Jack Murtha's seat- PA-12 special election - what do you think?

[Beaverhausen]

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/right-now/2010/05/the_dccc_wants_us_to_watch_pa-.html

The DCCC wants us to watch PA-12

I've been picking up signs of Democratic optimism about the special election in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, which was left vacant by the death of John Murtha (D). A quick rundown:

- This is the only district that the Cook Political Report has moved toward the Democrats in the past month -- a "lean GOP" rating was softened to "tossup."

- Public Policy Polling, a North Carolina firm, released a survey Monday showing Republican candidate Tim Burns leading Democratic candidate Mark Critz by only one point, 48 to 47. I noticed some conservative blogs reporting that Burns had "moved into the lead," but that result actually represented a six-point bump for Critz and only a four-point bump for Burns since the last poll.

- Critz, while not burdened with a surplus of charisma, has made no significant gaffes and has worked his ties to Murtha (he was his district director) as hard as they could have been worked. He is not, in other words, Martha Coakley.

more at the link

This is the only rep-dem match-up tomorrow.

[AlinPA]

1. It looks like Burns will take it. Huge TV ad program, and Critz comes across as

less charismatic than Burns. Burns' ads are all anti-Pelosi, anti-administration, teabagger oriented.

[spinbaby]

2. Hard to tell

Burns definitely comes off as a right-wing nutjob.

[Drunken Irishman]

3. There was a poll a few days ago that had Critz with a decent lead.

http://pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/westmoreland/s_680706.html

[Beaverhausen]

4. any news yet?

[KingFlorez]

5. With 2 Precincts Reporting

CRITZ, MARK S. (DEM)

220 52.9%

BURNS, TIM (REP)

192 46.2%

AGORIS, DEMO (LIB)

4 1.0%

[KingFlorez]

6. Updated: 15 Precincts Reporting

CRITZ, MARK S. (DEM)

1,095 58.1%
BURNS, TIM (REP)

742 39.3%
AGORIS, DEMO (LIB)

49 2.6%

http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ElectionsInformation.aspx?FunctionID=13&ElectionID=35&OfficeID=11