The Recession's Been Over for More Than a Year. Can't You Tell?
by Josie Raymond September 20, 2010 09:32 AM (PT)
http://uspoverty.change.org/blog/view/the_recessions_been_over_for_more_than_a_year_cant_you_tellOk, everybody, you can go back to work now. The recession officially ended back in June 2009, according to research released today by the National Bureau of Economic Research. So what are you waiting for?
Oh right, jobs, since the unemployment rate of 9.6 percent is higher than it was in June 2009. And jobs that pay a living wage at that, since a record 40 million people, many of them the working poor, rely on food stamps. And health care, since 51 million Americans are without health insurance. The list goes on.
The NBER, the independent group that tracks recessions, pointed out that the Great Recession lasted 18 months, from December 2007 to June 2009. What that means is that the economy hit bottom in June 2009 and has been growing ever since, however slowly.
A full year and half-long economic downturn makes it the longest recession since World War II. The longest postwar recessions had previously been 16 months apiece, from 1973 to 1975 and from 1981 to 1982.
Thnakfully, the group also recognizes that the end of a recession doesn't mean things are hunky-dory on Main Street USA. "The committee did not conclude that economic conditions since that month have been favorable or that the economy has returned to operating at normal capacity," it said in a report.
Things are looking so bad in fact, that some economists suspect the beginning of another downtown, a double-dip recession. National Bureau of Economic Research experts disagree, though, saying that any future downturn would be categorized as a new recession due to "the length and strength of the recovery to date." Funny how statistics can paint a picture so far from real life.