MA-Sen: Another Poll -- This One a Tie (48/48)

[jefferson_dem]

:)

MA-Sen: Another Poll -- This One a Tie

by Laura Clawson
Mon Jan 18, 2010 at 09:32:02 AM PST
After Blue Mass Group had Research 2000 poll the Massachusetts Senate poll last week, we had the firm follow up.

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 1/15-17 (1/12-13). Likely voters. MoE 4.5%.

Martha Coakley 48 (49)
Scott Brown 48 (41)

So yet another poll shows the trend line moving in the wrong direction -- from Coakley up by eight to a tie. She has improved her performance (slightly) among Democrats from last week's poll, but dropped among independents. (At the time of the Blue Mass Group poll, it showed Coakley performing better among independents than did other polls.)

Daily Kos added a favorability question, and there Coakley has a slight edge over Brown, with 58% favorable-31% unfavorable to his 51%-30%. Both are in positive territory, though, and there's no time to capitalize on her edge in any case.

As we keep saying, this one comes down to GOTV. Personal contact is by far the most important thing -- if you know people in Massachusetts who could be persuaded to vote for Coakley, do whatever it takes to persuade them.

Otherwise, if you're in the state, and if you're out of the state.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/1/18/826417/-MA-Sen:-Another-PollThis-One-a-Tie

[IndianaGreen]

1. Independents come in all flavours. How they break in the election will be critical.

Let's not forget that the more votes the Tea Party candidate gets (Kennedy), the less votes that will be cast for Brown.

It is critical to GOTV tomorrow, no matter how crappy the weather turns out to be.

[Peacetrain]

2. Sounding better and better..the media wants a big story.. and the one

I want to see.. is them eating crow.. yet again..

[MBS]

3. as a local, this feels right to me.

It's going to be a nail-biter.

[HughMoran]

4. GOTV is super critical

[KingFlorez]

5. Breathing a little easier with this one

I completely believe this is a tie and that GOTV is what will make or break this for us. Tomorrow can't come fast enough.

[hlthe2b]

6. I feel as vested in this as Massachusetts residents...

Trying to stay optimistic, as the alternative is truly sickening.

[flamingdem]

7. PHONE BANK FOR COAKLEY FROM HOME -- DO IT FOR TED !!!!! Last chance..

http://my.barackobama.com/page/votercontact/login?requested=%2Fpage%2Fvotercontact%2Fmake_calls%3Fcampaign_id%3DfnrU

[struggle4progress]

8. Daily Kos/Research 2000 Massachusetts Poll

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/1/17/MA/429