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that quotes the golpista "secretary of foreign affairs" as saying the following:
“No country is able to tolerate that a foreign embassy is used as a command base to generate violence and break tranquility like Mr. Zelaya has been doing in our country since his arrival."
This has a particularly false ring since entirely peaceful, non-violent demonstrations against the coup have been on-going from Day #1 of the coup--i.e., for several months now, when Zelaya was NOT in the country (having been violently exiled). Also, all violence--including atrocious violence and death--has been committed solely by the coup military and police. THEY have "broken tranquility." The protest groups and Zelaya himself have repeatedly committed to non-violent civil resistance. There is absolutely zero evidence to the contrary.
I just wanted to point this out--the entire statement is obviously a pile of excrement--because it focuses on Zelaya as somehow (contrary to all evidence) responsible for violence. That is like blaming a union leader, after the state or corporation has violently repressed striking workers, for calling a strike. It self-justifies violence or other hostile actions against the union leader, and attempts to deflect guilt from the perpetrators of the violence. This adds a bit to the evidence that the golpistas think that they can get away with further harm to Zelaya. They've certainly gotten away with everything so far.
However, if their job (assigned to them by their paymasters here) is to retain the state of martial law (repression of the mainstream leftist political movement) through the "election" in November, they won't move against Zelaya but rather will continue playing "cat and mouse" with threats and posturing, and just wait out his term. Even the US has said that it won't recognize a coup-run election, but they may be working with the rightwing here to engineer enough distraction and flak--possibly on unrelated issues--to get Obama/Clinton to bend on this matter, once they show a "new face" of the backgrounded junta as the "elected" leader of the country. The more weeks they eat up between now and the election--and the more leftists they beat up, imprison or kill---the more feasible does this scenario become. It could include, for instance, a sudden capitulation to the Arias Accord, by the Junta, weeks before the "election," for appearances only--muddying up the issue of a fair election, and giving an "out" to Obama/Clinton (if that's what they want) and perhaps other less firm leaders (a "divide and conquer" tactic against the OAS and the overwhelming opposition to this Junta).
It's really hard to predict, right now, whether they will take the Fool's path of harm to Zelaya (they will NOT get away with that), or "play their cards" more judiciously. They are a very insular, self-feeding group, and could be fooled by their own success, thus far, into rash moves that will instantly topple them. (An attack on the Brazilian embassy and/or harm to Zelaya will bring UN--probably Brazilian--troops into Honduras. Don't know what the hundreds of troops at the US base in Soto Cano, Honduras, will be ordered to do--but the UN will surely step in.) Or they could "play a better game" and achieve their goals of retaining riches and power by subtler means. Temporarily achieve them. The leftist political movement that has been building up for years, and has been galvanzed by this coup, is not going to go away. The Junta's "time" is very limited. How much can they fatten their bank accounts before real democracy is achieved by the people of Honduras?
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