Massachusetts is not a majority-Dem state

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

Some of the confusion about how a wing-nut could have any chance in a state like MA arises from always hearing that in MA Democrats outnumber Republicans by 3:1, or whatever ratio is being cited. It makes it sound like 75% of MA voters are Democrats.

And it is hard to imagine an actual registered Democrat voting for a creature like Brown.

It is true that there are very few registered Republicans in MA, but the group of unaffiliated voters is ginormous... almost as big as Dems and pugs combined.

(That's why weird things happen sometimes like Romney or MA going for Reagan twice.)

A very Blue state in practice, yes. But not majority Dem in registration terms. Even in 2008, a great turn-out year for Dems, Dems did not make up 50% of the electorate.

So in MA polling the independents are more important (and decisive) than it might seem.

(The preceding is based on what the TV machine says about MA electoral history.)


PPP said that they are seeing 19% of Obama voters going for Brown. That is not rampant Dem defection. It is unaffiliated voters swinging back and forth.