The Senate: The Good News, The Bad News, and What Now?

[OmahaBlueDog]

In an earlier thread, I posted th RCP results for Florida showing Rubio with a big lead in a three-way race.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x9201267

We're a month+ a little out from the midterms. It's not pretty, but it's not all doom and gloom either.

For the Senate Data, click here: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senate/

The good news - according to RCP, we will likely hold the Senate, although we might be seeing a lot of Joe Biden in the chamber.

RCP is calling 10 races "Lean", "Likely" or "Safe" DEM; they are calling 23 races "Lean", "Likely" or "Safe" GOP. Currently, 4 DEM seats are tossups: CO, NV, IL, WV

--BOTTOM LINE-- If we lost all four tossups, it'd be a 50/50 split.

The bad news: Russ Feingold looks to be out in Wisconsin. We don't look to pick up a single open Senate seat, including many vacated by former Dems. If the polls are to be believed, Joe Miller, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio will all become Senators.

On the other side of the building, if RCP polling data is to be believed, we would need to win 27 of 38 tossups to retain the house. The good and bad news here -- all but one of those seats are currently held by Dems.

My question to my fellow DUers. If you are in charge of the DNC or the DSCC -- what do you do? Who, if anyone,can be saved?

[dragonlady]

1. Don't count Russ Feingold out yet

His opponent is a real fruitcake, and there is plenty of time left to show that and win.

[Orsino]

2. There are two paths to party salvation.

1. The hard path is to embark on an unabiguously pro-family, pro-worker, pro-planet, pro-general-welfare agenda to push for the change we really need. This will involve grassroots organizing and standing up to MSM spin.

2. Suck up to Big Money, pander to fear and ignorance a bit more, sit back and enjoy the new influx of easy corporate dollars. Problem solved!

[PFunk]

3. I hope they go with path 1, but fear they will go with path 2 instead

Doing path 1 will indeed give the dems long term salvation. IF they can both endure and fight back the right-wing, MSM, and DLC attacks in the short team.

Doing path 2 will give the dems short term salvation. But kill them and the party in the the long team as many of their base either leave for other parties. Or just quit voting and opt out of the process period.

[JerseygirlCT]

4. Well CT's an open seat

And despite the rash of "Linda" signs I keep seeing, I cannot believe CT will go for her.

[OmahaBlueDog]

6. I absolutely misspoke. We are predicted to win the open seats in CT and DE

:blush:

[undeterred]

5. Contribute to Feingold instead of announcing that he's out.

[OmahaBlueDog]

7. Kos/PPP has him down by 11 to Johnson. I'm just reporting the news.

I'd like to save Feingold, but I wonder if my money is better invested in Colorado or Illinois?

[undeterred]

8. No, its not.

And polls are not 'news'.