Oh Shit! Zogby Predicts A Coakley Win.

[jefferson_dem]

She may, indeed, be doomed.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2010/01/19/pollster_john_zogby_predicts_a_coakley_win.html

[Phoebe Loosinhouse]

1. WOW! nt

[leftygolfer]

2. Broken clocks...right....sometimes

let's hope this is one!

[tallahasseedem]

3. Sometimes I am amazed...

that he is even a pollster. Well, hopefully he's right on this one.

[WeDidIt]

4. FUCK!!!!!!!

That's the kiss of death.

[bigdarryl]

5. noticed he has no polling posted on his website

[BeyondGeography]

6. If memory serves, his overnight calls before the NH primary picked up Hillary's surge

I wonder if he's hearing something similar out of MA or if he's just winging it.

[Jennicut]

16. Makes me wonder too. Some of the recent polls out there have

26% of Dems voting for Brown and Obama's approval as less then 45%. These might be the likely voter models the pollsters think will be correct, but are they really correct? The models were wrong for the NH primary.
However, this is Zogby and overall his track record is not good.

[BeyondGeography]

20. The polls had Coakley winning by 10 in the primary and she won by 20

So there is a recent precedent for pollsters getting it wrong with her, which Zogby might be factoring into his prediction. Whterhe that's scientific or not...

[Jennicut]

22. Very interesting. I guess the only thing we can do is wait and see.

[quiller4]

37. That is true. He doesn't have a very good record on regular

elections but he has nailed special elections and some primaries. I suspect he looks closely at the weaknesses in other polls and fine-tunes his own late poll with a better likely voter sample. What he has done that others haven't is account for the overwhelming female turnout advantage in special elections.

[suzie]

45. Maybe he's good at predicting in New England.

And at understanding the impact of female turnout.

[Phoebe Loosinhouse]

7. Buzz, signs, bumper stickers, tweets do not translate into votes

Remember Sarah Palin. No one had bigger buzz than she did and yet Red States turned blue.

[fugop]

8. Hmmmm....

Probably just wants to be the guy who gets it right, because apparently, no matter how wrong you are as a pollster, you continue to get paid by someone who wants to push a narrative!

But, that being said, for once I'm hoping he gets a TON of acclaim tomorrow for being the one guy who said she'd pull it off!

[KingFlorez]

9. Who knows? Maybe he's right this time

[ChairmanAgnostic]

10. LOL. warn us to put down the coffee, next time.

[Teaser]

11. fuck

I can't go with the world's worst pollster.

[Teaser]

12. This is a bid to restore his rep.

Seriously. He can't look any more the clown than he already does. So being wrong won't hurt him. If he calls it right, though, he looks like a genius and is the darling of the village again.

[FreakinDJ]

13. Polls all over the place - PROVES Election Fraud eminent

The Diebold Fix is in

[Teaser]

27. on sweet lord

tell me how they fix the polls? How do they determine who polling orgs call?

[democrattotheend]

14. Did they poll it?

Yes, I know, they are the ones who did that ridiculous New Hampshire poll with Obama up by 10, but there have been other times when Zogby was right and other pollsters were wrong. Like, they predicted Hillary winning PA by 10 when a lot of pollsters had it much closer.

Zogby sometimes does nightly tracking, and often theirs is the last poll conducted and thus the most reflective of the shifts. I don't know why, but I feel like there's a good chance she will win, and I feel like we could be seeing another New Hampshire. Zogby is often contrarian but not always wrong that way.

[ObamaKerryDem]

40. I agree. n/t

[nevergiveup]

15. Damn, now I have given up all hope.

[Clio the Leo]

Wish we'd been able to hear him explain WHY he felt this way. NT

[doc03]

17. The talking points are already out in case Coakley wins, I heard

a Repug this morning say that Acorn will steal the election for the Democrats.

[jn2375]

18. DONT CLICK ON VIDEO!!! picked up computer virus when I did

warning

[jefferson_dem]

21. The link is fine.

The only virus on the video is Hannity...

[Phx_Dem]

34. lol

[Phx_Dem]

19. The kiss of death.

[fugop]

23. Intrade ...

Posted on the Twitter thread too about this: Intrade is swinging a little. Probably nothing but last-minute buyers hoping for a lucky score, but still ... Martha's up 10, Brown's down 10. He's still way ahead, but the movement is at least nice.

[SemiCharmedQuark]

24. World's Worst Pollster? Ugh.

[Blasphemer]

25. Even a broken clock..... etc etc nt

[Perky]

26. KOD

Kiss of Death lol

[Cali_Democrat]

28. UH OH!!!

Coakley is now finished.

Zogby's KISS OF DEATH!!!

:mad:

[FVZA_Colonel]

33. Pretty much my thought.

I mean, he could be right, but still... track record and all.

[Tailormyst]

29. please let him be right, please let him be right!

[AlinPA]

30. I'll never forget that on the day before the election, he picked Kerry to win in OH.

[alcibiades_mystery]

31. It's all over

:-)

[Arkana]

32. Well, that's it--Brown's a sure thing now.

Zogby sucks ass.

[Thrill]

35. Damn. Thats not good news for her.

.

[rocktivity]

36. Now it's official--SHE'S DOOMED!!!!

:cry:
rocktivity

[Obamacare]

39. Keep hope alive folks

Zog could be right this time, we shall see!!

[AspenRose]

38. Ruh roh

[Clio the Leo]

41. Shew! He's walked it back...

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2010/01/19/zogby-senate-race-prediction-just-a-hunch/

[HughMoran]

44. We're all intimately familiar with Zogby's "hunches"

We're doomed.





lol

[LeftyAndProud60]

42. That guy is worse that Rasmussen(sp?). He's always wrong. NT

[HughMoran]

43. Worst news all day

lol - Zogby is a DU troll :rofl: