GOP insiders skeptical of landslide predictions

[RamboLiberal]

Things have gotten out of hand when it comes to predictions of a Republican victory in the upcoming midterm elections. In recent days, talk of a GOP edge has turned into talk of a GOP blowout. Prognosticators have upgraded the coming political storm from Category 4 to Category 5. Republican control of the House has gone from possible to inevitable.

But Republicans don't believe it, or at least the insiders involved in the midterm effort don't believe it. As they see it, they're in a good position to pick up the 39 seats needed to win control of the House, but polls showing a huge GOP lead are simply wrong. "I'm assuming that Cook and Rothenberg and Rove and the others have got different indications from what we've got," says one member of the House GOP election team. "I don't want to overestimate what's out there."

"I think it's about even," says a strategist involved in the GOP effort. "That is a remarkable place to be, given where we were in the '08 election. But it's about even."

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Which count is more accurate? Republicans usually score higher with likely voters. But the election is still more than seven weeks away. Counting only likely voters at this point "screens out Democratic groups that you know are going to be there at the end," says the GOP consultant. "There are unions and African-Americans who typically get their information late, from leadership or the pulpit."

Read more at the Washington Examiner: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/GOP-insiders-skeptical-of-landslide-predictions-799576-102570684.html#ixzz0z9ga6H9c

[Jennicut]

1. It is blow out of proportion.

In 1994, the economy was in better shape but Repubs had way better approval ratings. It is probably a 50/50 chance the Rethugs could take over. That is much different then a total inevitability.

[Evasporque]

2. The GOP crack me up....

It is always surprising and somewhat incredulous for them to discover that they have shit their pants.

[gratuitous]

3. Ordinarily, failure to meet the overhyped expectations would be bad

But since everything is good news for Republicans, the grandiose statements of August and early September will be flushed down the memory hole, and any marginal pick-ups for the GOP will be hailed as indicative of a new political paradigm that the Democrats downplay at their peril.

[opihimoimoi]

4. The Whack Job GOP will be lucky to hold ground....Newt and Boner is KILLING THE PARTY

Add the GOP divas....with their BS Crap

[tridim]

5. Too late, the predictions are already recorded.

Anything less than a massive takeover is a huge loss.

[gkhouston]

6. Hey, Karl's got "the math". Who are we to doubt?

:rofl:

[gophates]

7. They should be skeptical. They're going to lose seats this year.

And I will laugh heartily.

[Merlot]

8. I finally have something in common with gopers!

Because I'm not buying this either. There is a lot that will happen in the next two months. One being that Obama is now on the campaign trail. They haven't taken that into account either.

They've blustered and spluttered all summer, and for the most part have annoyed the crap out of everyone with an ounce of sanity. Now they're tired and Obama is just stepping up.