bluestateguy
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Fri Jan-15-10 01:14 PM
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The Blue Mass/R 2000 poll is more recent and has a bigger sample size than the Suffolk Poll |
Mass
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Fri Jan-15-10 01:19 PM
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1. All polls are irrelevant at this point. The race is very close, but pollsters have no way to know |
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who will go and vote, so they have to make assumptions. Both polls take huge assumptions about what the voters will be and where he lives.
Take nothing for granted. Make sure people go and vote. This is all we can do .
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Recursion
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Fri Jan-15-10 01:27 PM
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2. Nobody knows who is actually going to vote |
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This is all about "likely voter" models. We'll see who's right.
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WeDidIt
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Fri Jan-15-10 01:29 PM
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3. Nate Silver rates the race a "Toss-Up" |
rocktivity
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Fri Jan-15-10 02:16 PM
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6. (Pre-click prayer) Isn't he the 538 guy? |
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Edited on Fri Jan-15-10 02:17 PM by rocktivity
:bounce: rocktivity
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rem3006
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Fri Jan-15-10 01:50 PM
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4. Last night may have been fatal for Coakley |
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The comment she made about Catholics shouldn't work in emergency rooms was pretty bone headed. 39% of the state are Catholic and even non-practicing Catholics would be offended. By Sunday afternoon her campaign could be toast after Catholics come from church.This is like George Allen's "mecaca" remark. Meant one way but taken another.
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OHdem10
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Fri Jan-15-10 01:55 PM
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5. Barancle just gave a report on MSNBC from rally in Mass. |
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The Democrats should be worried about this election. This relatively unknown Republican may just pull this off.
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Fri Apr 26th 2024, 01:04 AM
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