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POLLS: KY-SEN: Conway 46, Paul 46. FL-SEN: Rubio 36, Crist 34, Meek 24. CA-SEN: Boxer 48, Fiorina 44

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:22 PM
Original message
POLLS: KY-SEN: Conway 46, Paul 46. FL-SEN: Rubio 36, Crist 34, Meek 24. CA-SEN: Boxer 48, Fiorina 44
Edited on Wed Sep-08-10 03:29 PM by jefferson_dem
CNN/Time Poll: KY Senate race all tied up
Posted: September 8th, 2010 04:13 PM ET

A new poll indicates that the battle for Kentucky's open Senate seat is dead even.
(CNN) - A new poll indicates that the battle for Kentucky's open Senate seat is dead even.

According to a new CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation survey of registered voters in Kentucky, 46 percent support Republican nominee Rand Paul, with an equal amount saying they back Democratic nominee Jack Conway. Five percent of those questioned say they'd vote for neither candidate if the general election were held today, and four percent have no opinion.

"Not surprisingly, Paul is winning among conservatives by more than 40 points," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "But Conway has a 22-point advantage among moderates."

Paul holds an 11 point advantage among independent voters, according to the survey.

Paul, an eye surgeon and the son of former GOP presidential hopeful and Texas Rep. Ron Paul, defeated Kentucky Sec. of State Trey Grayson in a divisive primary. Paul enjoyed the support of many in Tea Party movement, while Grayson was backed by many establishment Republicans.

Conway, Kentucky's secretary of state, topped Lt. Governor Don Mongiardo in a bitter primary contest.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/09/08/cnntime-poll-ky-senate-race-all-tied-up/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fcnn_politicalticker+%28Blog%3A+Political+Ticker%29


CNN/Time Poll: Heated battle for Florida Senate
Posted: September 8th, 2010 04:14 PM ET

(CNN) - A new poll indicates that the three way-battle for Florida's open Senate seat, arguably the most fascinating Senate contest this year, is deadlocked at the top.

And according to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation survey of registered voters in Florida, the Democrat holds a seven point advantage in the gubernatorial fight.

In the Senate contest, 36 percent of people questioned say they support Republican nominee and former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio, with 34 percent backing Republican Gov. Charlie Crist, who earlier this year dropped his bid for the GOP Senate nomination and is now running as an independent candidate. Twenty-four percent say if the election were held today, they'd vote for Rep. Kendrick Meek, the Democratic nominee, with three percent saying they vote for none of the candidates and three percent holding no opinion.

"A three-way race is producing a three-way split among Florida voters," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Meek wins majority support among Democrats while Rubio picks up seven in ten Republicans. Among Independents, it's Crist with 45 percent, distantly followed by Rubio with 29 percent and Meek with only 16 percent of Independents."

The survey also indicates a geographical divide.

"Crist is doing best in the Tampa Bay area and along the southern Gulf Coast. Meek does best in the Miami area. Rubio's best region is the northern part of the state, including the Panhandle."

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/09/08/cnntime-poll-heated-battle-for-florida-senate/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fcnn_politicalticker+%28Blog%3A+Political+Ticker%29



In California, incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer, a Democrat, is leading Republican Carly Fiorina, a former Hewlett Packard CEO, by a margin of 48% to 44%. And former eBay CEO Meg Whitman is struggling to break away from former Governor Jerry Brown, a Democrat, in the race to replace Arnold Schwarzenegger at the helm of the Golden State. She leads him 48% to 46%, well inside the margin of error.

Read more: http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,2016815,00.html#ixzz0yyJuSJ1D
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
1. The Ole Horse Race.
I'm surprised it still works.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
2. thanks for posting! That's much better in KY than the Survey USA poll giving Paul a 15-point lead.
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Bleacher Creature Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Survey USA has been really GOP friendly lately. NT
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:31 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. Definitely better...
My one caveat is that these polls do not use a "likely voter" screen... so "enthusiasm" may not be accounted for.

Nonetheless, I'll take it.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:34 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. yes, I wonder what the likely voter numbers would be, but our goal should be to work to gotv
among all registered voters if we do--the dem majority will survive. If we don't it may not.
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Beetwasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:27 PM
Response to Original message
3. That's A Nice Jump For Meek!
And that KY race is real opportunity for a pick up. These are decent numbers going into election season.
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:27 PM
Response to Original message
5. Meek will prevail in NOV...the Pubs are crashing due to their Lies. Honesty is not their bes Policy
If ya can't TRUST THEM.....Bust Um....
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The Backlash Cometh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:34 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. Meek can take down Charlie Crist if he really wants this.
I guess we'll all find out how badly he wants it.
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Meek is not like them GOP Whackos...he will be victorious
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
7. I'm breathing a bit easier about California, too. Brown within 2-points of Whitman despite all the
Edited on Wed Sep-08-10 03:32 PM by WI_DEM
$$ she's spent is good news.
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The Backlash Cometh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
8. Since the support for the Florida candidates are so regional, it matters
where the calls were made to come up with these numbers.
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Mz Pip Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
12. I've always thought of summer polling
as not that accurate. People don't often start paying attention until after Labor day.

I hope Brown can overcome Buy It Now Meg. I also hope that all these millions she's spent has done something to benefit our abyssmal economy.

This gives me some hope that November won't be the disaster for the Dems that the pundits keep predicting.
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BolivarianHero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
13. People would actually rather Fiorina than Boxer?
She makes Linda McMahon look good.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 03:42 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Considering that she spent a wad of $$ all summer while Brown spent none on TV ads
and he's still statistically tied is actually good news, I think. Brown has saved his $$ for the fall campaign and is now beginning to run his ads.
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Ken Burch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. Are you sure...we haven't seen Carly in WWE gear!
n/t.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 04:51 PM
Response to Original message
15. Polls
Conway has a real shot In KT.

In florida Meek Is actully Improving.Getting In the 20's Is the best he has done In awhile.Rubio and Crist are basiclly In a dead
heat.The question Is will Democrats stay with Meek or jump over to Crist to keep Rubio out of the Senate.

It will be close In California but I thik Boxer will pull this out.And I Believe Brown will preveil.Whitman has spent a fortune trying to buy the Governship In California while Brown has been waiting for the fall to spend his money and yet they are In dead
heat.
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Ramulux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
16. Hell yeah!
Those Kentucky numbers are beautiful. If we can flip Kentucky, thee is no way they will take the senate. Go Conway!
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golfguru Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-10 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
18. Toe sucker Dick Morris is predicting "epic disaster"
He is predicting both senate & house will fall to GOP.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2010/09/08/_an_epic_dem_disaster_107066.html

Dick, did Hannity pay you for this prediction? How can I bet against you?
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