Florida DUers - why are your weather folks so worried

[malaise]

about Invest 95?

[Patsy Stone]

1. Who is?

WSVN, the station that gave the world Rick Sanchez, is always the first to hyperventilate about any chance of a storm, but even they don't seem all that worried.

http://www.wsvn.com/weather/blog/posts/MI89856/

:hi:

[malaise]

3. Florida ABC said they'd be having a discussion

at 11.00pm. NBC Florida was hyping it last night as well.

[Patsy Stone]

5. WSVN's 10:00 news is just starting

Let's see if they mention it in the tease. If they lead with it, we're all gonna die! :)

[malaise]

6. Hhahahahahaha

I doubt it :D

[Patsy Stone]

7. Pockets of heavy rain

maybe some street flooding; 60% chance of developing into a little something and heading to the Yucatan.

He's pretty mellow about it. :)

[NightWatcher]

2. no one seems to care in NE Florida, looks pretty weak

[stevedeshazer]

4. Ratings. Dollars.

Scary storm predictions get people to watch.

More people watching means more advertising dollars.

This is America --- you know the deal here.

;)

[greytdemocrat]

8. ***Sigh***

I've been watching your posts all hurricane season this year. You'll have to excuse me
but it seems like you reeeeealllllly want a major storm to develop and slam the US.

I live in Sarasota,FL and probably keep as active eye if not more than you on
tropical systems.

I'm a weather freak and I follow weatherunderground.com also.

"Dangerous Caribbean disturbance 95L growing more organized" That's from
Masters post today as I'm sure you know.

Try and wait till something of substance realy develops. Right now, this is just
a collection of T-Storms moving West.

Oh...weather models aren't accurate enough at this stage.

[malaise]

11. I don't think anyone here wants to see a hurricane hit any place in the hurricane belt

but right now I'm listening to Max Mayfield on Miami ABC and he says that we need to watch this because there will be a disturbance in the next few days. Like the rest of us he's not sure what type of disturbance or who will get hit but I'd rather take his advice than yours.

My turn to ***SIGH***

[greytdemocrat]

12. Bull.

And don't give me that crap about no one,there are plenty of here that would post
orgasimic if a CAT # hit the US. You are clueless if you think otherwise.

[Gman]

9. Our NWS weather discussion for South Central Texas mentioned

a tropical system in the Bay of Campeche by the weekend. However, they said it would probably then go north, then curve northeast away from Texas. Of course that then puts the rest of the Gulf Coast into play. We're expecting a "cold" front over the weekend and that will probably be what makes it turn northeast.

,
,
,
SEVERAL RUNS OF THE ECMWF HAVE SHOWN A TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPING
IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN OVER THE WEEKEND...THEN MOVING NORTH INTO
THE GULF AT SOME POINT NEXT WEEK. THE GFS40 AND CANADIAN(GEM)
MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW SIMILAR PATTERNS DEVELOPING WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY...BUT BASED ON THE PROJECTED SYNOPTIC
PATTERN AT THAT TIME MOVEMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WOULD LIKELY
BE NORTH THEN NORTHEAST AWAY FROM OUR AREA.
,
,
,

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=EWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=12&glossary=1

[greytdemocrat]

13. Tropical Systems...

Assuming anyting comes of this.

My only point of the evening anwering this post has been the damn...annoyance...that there
hasn't been a major hurricane that has been aimed at the US.

Yes, yes, I know...it's all a RW conspiracy...

But if any of you have been reading weatherunderground.com, Masters has written pissed that
the current hurricanes have been going out to sea....

They haven't been growing and moving to a...Progressive Agenda.

[quaker bill]

10. Cuz

It is that time of year. Tropical storms and hurricanes historically form closer in, sometimes in the caribbean or the gulf during the later half of the season. There is now a sufficient depth of warm water in the gulf to spin one up, and the more frequent continental high pressure ridge in the south can bump them north and east toward FL. These storms can present with far less lead time for warnings, something that makes incident managers a bit more nervous and jerky than usual.

I do emergency operations for storm recovery in FL as part of my job. They really aren't all that nervous about this one yet, as when they get really nervous I will be getting frequent updates from the various emergency operations centers on my blackberry. They haven't activated yet.