cynic, but I have little faith left in anyone in government. When Keith Olbermann said that the Health Care Reform bill came about as the end of a war in which the side for the people had not waged a single battle, I totally understood what he meant.



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Phoebe Loosinhouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 08:51 PM
Response to Original message
25. Very interesting,
And yes, it could be the beginning of something good. Hopefully, it wouldn't take as long to fully germinate as Canadian single payer which happened over a mere 38 years.

Here are some questions that I have-

I have heard that the for-profits are supposed to administer and/or design the non-profits that basically will compete with themselves - is this true? How would that work? Isn't that kind of weird? It reminds me of a mob movie where the thug hands the victim the shovel and forces him to dig his own grave. Not that there wouldn't be some great Schadenfruede watching the for profits creat their own non-profit arm that eventually strangles them. You mention that "nothing prevents" a state from creating their own state run public option. Nothing has prevented them from doing it up to now - why will they suddenly show that initiative?

As to Medical Loss Ratios - I have read that a high Medical Loss Ration can have an unintended consequence - it secretly builds in a desire for higher prices in order to make up for in raw dollars what they (the insurers) would lose in volume percentage, if you follow me. I personally believe that the only thing that actually drives down price is not "competition" and supply and demand and all that BS - I think the only thing that really drives down price is CONTROLS nd REGULATION just like a public utility.

Next just a comment. I still think it's too damn bad that when we had an election and an overwhelming mandate for real NATIONAL reform that we are back once again to the hope that a few forward looking states will, on their own, figure out some way out of the morass, and that we are back to timetables in the decades for getting the reform we thought we would get this go round. There's still a light at the end of the tunnel. It's just frustrating that it is still at the end of the same gd tunnel we've been staring down lo these many years.
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girl gone mad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:03 PM
Response to Original message
27. It looks like action will be pushed off until spring and hopefully this bill will die.
The backlash from all sides was simply too severe and the political risk involved is too great.

Hopefully, they will go back to the drawing board and start over, this time without trying to do so much at once. Start with the less controversial aspects. It would be nice to see the lobbyists pushed aside, but that won't happen until voters send congress a message.
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Phoebe Loosinhouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:10 PM
Response to Reply #27
29. where did you hear that?
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girl gone mad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:23 PM
Response to Reply #29
31. ..
from a personal source, but it's also been reported at business insider and politico. I know they get grief here, but they are often accurate:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30925.html
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
30. This is the second easiest rebuttal I have ever made:
Let's just take grantcart's journal summary for the sake of space:


The reason that all progressive Senators are signing on is that it is going to save lives and reduce costs but beyond that it puts the federal government in charge of approving the price, coverage, profit of plans that will be in every state exchange. Every state will have plans that must include a non profit plan and multi state plans negotiated by OPM.


First of all, after being praised for sticking with "just the facts" giving opinion about the reason Senators finally voted to pass something, after having it eviscerated to the point of irrelevance isn't a fact. It's a guess, and one that contradicts what some senators have publicly said. Take Bernie Sanders for instance, who stated publicly on the Thom Hartman program that he thought this bill was a tremendous disappointment and as it stands runs the risk of doing more harm than good to middle class families. He went on to say that value of passing this bill, since it is the only thing with a chance, lies totally on the ability of congress to quickly build on it and essentially "fix it later."

That's a big risk, in my opinion. And history is very mixed as to whether such an idea actually works or does more harm. So we should acknowledge it as such - opinion - just like we should acknowledge that its certainly not a "fact" that all senators voted for the bill because it would "save lives."

In fact, it doesn't take much critical reasoning to look at the situation and surmise that senators voted for the bill primarily because it was absolutely essential that they pass anything for the same of avoiding a perceived political/electoral disaster in Democratic politics. And why is it easy to surmise this? Well for one thing since Rahm Emmanuel said exactly that to John Conyers during a meeting back in July, according to Conyers himself in an interview on the Ed Shultz show.

If saving lives was driving decisions on health care reform, we wouldn't have this bill at all. We would have something very different. Passing this bill is about saying you passed a bill that "saves lives" without having to pass a bill that saves lives but does concede to the wants and whims of the financial elite.

I'm going to go on to explain and defend that last statement, not just say it as dogma.


This bill gives a floor of federal government control for health care and allows states to improve on that, creating an opportunity to improve upon that. Reading this act and the pages cited above there is nothing preventing a state, like Vermont for example, from incorporating its own Public Option alternative to negotiate with OPM as an alternative plan in their state. Vermont State government would also have the opportunity to pass legislation increasing the MLR of the public plans.


There was nothing preventing this from happening before we took up so called health care reform. And yet we still needed health care reform at the national level. States already had the power to incorporate its own public option alternatives and to negotiate. It also had the opportunity to pass regulatory legislation to govern insurance business in its states.

Funny how we still had a health care crisis in our country, isn't it?

Oregon, for example, has a public plan for low income individuals and families that supplants and expands on medicaid. States can do this. But guess what? Most states don't. So millions upon millions of Americans living it either conservative states, or states that are the center for insurance corporations are not going to be able to place their hopes in state government to improve on a health care foundation that is insufficient to effectively meet their needs.

This is why we needed national health care reform. Because, our system in which we point out that states "could do more" if they wanted to does not work.

I need to return to something before moving on:


This bill gives a floor of federal government control for health care


And this is where the debate rests. And guess one no one is going to conclusively "prove" someone else right or wrong. Because we're all trying to predict how this legislation is going to impact Americans in the future, and that's not an exact science. But there's a lot of people gravely concerned that this bill does not in fact give an acceptable floor for anything.

For example, here are some of the concerns as described by the NNU:

1. The individual mandate forcing all those without coverage to buy private insurance, with insufficient cost controls on skyrocketing premiums and other insurance costs.

2. No challenge to insurance company monopolies, especially in the top 94 metropolitan areas where one or two companies dominate, severely limiting choice and competition.

3. An affordability mirage. Congressional Budget Office estimates say a family of four with a household income of $54,000 would be expected to pay 17 percent of their income, $9,000, on healthcare exposing too many families to grave financial risk.

4. The excise tax on comprehensive insurance plans which will encourage employers to reduce benefits, shift more costs to employees, promote proliferation of high-deductible plans, and lead to more self-rationing of care and medical bankruptcies, especially as more plans are subject to the tax every year due to the lack of adequate price controls. A Towers-Perrin survey in September found 30 percent of employers said they would reduce employment if their health costs go up, 86 percent said they’d pass the higher costs to their employees.

5. Major loopholes in the insurance reforms that promise bans on exclusion for pre-existing conditions, and no cancellations for sickness. The loopholes include:

* Provisions permitting insurers and companies to more than double charges to employees who fail “wellness” programs because they have diabetes, high blood pressure, high cholesterol readings, or other medical conditions.
* Insurers are permitted to sell policies “across state lines”, exempting patient protections passed in other states. Insurers will thus set up in the least regulated states in a race to the bottom threatening public protections won by consumers in various states.
* Insurers can charge four times more based on age plus more for certain conditions, and continue to use marketing techniques to cherry-pick healthier, less costly enrollees.
* Insurers may continue to rescind policies for “fraud or intentional misrepresentation” – the main pretext insurance companies now use to cancel coverage.

6. Minimal oversight on insurance denials of care; a report by the California Nurses Association/NNOC in September found that six of California’s largest insurers have rejected more than one-fifth of all claims since 2002.

7. Inadequate limits on drug prices, especially after Senate rejection of an amendment, to protect a White House deal with pharmaceutical giants, allowing pharmacies and wholesalers to import lower-cost drugs.

8. New burdens for our public safety net. With a shortage of primary care physicians and a continuing fiscal crisis at the state and local level, public hospitals and clinics will be a dumping ground for those the private system doesn’t want.

9. Reduced reproductive rights for women.

10. No single standard of care. Our multi-tiered system remains with access to care still determined by ability to pay. Nothing changes in basic structure of the system; healthcare remains a privilege, not a right.

http://www.calnurses.org/media-center/in-the-news/2009/december/nation-s-largest-rn-organization-says-healthcare-bill-cedes-too-much-to-insurance-industry.html


Are their concerns the final word on the subject? Nope. For example in talking about cost-to-families, they do not discuss the subsidy options within those bullet points. They do elsewhere, and other analysts have as well, with different opinions on how effective and generous the subsidies might be. For example, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, concludes that middle-income families gain greater affordability from changes in the Senate Bill which still remain, but that poor families do worse.

http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=3004

CBPP concludes that the bill overall is worth supporting. I'm not trying to hide that fact. But it only underscores the ways in which our entire society completely marginalizes poor families. I don't care as much about the comfortably middle-class as I care about low income or working class individuals and families, and I care less about the wealthy investor class, and even less about multi-billion dollar corporations and the executives that represent them.

That part about poor families doing worse is crucial for me. Combined with the loopholes and giveaways to corporate insurance giants and pharmaceutical companies, combined with insufficient benefits to poor and working class families - makes me severely disappointed with what is coming out of the Senate.

Not to mention the fact that those who support passing this bill under the something is better than nothing philosophy have a core disagreement with those of us who believe that profit-driven health care is immoral, and a contradiction in terms. Pay attention please: I said profit driven. That does not mean there is zero place for a private company in health care.

Single payer is one way to go, but as others have described in great detail (even over my initial fact mistakes and objections) there are systems out there such as the Netherlands with exceptional quality health care, high consumer satisfaction, low rates and a mixture of non-profit health providers and for-profit providers limited to a 5% profit margin and under heavy, thorough, no-loophole regulation.

The problem is, this bill does neither.


We should agree to pass this bill and then immediately turn around (just like Teddy would do on minimum wage) and start pressuring for public options and increases in medicare.


Of course, this is not what happens. Congress is already tabling environmental legislation because their so burned from the year long health care battle that they don't want the issue. No one in Washington is going to want to touch the health care issue again for another decade or more. There's a reason why substantial health reform of any kind (even bad reform) has only happened once every generation or so. It seems very naive and without any sort of evidence-base to believe that somehow this time it will be different.


In states that have large progressive voters, especially that are located closer to the Canadian border we should agitate for higher MLR and state government run "non profits" that would operate as a public option, in the same way Canada expanded public health care from a single province to all provinces.


But that's just the problem. Hundreds of millions of our 300+ million Americans don't live in Progressive states. Most Americans live in centrist blue-dogish states or flaming conservative states.

I said this was the second easiest rebuttal I've ever made. And here's why:

The entire argument basically boils down to, this bill sucks but its ok because states can fix it.

In rebuttal:
(1)Historically we have an overwhelming trend of evidence to suggest that bills that are bad for poor and working class individuals and families don't magically get "better" when states get their hands on it.

(2)Leaving it up to states to fill the gaps in a weak and bad bill leaves millions of Americans not living in "progressive" states screwed.

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Edweird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:28 PM
Response to Reply #30
32. Awesome post!
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rockymountaindem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #30
34. Excellent post n/t
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 10:53 PM
Response to Reply #30
38. Easiest apparently doesn't equal smart
First of all, what you call "opinion" is actually supposition with supporting arguments based on facts. And grantcart presents the facts without any ancillary arguments as you require in your "rebuttal".

Secondly, instead of rebutting the point of the post, that this aspect of the bill has gotten very little attention, and in fact, is avoided by the critics here, you do exactly that. You avoid this point of the bill and resort to talking points made up for you about why the bill is "bad", points some of which are total b.s. and some of which no one, not even the supporters of the bill, will argue against.

As with all good propaganda, your "rebuttal" is riddled with half-truths.

For example: your point 2 about no challenge to insurance monopolies is completely unfounded by the very OP itself. The fact is, there will be at least two controls on the insurance industry: the OPM managed MLR and the state run public option that must be present in each states exchange.

Another example: women's reproductive rights being infringed, yes, absolutely, this kind of crap must be removed from the bill. But that has nothing to do with the OP or the argument made that, in fact, this bill does contain a form of Public Option.

It's sad to see that this was easy for you to drum up regurgitated talking points. But it definitely wasn't smart.
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-30-09 01:02 AM
Response to Reply #38
41. I think you've missed my point, or read something into it, about "opinion"
All politics are about value judgments. People present factual information to support value judgments.

For example, grantcart presents factual information to support a value judgment that says, supporting what we can get with this bill is the better choice for ordinary Americans than opposing it and living with the status quo while trying again for something better.

That's a fair position, and understandable. And its based on plenty of facts, not in dispute. But having certain facts in support of a value judgment doesn't get you to a place where you can think something as simplistic as "grantcart is 'right' and anyone who disagrees is 'wrong.'" Why? Because we are arguing about value judgments, and there is no objective truth to be found when it comes to those.

Grantcart and other respectable people believe that is is more valuable to support a deeply flawed bill because they predict that it will work better than what we currently have. But other people believe that it is more valuable to continue to push for change that is more significant than what this bill will allow for, and which goes in a different direction that the foundation this bill will create. They "value" something different - not the "best we can hope for in our system" but rather a change of system.

So that's one thing.

But then on a level of particulars, everyone is predicting what the bill will do in the future. No one on this earth can guarantee what this bill will do. It depends on how it is implemented (not just how it is written,) how it is enforced, how it is interpreted both practically and judicially. We do our best to predict based on our best understanding of the information - and then we make an educated guess.

That's the truth that so many people seem unwilling to say plainly.

Ok, now on to more substantive particulars. The argument about controls over private monopolies hinges on whether or not you believe that the controls in Senate legislation are robust. If you do, then great - you're argument stands on that. But I fear, that the fact that so much is left to be handled and managed on a state by state basis will be the biggest obstacle to maintaining consistent quality of regulation and health care options.

Much of the argument grantcart is putting forward is that individual states will be free to do all these great things. And the obvious, very fair response to that is that states are also free to do nothing additional, and to whatever the absolute minimum is required of them. Furthermore, we can absolutely expect many states, given their consistent political history to do just that. This was supposed to be national health reform; and instead grantcarts main arguments are that some states will fair really well because of the way the bill is structured and because of their more progressive state electorates.

Well that's great, for them. It's not so great for the millions upon millions of people that live under regressive state governments.

One of the things that I don't get berni, is why the attitude? Your first sentence response to my very carefully detailed response was to call my personally stupid. How childish can we get?

I don't for a minute think that you or grantcart are stupid. I think we have honest disagreements and different levels of opitmism or pessimism about how much this bill will serve as a "foundation" for positive steps forward in the future.

On Democracy Now last week, Amy Goodman hosted the kind of debate I think we ought to be having as grown-ups. Wendel Potter and Jon Walker represented 2 progressive minded voices - one who believed we should support the Senate bill, and one who believed it should be killed. Both of them had very important points to make.

But for me, this is the point that I find to be most convincing:


One of the biggest is that it works on a state-by-state level, where states run the exchanges, states are responsible for enforcing the regulations. Most states have just failed when it comes to enforcing insurance regulations. Most state insurance commissioners, the ones that actually try to enforce insurance regulations, just don’t have a good track record, because they lack the money, the know-how and the power to go up against these large insurance companies. So, to think that we can somehow make these small state-based exchanges work as a mechanism for expanding coverage is just fanciful. I don’t see how it will work. I don’t see any data that would indicate to me that that is a smart foundation to build on.

And my fear is, what will happen is this program will end up like welfare or even like Medicaid did, where it was a small cutaway program for a small group of lower-income, less politically active people, that eventually didn’t get popular, didn’t get well implemented, and slowly got cut over the years as it went forward.


This is my fear too. I might be wrong, but the history of social welfare policies handed more and more over to state control has been very negative, leading me to fear that I might be right.

That's hardly "stupid" even if I turn out to be mistaken, as I hope I do.
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Bobbie Jo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 09:45 PM
Response to Original message
33. Kick
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TomCADem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-30-09 01:44 AM
Response to Reply #33
42. kick
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
37. grantcart
rocks! So does berni_mccoy

:hi:
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dflprincess Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 11:43 PM
Original message
So does the Senate bill allow the states to find real solutions to this mess on their own -
like single payer (a solution that some states are looking at)? That right was removed from the House bill. If the states are still bound to deal only with the private insurers, this is still not a public option, continues to reenforce the status quo and only provides "coverage", not access to care.
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dflprincess Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-29-09 11:43 PM
Response to Original message
39. delete - dupe
Edited on Tue Dec-29-09 11:44 PM by dflprincess
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JimWis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-30-09 12:15 AM
Response to Original message
40. Thank you for sharing that information.
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democracy1st Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-30-09 03:31 AM
Response to Original message
43. K & R
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