Kurt_and_Hunter
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Jan-05-10 02:49 PM
Original message |
When predicting 2010 elections one is also predicting the economy |
|
Edited on Tue Jan-05-10 02:55 PM by Kurt_and_Hunter
If the third quarter of 2010 is flat or negative (back to recession) with unemployment rising then we are screwed even if the pugs run a national slate of flatulent gila monsters.
If, on the other hand, the economy is roaring along then we will do much better. (Probably would still lose a normal number of off-year-election seats but not a tragedy.)
All the political indicators are useful--- polling, fund-raising, who's retiring, etc.--but will end up largely deferring to the national economy.
|
paulk
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Jan-05-10 02:52 PM
Response to Original message |
1. that is the bottom line |
|
hopefully the administration will put it's focus on creating jobs, rather than bailing out Wall Street and the Health Insurance/Pharma industries.
|
monmouth
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Jan-05-10 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
2. A Jobs bill instead of immigration reform needs to be next on the agenda..n/t |
amandabeech
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Jan-05-10 10:48 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
|
But I'm not counting on it.
|
Nicholas D Wolfwood
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Jan-05-10 03:55 PM
Response to Original message |
3. That is the bottom line. |
|
And I think it'll be somewhere in between. Slowly shrinking unemployment, continuing improvement in other indicators. Which would net us a small to moderate, but not control-changing loss.
|
Clio the Leo
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Jan-05-10 08:35 PM
Response to Original message |
4. Or the more likely scenario.... |
|
..... if jobs are up somewhat ..... you're smart enough to know the economy is not going to be "roaring along" for a few years to come. ;)
|
DU
AdBot (1000+ posts) |
Mon May 13th 2024, 09:46 PM
Response to Original message |