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Hmm? Is It Possible That The Ds Had A Strategy For Nov & That It's Actually Working?

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stopbush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 01:04 AM
Original message
Hmm? Is It Possible That The Ds Had A Strategy For Nov & That It's Actually Working?
I know that it seems unlikely, but is it possible that things are transpiring the way the Ds in charge of election strategy planned?

First off, the Ds didn't get suckered into wasting a ton of $ fighting the Rs during the primary season, even though the media was beating the drum for the Ds to start spending money.

Then, the Rs elect all of these nut jobs as candidates, many of whom overthrew establishment candidates who - while certainly not moderates - were more moderate than their tea bagger replacements.

Almost immediately, these tea bagger candidates started moving toward the center once they had secured the R nomination. Whitman, Fiorina & Angle all tried to go more centrist for the general election.

The Ds allowed all this to go on throughout the summer, heeding Rove's mantra that "you don't roll out a new product in August." The media developed their narrative that the Ds were going to lose in a landslide because, after all, where were the TV ads to counter all the R ads? Where was the D enthusiasm??

Then, the fall campaign season started, kicked off by Obama with more than a few rabble-rousing rallies.

D candidates started coming out of the woodwork as GOTV teams hit the streets and the first D ads hit the airwaves.

D ads have gotten better and better as we get closer to the election, hitting Rs for their using secret foreign money to fund their campaigns, while hitting tea bag candidates for being "too extreme." Polls show that those messages are resonating with the voters.

Suddenly, the races begin to tighten (as they always do), and the media chalks this up to "Ds are closing the enthusiasm gap."

As the Ds surge, the tea baggers respond by abandoning their move toward the center, not only returning to their extreme positions that got them nominated, but going even further over the cliff in their extreme views...which, of course, plays right into the Ds mantra that these candidates are too extreme.

Suddenly, their extreme views have become a story even in the MSM (what took so long!?), a story coupled with the companion story that the Ds are drawing even and in some cases, pulling ahead.

So here we are today, with stories of the election shifting from "D blowout" to "Rs may have measured the drapes too early."

Did it all just happen by chance, or was there a strategy out there to let the Rs get overconfident - and to allow the dumb ass media to buy the story, hook, line and sinker - so the Ds could come roaring back to snare victory from the jaws of defeat? Oh, sure, we'll still read stories of the impending R takeover in dinosaur media like the NY Times, but a competing narrative has emerged that by rights should NOT have emerged if an R landslide was actually in the cards.

Elections are won on election day by people who turn out to vote. They aren't won by adding up who spent the most money or by the best pre-election guesstimates of the pundits and pollsters. The side that has momentum a week or two out from the election usually wins, and that's where the Ds are as I write.

Coincidence, or strategy?
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breadandwine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 01:20 AM
Response to Original message
1. Hey. What could possibly be wrong with extremist right wingers?
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Turbineguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 01:22 AM
Response to Original message
2. Let's hope so
plus, all the zillionaires paying for nutjobs to be elected are returning money to the economy, a form of stimulus.
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madmax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 01:42 AM
Response to Original message
3. I thought the same thing
However, you were able to articulate it beautifully in your post.
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Ken Burch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 01:56 AM
Response to Original message
4. Please God. let the OP be right.
n/t.
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Abq_Sarah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 02:35 AM
Response to Original message
5. I've wondered through this entire cycle
If they have a clue what they're doing.

Don't get me wrong, some campaigns have been run brilliantly while it seems others are just phoning it in.

I don't particularly like making predictions but I'm pretty confident we'll keep the Senate.
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Gamow Donating Member (226 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 03:18 AM
Response to Original message
6. A better strategy would've been to not ignore the progressive base
... and to stop pandering to an insane group of people who will never accept them.
Maybe more Dem voters would've been motivated to vote. And maybe then I'd actually be voting FOR the D's instead of just voting against the R's.
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lamp_shade Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 04:41 AM
Response to Reply #6
12. Bookmarked.
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WhiteTara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 07:12 AM
Response to Reply #6
13. sometimes you vote for and sometimes
you vote against, but we vote. Welcome to DU :hi:
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 12:28 PM
Response to Reply #6
18. +1
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bonzotex Donating Member (740 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 08:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
20. Harumph! agreed .....n/t
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Lasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 03:27 AM
Response to Original message
7. It was a good strategy to hold back while Republicans spent tons of money early.
But the problem with that is, Republicans are still swimming in cash.
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deacon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 03:33 AM
Response to Original message
8. You're either right or they simply hit the panic button :))) n/t
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deacon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 03:33 AM
Response to Original message
9. You're either right or they simply hit the panic button :))) n/t
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pnorman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 03:47 AM
Response to Original message
10. That's been my feeling all along!
Edited on Sun Oct-24-10 03:50 AM by pnorman
My belief is that Obama is a "minimalist", and avoids waste effort or lost motion. There is of course a grave risk of waiting even a day too long before going on the attack. But my gut feeling is that he's on top of that.

I've also come to realize that he has the rare knack of getting the very best from "less than perfect" people. Hence, I'm not as enraged at his pick of people as some here on DU are.

(Hi, TurbineGuy!:hi:)
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Control-Z Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 03:53 AM
Response to Original message
11. I kind of thought
that was the plan all along. I guess because I'm in Ca where Jerry Brown didn't make a peep until late in the game. Boxer was pretty quiet too (for what was touted to be the political fight of her life). The only thing I really heard about her came from the pubics. It was endlessly and annoyingly Nutmeg and Fiorina, day after day, week after week, until the dems showed up to take their very strong stand.

I think we'll do ok.
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stopbush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #11
19. LAT reorts today that Jerry's lead over Meg has DOUBLED in the last month.
Voters are put off by 1. all the $ she's spending, and 2. how she mistreated her housekeeper.

At the same time, Boxer remains 8 points ahead of Fiorina, who has been spending $ like crazy. The LAT says Boxer would have widened her lead had Fiorina not spent the millions she's spending.

And in a smaller story, Republican Mary Bono is bout to lose her seat down in San Diego.

Yep, Ds are going to do just fine next week.
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Champion Jack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 07:13 AM
Response to Original message
14. Wait! You mean that all the whiners and nay sayers on the net
are wrong?!?!? Say it ain't so! Whatever will all the self professed experts do?
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whyverne Donating Member (734 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 07:32 AM
Response to Original message
15. Rope a dope?
And you have to let some tea baggers in. This is America, we're inclusive.
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Recovered Repug Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 07:38 AM
Response to Original message
16. I'd say
you're trying to shoot a Texas Bullseye. But if it works out for the Dems, it's all good.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 12:15 PM
Response to Original message
17. K & R
:thumbsup:
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
21. Or maybe the Ds are muddling through and got lucky
I don't care, if the result is good.
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