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Cross-posting from GD:Politics. MaineYooper helped realign the table in the other post but it doesn't transfer as a copy and paste and I still don't know how to do the HTML. Sorry.
2004 election 2008 election actual projected Registrations rejected 1,614,196 2,400,000 Voters wrongly purged est. 300,000 300,000 Voters turned away - wrong ID 300,000 600,000
Ballots cast and not counted: Provisional ballots rejected 1,090,729 1,500,000 Ballots "spoiled" 1,389,231 1,000,000 Absentee Ballots rejected 526,420 600,000
Total votes disappeared 5,220,576 6,400,000
2004 figures based on U.S. Elections Assistance Commission Data. See Chapter 4 for 3 million ballots cast but not counted in 2004. Projecting the future "nega-vote" is tricky business, but some reasoned estimate is worth doing. Given the 2006 HAVA change, we can conservatively estimate registration rejections rising by 50%; new state laws should easily double voters rejected for wrong ID - another 300,000 will receive provisional ballots thereby accounting for the projected increase in provisional ballots rejected. Absentee ballots rejected should remain as sizable as in 2004 - though new voting machines should reduce ballot shortage (including under- and over-vote). Don't like my figures? Well, what's yours? Armed Madhouse by Greg Palast, p. 359. Verbal permission of the author.
Greg's point is that voting machines aren't and were never the only fight. The GOP has been working every angle to make it as difficult as possible to vote while black, brown or Native American. White Democrats have also had more problems than white Republicans.
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