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When you exclude Rasmussen's bias....

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Pab Sungenis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 10:56 AM
Original message
When you exclude Rasmussen's bias....
Electoral-vote.com today finally started offering the opportunity to actually use real, reliable polling data instead of the most horribly biased Republican-funded polling available. They now have a link on the front page so you can look at their Senate map and house projections once you take Rasmussen out of the picture.

The normal front page is here: http://electoral-vote.com/

The sans-Rasmussen page is here: http://electoral-vote.com/evp2010/Senate/Maps/Sep20-n.html

With Rasmussen, EV predicts a 52-48 Democratically controlled Senate, and a 223-181 (31 currently "tied") Democratically controlled House.

Once you take Rasmussen out of the picture, it's remarkable how different things are. The House numbers stay the same, but the Senate is now 54-44 Democrat (1 tie, and for some reason Alabama, a GOP lock, doesn't factor in). PA goes from "Weak GOP" to "Barely GOP." Illinois goes from "Barely GOP" to "Tie." Wisconsin and Colorado flip from R to D. Most fascinating is Missouri, which goes from "Strong GOP" to "Barely GOP!"

Don't trust the numbers. We have a chance to win this one but good. Get out there and work for it!
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Me. Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 11:25 AM
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1. K & R
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Ozymanithrax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 11:27 AM
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2. The difference in Wisconsin really stands out.
Without Rasmussen, the last poll was in June with Feingold winning 39-36. With Rasmussen's 9/15 poll Feingold is behind 44 to 51. I wold like to see a more recent poll in Wisconsin.
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