Grayson Trails in Florida

[babylonsister]

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/09/29/grayson_trails_in_florida.html

Grayson Trails in Florida

A new Sunshine State News Poll in Florida's 8th congressional district shows Daniel Webster (R) with a 7-point lead over Rep. Alan Grayson (D), 43% to 36%, in a closely-watched race.

[dennis4868]

1. It would be....

Really shifty if Grayson lost.....who is left to speak for us in the House?

[babylonsister]

3. Weiner? But I wouldn't discount Grayson just yet; polls are

good at being wrong a lot of the time. This could turn on its head by this afternoon.

[bobbolink]

21. Oh, not to worry. I'm sure Obama will trot right on down there and help him out.

:eyes:

[JCMach1]

2. That seems really really off... considering the last poll had Grayson up by a lot

[ellenfl]

6. probably a faux news poll. eom

[BeyondGeography]

4. Grayson needs to stop fucking around and get to work

[Roland99]

8. His attack ads aren't resonating well with moderates/"independents"

but his newest ad shows a much better tactic. The one showing he helped restore jobs, saved the teachers, etc.

[BeyondGeography]

9. That's what he needs to do

No more self-indulgent, snippy soundbites; meat and potatoes.

[dixiegrrrrl]

5. Daniel Webster?????

Well, at least he has some name recognition.

[CanonRay]

7. I find this hard to believe

as the last poll I saw had him up 13...

[Botany]

10. Grayson was just way up ....... something does pass the smell test here

n/t

[FormerDittoHead]

12. Check it out. Sunshinestatenews.com is obviously a right wing rag

First off, for another biased source, Grayson released an internal poll just this last week showing him 13 points up and the other side deeply divided.

http://salsa.mydccc.org/o/30019/t/270/p/salsa/web/common/public/content?content_item_KEY=235

While I was criticized for the Grayson poll's lack of objectivity, it polled about twice as many people than this poll did.

But let's look at a few of SunshineStateNews headlines. Read between the lines:

EPA Ozone Rule Could Kill 47,769 Florida Jobs
Obama Plan: Higher Taxes, Fewer Jobs for Florida
Will Obama Use Florida Law to Push Defeated Agenda?
Congressional Republicans Roll Out 'Pledge to America'
Lawyers, Unions Bankroll FairDistricts Crusade
Mike Pence Wins Value Voters Presidential Straw Poll
GOP Candidates Pledge to Defend Right to Bear Arms

[Imajika]

13. Internal polls are basically garbage...

Those are generally only released to try to shape media coverage of the race.

No idea whether this poll in Sunshinestatenews is any good, but I would never trust an "internal poll".

It is very unlikely Grayson is up 13 points in this district. It is much more likely that he is running even or down in the polls considering the environment.

[Botany]

14. We really need old fashioned "just the facts ma'am" reporting back

I can't believe what I have seen what has happened to almost all the media over the past
20 years .......... And right wing propaganda outlets that are now sold as news.

[indy legend]

11. I find it hard to believe, but never underestimate the stupidity of the masses

[peace frog]

15. ...particularly in Flori-duh

Spoken as a Floridian who has seen teh stoopid in action.

[indy legend]

20. stupid may be in action in florida, but it was invented and perfected in Indiana

it's the only thing our dip shit gov.in this right wing hell hole Mitch Daniels hasn't found away to privatize or outsource. YET

[msongs]

16. those professional leftists are goin' down cuz they aren't playing along lol nt

[Dappleganger]

17. As long as the Koch brothers are pouring $$$ into defeating Grayson

I refuse to believe any of those polls.

[Canuckistanian]

18. Wait a minute - I thought he was UP by 11 points

Or at least that's what I heard on Friday. Do polls swing that much?

[wmbrew0206]

19. Very likely but I want to see another poll that confirms this is not an outlier. Here is why:

1. Grayson's district is an R+2 according to electoral-vote.com. It might support a candidate that is as progressive as Grayson has been, if they do it quietly but not if it is shouted from the rooftops. Grayson made himself a target with his outspokenness over the last two years. While we might have loved what he said, the rethugs did not and have targeted him. And seeing as his district has not historically been reliably democratic enough to support a progressive like Grayson, they see him as an easy target.

2. Grayson shot himself in the foot with the last couple ads he has run. The draft dodger and Taliban Dan ads were unnecessary and done in such a slimy way that it has turned off a lot of voters who would have otherwise been open to voting for Grayson. Grayson has come off as another politician will to say anything to get elected, rather than the defender of the middle and lower classes that we have seen him to be over the last two years.

This poll was taken before those ads ran, so Grayson may be doing worse.