(R)asmussen Poll--CT Governorship: Malloy (D) 46% Foley (R) 39%

[WI_DEM]

(This would be a Dem pick-up).

Rasmussen
9/9/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Connecticut

2010 Governor
46% Malloy (D), 39% Foley (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Thomas Foley: 51 / 40
Dan Malloy: 62 / 30

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 55 / 44 (chart)
Gov. Rell: 59 / 41 (chart)

www.pollster.com

[Robbins]

1. Remember

Malloy was behind Lamont In polls and beat him by double diget.Malloy could have a even larger lead.Connecticut Is going to be a
state with good news for Democrats on Election night.Keeping Dodd's seat In the senate and picking up the Governorship.

[NewJeffCT]

3. I'm more nervous about Blumenthal, though

I've never seen a campaign spend as freely as McMahon. I'm a long-time registered Democrat and I get 2-3 glossy multi-page mailings from her each week.

[Kdillard]

4. Even with all the money she has spent the polls still show her behind. Blumenthal is extremely

Popular and unless the polls start showing a dramatic change he is in good shape. The governorship is excellent news.

[NewJeffCT]

5. The lead has been shrinking, though

It's gone from 25 to 20 to 17 to 10 to 7 over the past 6 months or so.

[sharp_stick]

7. Blumenthal is up to nine according to the most

recent (R)as poll.

http://www.journalinquirer.com/articles/2010/09/13/politics_and_government/doc4c8e267ff2bbb001571867.txt

With the amount of cash McMahon has already spent going after Blumenthal, she never really campaigned against any puke in the primary, I'd be surprised to see her get much closer.

If she hasn't been able to define him yet, she's probably not going to be able to do it now. All her ads now seem to be a bunch of Gold Coast Republican Stepford wives telling everyone that Linda's a nice person.

[Kdillard]

8. Honestly I never thought his lead was going to

remain that high given how nasty the campaign has been. He has weathered two mini storms and with all the money she has spent to run against him I think he is in good shape unless there are changes in any upcoming polls.

[Drunken Irishman]

11. Leads shrink, tho.

That's the political nature. Don't ever expect a candidate to dominate an entire election cycle. It happens, just not often. Not unless the candidate is someone who consistently wins his seat over and over again. Even then, in an environment like this, it isn't necessarily a given (look at Boxer in California).

The lead was bound to shrink when the campaign started. The fact he's lost maybe ten points in six months ain't bad at all.

My guess, the polls will settle in the next few weeks and his margin will stay around 5-10 points.

Which is a win.

[NewJeffCT]

2. Good news for Malloy

But, Foley has a lot of money to spend, while Malloy has the public financing. He's not as rich as McMahon, though.

[Jennicut]

6. I don't see Malloy losing this race. We have not had a Dem Gov. here since

I was 10! It has been 24 years. We are due and Foley is a really bad candidate.

[NewJeffCT]

9. RIP Bill O'Neill

Who realized at the time that the first time I voted for governor (1986) would be the last time a Democrat was elected as governor of CT?

[Jennicut]

12. I know! I guess Weicker was more on the Dem side then the Repub side

looking back on it. In 1986, I couldn't vote as I was in the 5th grade but I did vote from 1996 on. I detested Roland. Rell seemed to at least be better ethically and is a moderate Repub by the country's standards but I want a Dem, finally, after all these years.

[NewJeffCT]

10. kick for the rare good news

would be interesting if Malloy won.

[Dawson Leery]

13. k/r

Malloy and Blumenthal should win by sizable margins.