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How many R districts are vulnerable?

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Buddyblazon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:28 PM
Original message
How many R districts are vulnerable?
Does anybody have a compilation of the districts that are currently Red districts and are vulnerable for Democratic takeover?
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:30 PM
Response to Original message
1. There are no vulnerable r districts -- if you go by the media. n/t
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
2. Try Here:
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mitchtv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
3. CA CD45 Mary Bono Mack for one
majority repug dist won by Omama in '08. Excellent campaign by the Dems
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RockaFowler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. How does she keep winning that seat??
She hasn't done anything. The only reason why I even know who she is because she was married to Sonny Bono.
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ProudToBeBlueInRhody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:39 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Palm Springs still loves Sonny
BUT, her opponent is the current mayor there, so she may be toast.
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mitchtv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:51 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. absolutely nothing
Edited on Tue Oct-19-10 03:53 PM by mitchtv
one of the least effective reps in congress,besides being a cheating floozy before she married Connie Mack and left the district for all practical purposes. This is the first time we have gotten any help from the DNC as well
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ProudToBeBlueInRhody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
5. According to RCP
LA-2 (Was always a Dem district, flipped because of Jefferson scandal)
DE - At Large (This is the one Castle gave up)
HI-1
IL-10

There are others that are just leaning GOP.
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kwolf68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:43 PM
Response to Original message
7. Im am preparing for the worst

They are saying 100 Dem seats are in some type of trouble and living here on the outskirts of Northern Va, I can't find any Dems engaged. In fact, I am not...I am not happy with what has been going on. I'll vote, but I am not excited. The Repukes I know are frothing at the mouth to make it to election day.

Maybe I am a doom and gloomer, but the Dem majority is toast I think.
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LiberalFighter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:46 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Don't believe what the media reports.
Most of them are too lazy to get off their fat asses and investigate. There is more going on under the radar than people know about.
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ThomWV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:46 PM
Response to Original message
8. I believe I read somewhere last week that 8 Republican seats are in peril
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doc03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:58 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. I think Chuck Todd said there three or four this morning n/t
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doc03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:56 PM
Response to Original message
11. I heard this morning on a radio news report that top
Democrats will admit in private they are going to lose the House it's just how badly they will lose now.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
13. Here is a breakdown.... the short answer not many.
Edited on Tue Oct-19-10 04:02 PM by Statistical
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html

The most likely in the House (not worried about Senate they have 0% chance of taking the Senate) are:
DE-AL
LA-2
HI-1
IL-10
PA-15
WA-8
PA-6
CA-3
AZ-3

Rather slim pickings.

Outside this is pretty much Republican lock (leading by 10, 15, 20 pts, no challenger, or no undecideds left and Rep has 60, 70, 75 % of poll).

The likelihood the Dems take all 9 of these is virtually impossible. Maybe 3 or 4. Get really lucky might be 5.

Even some of these are long shots. Also some have very little polling done making it hard to get good view.
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KharmaTrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-10 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
14. IL-10...
Dan Seals is about to take Captain Kirk's seat...hopefully turning the district blue for a long, long time.
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