Pew: Excluding cell phones biases poll results in GOP's favor

[FourScore]

Pew: Excluding cell phones biases poll results in GOP's favor
by Jed Lewison
Thu Oct 14, 2010 at 07:36:03 AM PDT

These are some fascinating numbers from Pew:



http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1761/cell-phones-and-election-polls-2010-midterm-elections

There's a huge difference when cell phones are included in the sample -- on average about a 4 point net swing towards Democrats. Given that most pollsters don't contact cell phones -- doing so is quite expensive -- Democrats could easily outperform their polling average based on the cell phone bias alone. The reason, according to Pew, is that one in four American households is cell-phone only and that voters who live in these households are more likely to vote for Democrats.

Also worth noting: while Pew still shows the GOP with a 7 point lead among likely voters even when including cellphone results, those numbers are from late August and early September when the GOP was at its peak...

http://dailykos.com/

[Tarheel_Dem]

1. Let's hope this is the case. I'd love to see the smarmy grin slapped off...

the collective faces of the M$M punditry. Recommended.

[Blue Owl]

2. Envision the cell phone demographic like a giant novelty boxing glove

punching Chuck Tawd straight off the set.

[Tarheel_Dem]

3. I like the way you think, and that would be such a beautiful sight.

:thumbsup:

[spinbaby]

4. Even land lines are skewed

With caller ID being so common nowadays, about the only ones answering junk phone calls are old people with no caller ID and nothing better to do.