Will the voting public be supportive of the current HC bill if it passes and is signed into law?

[Union Yes]

What I mean is will voters be thankful toward Dems or will they be angry and want to punish the Dem party or just stay home on election day.

Based on the many polls posted here on DU indicating fairly strong voter opposition to any bill that doesn't contain a public option.

The current bill that is about to be voted on does not contain a PO.

My own gut feeling says voters won't be happy. Who knows what effect it will have on November.

I chose not to make this into a poll because my own opinion would have been too slanted. I'm not a fan of push polling.

This current HC bill has me worried about voter fallout in November.

Am I wrong? Anyone else feeling that vibe?

To me, this is a very REAL concern.

[ShortnFiery]

1. Simply "No" ... the democratic party will be out in the cold for several election cycles.

The democratic party's ruling political class is PROFOUNDLY tone deaf to the needs of the American Populace. :(

[Union Yes]

2. Agree. We have every right to be concerned. nt

[eridani]

3. I'd say probably yes, until they realize it isn't going to get them anything for 4 years n/t

[KharmaTrain]

4. November Is A Million Miles Away...

To some it will have an affect and I think for the positive. There will be millions who will have access to affordable care or see their situation improved, but by November the overall voting public will be onto other issues. Be assured the corporate media will as there are several looming battles that will put the HCR debate in the rear view mirror in a hurry. Immigration reform is already kicking up as is Cap and Trade...just watch the noise and money that is thrown at those.

The bottom line on election day is how people are feeling about their lot in life. Do they have money in their pockets and happy or pissed with how things are going. I'm more concerned with employment and the massive debt out there...as these are pains many are feeling that the government (Democrats) are doing a piss poor job showing they're working on behalf of the middle class over the corporates.

[nevergiveup]

5. How the election goes this November

will depend on one thing and that is the state of the economy. If there are solid indications the economy is recovering and the job numbers are steadily improving Democrats will still lose seats but it won't be a bloodbath.

[karynnj]

6. Likely neither extreme

However, the polls need to be sensibly interpreted. The questions, "Will you be more or less likely to vote for someone who voted for (or against) this bill" lead to many otherwise honest people lying. To see why, assume that a Republican President were at a similar point and the issue was privatizing social security. For many here, the probability of voting for a Republican would be extremely close, if not equal, to zero. Yet how many here would respond "less likely"? I would and when I posed this question to my husband, he would.

To really get at a truer measure, they could have first asked "do you now plan to vote for a Democrat or Republican for the House:. Then ask the question on health care. A good measure as this is close to a party line vote, would be to see how many who said Democrat, now say "less likely". "Republicans" saying more likely would similarly be interesting.

Given that all 4 numbers (more likely, less likely for either vote) are in the high twenties/low thirties, I think you are not seeing much other than partisans on either side. Thinking more, I think a "no" vote hurts a Democrat more. The reason for this is that the Republicans saying "more likely" will probably vote for the Republican to further stop the "Obama agenda", while the they could lose the Democrats, who responded less likely.

(Note I didn't speak of independents - but here, they would be the people who refused to say they were leaning to the Republican or Democrat, which is different than how they registered. That group might be the only one that could be taken at face value.

[lunatica]

7. Anyone who thinks the party of no will suddenly win everyone's hearts

is definitely not in touch with how people react. Sure everyone will be angry at the Democrats, and rightfully so, but to think that somehow that translates into even slightly preferring the Republicans is nuts.

But then I tend to give people the benefit of the doubt. I've been wrong before when trying to gauge the American voter.

[doc03]

8. Doesn't matter the Republicans will be sure to

find some new controversial issue to demagog until November, like Cap and Trade or immigration.

[cdsilv]

9. nah - the goopers will fall back on god, guns & gays as usual...n/t