WillyT
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:27 PM
Original message |
Anybody Care To Opine On Why The MA Senate Race Is Even Close ??? |
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Coakley was 30 points ahead back in November. Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/ma/massachusetts_senate_special_election-1144.htmlAnd what if Libertarian Joseph Kennedy wasn't in the race. He can only be drawing votes away from Brown, no?? Anybody have a handle on what's really happening in MA??? :shrug:
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Snotcicles
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:31 PM
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1. It probably isn't close, It's just easier to steal if you convince people it is. nt |
provis99
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:32 PM
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2. Rahm Emmanuel and the DLC pissed off the liberals. |
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Why vote for another DLC candidate like Coakley if liberals are just going to be screwed by her? Better off sitting out the election than contributing to the problem.
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David Zephyr
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:34 PM
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5. The voter turn out in ultra liberal and heavy union districts will be telling |
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Did the hard core base of the party show up?
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CTyankee
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:33 PM
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3. My guess is that Teddy's organization pretty much had the territory tied up for |
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the Dems and maybe didn't let enough diverse thought into the mix. Also, Martha isn't much of a candidate and didn't try very hard.
We were caught off guard, let's face it. We should have been more flexible and diverse in our organization in MA. We simply fell down on the job here.
Some of these political shifts are like tecnonic plates under the surface. We don't really know about them until the really big earthquake hits, then we're surprised. Teddy was in office for a really long time and our party in MA atrophied, obviously. It happens. Change goes on whether we want it to or not.
As our poet laureate, Kay Ryan, puts in "We recongeal. It's a surpise."
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timeforpeace
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:33 PM
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4. With Dems outnumbering repukes by 3 to 1, and being Kennedy's seat, something is seriously wrong. |
Xipe Totec
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:35 PM
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6. Because a close race sells newpapers |
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so it's going to be called a close race regardless of the facts.
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Blue-Jay
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:25 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
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Prediction: It's not going to be as close as people are currently saying.
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Warpy
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:35 PM
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7. It's a midterm and Coakley doesn't inspire enthusiasm |
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Kennedy is in the race only because of his last name. He'll draw stupid voters. Whether there are more GOP than Dem is moot.
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WillyT
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Fri Jan-15-10 09:37 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
16. Well, I Don't Know How Many Stupid Voters There Are In MA... |
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(I guess we'll know the answer to that next week), but...
all I was saying is that it's remarkable that Brown is close to Coakley at all, let alone the fact that he will have votes siphoned from HIM because of Kennedy. How much... who knows.
But this sure doesn't look like it's gonna go NY-23rd.
:shrug:
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pnwmom
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:36 PM
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8. Because she has an unpleasant voice and he's better looking. |
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And many people make judgments based on superficial things like that.
:shrug:
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quiller4
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Fri Jan-15-10 09:22 PM
Response to Reply #8 |
13. Because she is a poor debater, because she decided she didn't need to |
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practice retail politics and did almost no doorbelling or phoning, because she didn't ask unions for legwork, because she listened to lawyer friends instead of political hacks when she planned campaign strategy, because she had prepared no way to answer questions about some of her unpopular cases that were sure to surface...
Hers is a textbook case of how to lose an election.
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shopgreen
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:15 PM
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18. Did she think she was entitled to the seat?? |
KamaAina
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Fri Jan-15-10 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #18 |
bemildred
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:36 PM
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9. Maybe it's all just bullshit. |
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I mean bullshit is really, really common in politics?
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DJ13
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Fri Jan-15-10 08:41 PM
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10. Voters are souring on the Democratic party maybe? |
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The people knew we were in trouble in 2008 when they overwhelmingly voted for Democrats across the board due to their promises of change after 8 years of Bush.
They wanted to see a sharp reversal in a DC political structure that seemed a subsidiary of corporate america.
Here we are a year+ later and what has changed for the better for the bottom 75% of income groups?
They see trillions for banks without question or the imposition of tough regulations, billions and billions of dollars for bonuses on Wall street, but theres no jobs for average folks, no COLA for Social Security recipients, no help to keep their homes from foreclosure.
Many people are fed up with the direction they see the country headed, and the Republicants have a lot to capitalize on.
Our party has done themselves no favors by capitulating to big money, but even worse they've done the people no favors in the process.
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OffWithTheirHeads
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Fri Jan-15-10 09:03 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
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Hey, we'll vote for them no matter how bad they screw us, Right?
NOT!
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iceman66
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Fri Jan-15-10 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
12. You hit the nail on the head. |
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Regardless of whether Coakley wins, the fact that it is even close should be a wake up call for the national party.
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LLStarks
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Fri Jan-15-10 09:24 PM
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14. Joseph Kennedy's name on the ballot is going to be a misleading eyesore. nt |
southernyankeebelle
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Fri Jan-15-10 09:27 PM
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15. You can't sit back and think you are going to win just because you are the chosen one. |
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She should of been out there fighting for the job. If she loses it will be her fault.
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Mike Nelson
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Fri Jan-15-10 09:43 PM
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17. I agree with two points above... |
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The "looks" and people don't like to vote in someone everyone EXPECTS should be handed the job.
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Mari333
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:18 PM
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19. I dont think the DLC dems have any idea how angry the base is |
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maybe this will wake them up. no, never mind, the smell of corporate money only wakes them up.
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Sebastian Doyle
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:23 PM
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20. Makes a good cover story for the eventual electro-fraud. |
leftygolfer
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:28 PM
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22. I just joined DU b/c I'm scared to death |
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I drop in when I need some inspiration, never thought I'd actually sign up. I don't like to put too much of my business on the web but I'm really scared. My health is starting to go and my finances aren't exactly in great shape. I don't want to depend on anyone else but I am not afraid to say that I can't do this on my own. If Coakley loses, so perhaps are my hopes for the help I know I'm going to need. Sorry to complain, just venting and hoping for encouragment.
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defendandprotect
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:38 PM
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23. I was speculating corporate press and poll LIES . . . to cover a GOP steal??? |
Gidney N Cloyd
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:43 PM
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24. Nobody's watching the store since Howard Dean left? |
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I sure as hell don't get a sense that Tim Kaine is doing shit.
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Unvanguard
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Fri Jan-15-10 10:46 PM
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25. Coakley is a terrible candidate, Brown is a rather good one, D morale is low. |
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Edited on Fri Jan-15-10 10:46 PM by Unvanguard
Surprising, and definitely unfortunate, but not too complicated.
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geek_sabre
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Sat Jan-16-10 12:16 AM
Response to Original message |
27. I think it has something to do with Curt Schilling being a Yankee fan |
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