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Worst case scenario - what if all attempts at stopping the leak fail?

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-..__... Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:32 PM
Original message
Worst case scenario - what if all attempts at stopping the leak fail?
Any estimates on much oil might be in that particular spot, or how long it could continue spewing crude before it's tapped?
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tammywammy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:33 PM
Response to Original message
1. It will leak until the relief wells are completed is the worst case. n/t
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LeftyFingerPop Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:35 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. There is no guarantee that the relief well bit will hit what it is supposed to hit. n/t
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:46 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. They claim they often have to back up and try again
Edited on Sat May-29-10 09:47 PM by HughMoran
So, between the 2 relief wells and the fact that they can make repeated redirects until they hit the well bottom, they will eventually get it, though it may take longer than expected.
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dbonds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Lets hope the relief wells don't blow out too...
seems very possible in this area.
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:34 PM
Response to Original message
2. 7 years if nothing is done. Months for a relief well. n/t
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county worker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. It will be stopped by the two wells being drilled toward the gusher.
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Ruby the Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:43 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. Will? "Could" is more like it.
:(
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tnlefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:57 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. And I thought that one of the relief wells was taken off
duty to take it's BOP for the BOP on top of BOP strategy, so there is only one rig capable of drilling a relief well.

What a clusterfuck.
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Ruby the Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 10:00 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Gotta love it, right?
:freak:
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tnlefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 11:26 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. Nope.
and Nope.
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:36 PM
Response to Original message
5. The rich will have to start buying their seafood off-planet n/t
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Warren Stupidity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:45 PM
Response to Original message
8. 50M barrels
That is BP's estimate.
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Clear Blue Sky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 09:49 PM
Response to Original message
10. Big Gulf spill in the late 70s took 9 months to stop using a relief well.
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Ruby the Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 10:02 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. Bah. That was 30 years ago - back when we were still relying on Top Hats (Sombreros), Top Kills and
Junk Shots.

This is 2010!

:freak:
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tnlefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 11:32 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. I loved that segment on Rachel's show...
the technology has been to get wells further out into the ocean, but the clean up is still the same. Pathetic.

Sombreros=Top Hats, Top Kills and Junk Shots are still Top Kills and Junk Shots, booms and skimmers are still booms and skimmers.

I say if the technology isn't there and advanced to clean up, don't drill'em.
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metapunditedgy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
14. We'll have to listen to 6 more months of talking points where people
keep wringing their hands and saying, "What do you want Obama to do? He's not Superman! He can only do what BP allows him to do!"

And the Gulf will be severely damaged, to boot.
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redirish28 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 11:03 PM
Response to Original message
15. That is frightening but my biggest worse case scenario would be a hurricane
we get a strong hurricane in the right spot in the mess in the gulf and it travels up into the U.S. think about how that will that hurt our drinking water and food.
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lpbk2713 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-29-10 11:58 PM
Response to Original message
18. We'll be able to walk from Tampa to Yucatan.



:sarcasm:


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doublethink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-30-10 12:52 AM
Response to Original message
19. ........
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