Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Unadjusted Exit Polls for Mass Senate Race?

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
Bonn1997 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-20-10 07:53 AM
Original message
Unadjusted Exit Polls for Mass Senate Race?
Does anyone have these? Or even adjusted ones?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
One_Life_To_Give Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-20-10 07:56 AM
Response to Original message
1. Supposedly none taken
Everyone was so certain this would be a cakewalk that neither the news orgs nor the parties opted to spend money on exit polls.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Bonn1997 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-20-10 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Thanks for the replies everyone. That's really unfortunate about there being no exit polls.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-20-10 07:58 AM
Response to Original message
2. There were none done. Interest peaked too late because everyone thought it wouldn't be
much of a race.

Rasmussen (sp?) did a phone poll to try to get some exit poll-type data but it isn't an actual exit poll and it is RW Ras-crap so I don't know how much it really means.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Igel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-20-10 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
3. No exit polls.
And the only thing that the unadjusted exit polls tell you after the polls close is how accurate the geographic and demographic assumptions the pollsters made in making their model were.

No model, no way to get the early exit polling data extrapolated to the electorate as a whole. Nobody likes to think about that little link in the reasoning, but it's crucial. Leave it out and, well, you're gibbering. And, since so many people not only leave it out but consider leaving it out to be the height of rational thought and critical thinking, it's good there were no exit polls.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Fri Apr 26th 2024, 06:36 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC