KY-Sen: Paul Leads Conway by 3

[ccharles000]

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (5/24-26, likely voters, 5/10-12 in parens):

Jack Conway (D): 41 (39)
Rand Paul (R): 44 (42)
Undecided: 15 (19)
(MoE: ±4%)

Coming off a close primary victory, Jack Conway is more beat up than Rand Paul, holding a favorable rating of 48-43 compared to Paul's 53-33, but he's still holding the line reasonably well. Conway wins among Dem voters by 75-7 but is losing independents by 31-42. The congressional district breakdowns are interesting, too, with Conway winning only the Louisville-based 3rd CD (by 63-26) and pulling a 43-43 draw in Ben Chandler's 6th District. Conway's weakest spot is the Western/Central-based 2nd CD (which contains Paul's home base of Bowling Green), where he loses to Paul by 24-54.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6983/kysen-paul-leads-conway-by-3

[JI7]

1. why ?

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Because it's Kentucky.

[pinto]

3. Looks like a turn out the vote situation.

:kick:

[CalGator]

4. Just keep the neophyte Rand on TV

He was wise to cancel TV appearances after the "I'm a libertarian... sometimes... but especially when it comes to businesses being able to discriminate" appearance. If Conway can go "tora tora tora" on Paul in the only for-sure TV appearance left when they debate before the election, Conway's got a good shot at this thing.

[ingac70]

5. Before Rand ran his mouth....

he had a 20 pt. advantage. This looks great to me.

[agentS]

6. keep talking, Rand. And keep hiring those Stormfront fuckwits

At this rate, you'll be just like your daddy- stuck on the margins, voting NO on everything, only in your case, it will be from the ballot box.