Headed for re-election
Sep 10th 2009
From the Economist Intelligence Unit ViewsWire
Evo Morales expects to be re-elected in Bolivia in December
The political focus in Bolivia is now firmly fixed on presidential and legislative elections to be held on December 6th, at which the incumbent president, Evo Morales, and vice-president, Álvaro Garcia Línera, both of the Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS), will stand for consecutive re-election—a first in Bolivian political history. Their victory seems a foregone conclusion, given the weakness of the opposition and the lack of a rival strong enough to challenge Mr Morales.
The fragmented opposition is comprised of a mixture of old faces attempting to revive their political careers, regional leaders seeking to project themselves nationally and newcomers hoping to gain from public fatigue and scepticism about the traditional political opposition. None seems poised to dent the governing party’s hold on power.
Over the past four years the opposition inside Congress has been headed by Poder Democrático Social (Podemos), a loosely affiliated grouping largely comprised of former members of Bolivia's discredited traditional political parties, and the Unidad Nacional (UN), the political vehicle of a cement magnate, Samuel Doria Medina. A second opposition front is comprised of four eastern departments (Tarija, Santa Cruz, Beni and Pando) that have solidly opposed the radical socialist agenda of Mr Morales and the ruling MAS party. Yet both factions have roundly failed to derail the government's plans or force it towards a more consensual form of governing.
Both opposition fronts have been fragmented and demoralised by the durability of Mr Morales's strong popularity—his approval ratings have rarely dipped below 50% and recent polls show that 45-50% of voters intend to vote for him—and by their inability to stop the adoption of a new constitution or have the president's mandate revoked in national ballots.
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http://www.economist.com/agenda/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14396149&fsrc=rss