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Did anyone else catch this stunning Rasmussen number?

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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 10:41 AM
Original message
Did anyone else catch this stunning Rasmussen number?
The last Rasmussen Reports poll released in March found Clinton enjoying a dozen-point lead. Since then, Clinton’s support has fallen seven percentage points while Obama’s total has increased the same amount. Obama now leads among voters under 40. Clinton is strongest among those 65 and older. Clinton has a two-point edge among Democrats. Obama has a nineteen-point lead among independents likely to vote in a Democratic primary.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Political%20Tracking/Democratic%20Primaries/DemocraticPresidentialPrimary.htm
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 10:43 AM
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1. No, but thanks for making me smart-er.
:applause: :thumbsup:
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 10:51 AM
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2. "Edwards does best in general election match-ups. He leads all GOP hopefuls" --TRUE!!!!
This quote says it all about 'electability' in a General Election.

"Obama and Clinton are the frontrunners, but Edwards does best in general election match-ups. He leads all GOP hopefuls and is the only Democrat to lead the Republican frontrunner, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (see match-ups and favorability ratings for all Democratic candidates."

It is independents/undecideds and unaffiliated voters that will likely swing the election in favor of a Democratic nominee. If Obama is the Democratic Nominee he will have to reach outside the group of 'independents likely to vote in a Democratic primary.' Same for Hillary. And they will need to higher favorability numbers and lower negative numbers(like Edwards) to accomplish that.
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elocs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 11:46 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. Well, winning the general election is the point, isn't it? To most of us at least. n/t
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 10:53 AM
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3. It'll be interesting to see the post-debate numbers.....
I haven't settled on a candidate yet, because I keep hoping against hope that President Gore will jump into the race. But, I have to say that (in my opinion) Obama's debate performance was not his finest hour. But if this poll is any indication, he certainly has the big "MO". He's a very gifted speechmaker, and there's still time to improve his debate skills.
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 12:03 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. IMHO Obama will soon be forced to reveal specifics that will split voting blocks...
When you get down to the nitty gritty, specifics always alienate some portion of a voting block that do not agree with that particular option.

Obama can do it, but the time for speechmaking based on platitudes is drawing to a close, and all the candidates will face the same task --specifics about their plans which do not alienate so many people that they lose their coalition that makes up a majority of voters.
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. good analysis.......n/t
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