Albuqurque Journal Poll of NM: GOP ahead in Gov race/ Dems lead in two key house races

[WI_DEM]

Research and Polling Inc for the Albuquerque Journal
8/23-27/10; 942 likely voters, 3% margin of error
402 likely 1st district voters, 5% margin of error
404 likely 2nd district voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Albuquerque Journal: Governor, District 1, District 2)

New Mexico

2010 Governor
45% Martinez (R), 39% Denish (D) (chart)

2010 Congress: District 1
47% Heinrich (D), 41% Barela (R)

2010 Congress: District 2
45% Teague (D), 42% Pearce (R)

[AspenRose]

1. Has Sarah shown up to "help" Martinez yet?

I can't believe incumbent Denish is behind...what's going on there..?

[nmbluesky]

2. I don't like Sususan Martinez..

She is a true lousy Governor and liar..

I hope Denish would win. oh come vote for Denish in New Mexico..

[AspenRose]

3. Any thoughts on why Martinez is ahead?

[nmbluesky]

4. Well

because of Southern New Mexico that Where she from... because Southern NM is a mostly Red
Northern New Mexico is stronge blue.. the Central New Mexico is modernly red/blue..

[AspenRose]

5. I used to live in NM

So you would guess it's because the southern part of the state is more motivated to vote?

Or is it that the purple middle is undecided?

[nmbluesky]

6. That's correct and another problem is

She is A.G for Las Cruces. I don't trust Martinez.. well ... I'm from northern NM, :)

[AspenRose]

7. Maybe Patricia Madrid should have run

She's originally from southern NM and a Democrat. I don't know if she could have beat Denish in a primary, though, with Denish being the incumbent...Madrid almost beat Heather Wilson

[nmbluesky]

9. I don't think so Patrica Madrid would beat Martinez

because I watched Wilson and Madird debate. She looked so weak and costly to Wilson win! As I said, I blame Gov. Richardson a bit.
We will see in NOV, Glad that about two Districts. District 2 is not easy...

[FBaggins]

8. Some good and some bad news there.

Gov is obviously a disappointment, but in line with some other recent polling. I'm actually happier with NM-2 than I am with NM-1. The 2nd is expected to be a tough seat, but our guy is ahead and both are well-known. If this is going to be a "wave" election we would obviously lose both districts, but I wouldn't expect to see a three point lead if there really is a wave out there.

OTOH, NM-2 isn't supposed to be a tossup race. 47-41 is closer than I'm comfortable with for a seat that is supposed to be likely-D.