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How many votes do you think Pelosi and Clyburn have?

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Orlandodem Donating Member (859 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:51 PM
Original message
How many votes do you think Pelosi and Clyburn have?
Edited on Sun Mar-14-10 05:51 PM by Orlandodem
Is it possible they've got the votes to pass HCR/insurance reform but they aren't admitting it?
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MindandSoul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. I wish I could believe that! I'm so afraid they don't!
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I'd like to believe it too, but I'm getting nervous. Another report on
the news today quoting some Dem saying "we don't have the votes".

I need to be sedated. Wake me when it's over.
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #2
16. you and me too!
I just want to see President Obama signing this into law.

Contrary to the Republicans' forecasts, I would imagine that there will be less noise, not more when this happens. It is amazing how much advertising the health insurance companies have paid for in the last year - and how much Republican interest groups have paid.

Much as I am tired of the rollercoaster this has been, I think those of us in districts of the Representatives (or Senators) on the fence need to make those last calls and encourage anyone they know (in the same district) that calls or emails may be important. The Republicans have been tracking these same people and pushing people to call.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 10:03 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. Yes, I just want it signed into law so it'll be OVER. I can't bear the thought of
going through all this again.
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 08:12 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. LOL
My sentiments exactly.

Then hopefully the high tension on the left - all the anger against Kucinich and all the anger from the Bold Progressives (even this weekend against Nancy Pelosi, who certainly does not deserve it) will likely end. Now the cable stations might be hurt by the loss of all ad revenue - but that will likely be replaced by more smearing of the climate change scientists.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 01:56 PM
Response to Reply #19
22. We're just all frustrated beyond what human beings should
have to endure! :7

It seems so SIMPLE to us, and although I realize that it's pretty damn complicated 'back there', they're making it way TOO complicated!

Grayson's Medicare Buy In seems heaven-sent. Obvious, logical -- why the hell hasn't someone done this before? I really don't know how anybody could vote against it and face their constituents. Even the tea baggers love their Medicare, and it wouldn't be paid for by tax money, so... :shrug:
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KharmaTrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
3. Part Of The Chess Game
When you hear of a day they plan to call a vote, then you know for sure they have the votes. A whip rarely will come out and say which way things are going if the vote is close either up or down...not to spook away any supporters.
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AlinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:58 PM
Response to Original message
4. If they don't have them now, they won't get them. From now on, the thick brown envelopes
will be passed to the holdouts by the RNC or insurance companies under the tables at the fancy DC restaurants.
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twitomy Donating Member (756 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:58 PM
Response to Original message
5. I hope they dont have the votes
Im not interested in benig forced to pay tribute to the insurance companies.
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 08:24 AM
Response to Reply #5
21. It was the Progressive Caucus that got the PO in the House version
and it is the Progressive Caucus in the House that is saving us from this bill. One of the few groups fighting for us, they don't get enough credit.
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twitomy Donating Member (756 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. Good on them. I hope there is enough of them. NT
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:59 PM
Response to Original message
6. My guess is.....enough to pass a PO but the WH is working to kill it.
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DFLforever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #6
13. They aren't working to kill it. It's been dead for
weeks. The need for reconciliation in the Senate and blue dog support in the House is what finally did it in, imo.
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DFLforever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 05:59 PM
Response to Original message
7. This is the week for dealing
with the hold-outs' pet projects and legislation.
But I think they'll get their votes.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 06:00 PM
Response to Original message
8. I think they have them but will not tip their hand too soon. I agree
with the posters above. They won't admit to anything for various reasons, including retaining the suspense.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 06:03 PM
Response to Original message
9. Deal is this...
From what i've seen (several media outlets have "whip counts"), the Dem leadership is between 5-10 votes short. BUT there are about 20 outstanding. Bring home half of those and we have a winner. I would not vote against that happening.

If you're into the markets, intrade has it at 64% to pass, and rising.
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gleaner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 06:03 PM
Response to Original message
10. At this point, I just don't know ...
I don't like this legislation. I would not be unhappy to see it scrapped and to have them start over again with something like Grayson's medicare for all. I don't see anyone benefiting from this bill, but there has been so much back and forth that I have no feeling at all for how things are going to go.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
11. They probably have several votes "on reserve"
That is, Democrats who want to vote no, but will suck it up and vote yes if absolutely necessary (and possibly politically suicidal in their specific districts).
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Hansel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. +1
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doc03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 06:50 PM
Response to Original message
14. If they had the votes it would have been passed by now. n/t
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DFLforever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. No, it wouldn't
They've been waiting for the CBO on the reconciliation measures and they still need to go to committee on Monday for markup.

I agree they don't yet have them...but I believe they will have them by next weekend.
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doc03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-14-10 10:10 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. We'll see but I doubt it.
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 08:22 AM
Response to Original message
20. I don't think they have the votes at all.
Senate bill is too Conservative and the House hates it. They won't approve it.
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