Is it safe to say that we won't know the full impact of the HC bill until 2020 or so?

[Change Happens]

I am talking about the impact on individuals' life...costs, benefits, affordability, hospitals, doctors, insurance companies...etc.

[ShortnFiery]

1. Perhaps IF the MIC hasn't bankrupted our nation through endless warmongering. eom

[jefferson_dem]

2. Nope.

Many of the provisions (especially regulations on industry) take effect immediately. So people will know the impact soon after POTUS signs it into law.

[havocmom]

3. I'll be watching for Insurance execs & lobbyists' bonuses this year

and the number of pols, their spouses and aids getting cushy jobs in the 'private' sector in the next 18 months

Curious, what sorta bonus is Mrs. Lieberman gonna get this year. We should have a DU pool on that one.

[Oregone]

4. " full impact "

And I agree with the OP. A lot of this is theory, and there are counter-arguments for each point. We have no idea what the private market impact will be of mandated commercial activity and regulated loss ratios. The demand curve is most certainly going to be augmented with subsidized, compulsory insurance. "Affordability" could slip right through everyone's fingers with this "uniquely American" model (and with it, access to actual care)

[Clio the Leo]

5. Do you have children?

Might they ever get sick?

There's your answer.

[Oregone]

6. " full impact "

People are really bad at reading today.

There is no way to know what the full private market impact will be whatsoever, or even what the political impact will be in response to that. Pair the market impact with low actuarial plans, and you could end up with a lot of huffing and puffing and no real progress.

[Change Happens]

7. Yes, I do have a daughter, my favorite thing in this bill is that she can stay on the policy until

she is 25-26...And will never be dropped!!!

[Jennicut]

8. Some things will be felt very quickly and others will take time to kick in.