SUSA--MN Gov--Dayton (D) 38% Emmer (R) 36% Horner (I) 18%

[WI_DEM]

SurveyUSA
9/12-14/10; 656 likely voters, 3.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)

Minnesota

2010 Governor
38% Dayton (D), 36% Emmer (R), 18% Horner (I) (chart)

www.pollster.com

[sadbear]

1. Is SUSA trying to compete with Rasmussen?

Their polls are becoming very pro-republican.

[WI_DEM]

2. And they have the GOP candidate leading in the twin cities.

[Bitwit1234]

3. That's the only place he would win and if they don't clean

up the electronic voting machines there, they will give Emmer an overwhelming victory. They did it with Phewlenty. They wait til the very last minute before reporting their totals. And then they miraculously post just enough votes to give the republican the win. There is no way in hell that Green lost over 100,000 votes in Minneapolis and Phewlenty took the lead and won the governor ship. But it happened. How do you think Bachmann wins other than a gerrymander district. At the State Fair practically all the people interviewed from her district say they won't vote for her again. BUT what you want to bet she pulls out enough votes to overcome Clarks total. Til they break up the district next year it will continue to happen. And Dayton will win. Emmer hasn't got a chance. This poll is screwed around.

[Hansel]

4. I think the recount of Al Franken's election showed there

was not an overwhelming voting machine issue in Minnesota. It just didn't show up.

[DFLforever]

6. Completely unlikely.

Ellison carried the 5th District (largely Minneapolis) with 71 % of the
vote and Betty McCollum won the 4th District (largely St Paul) with
68%.

What could hurt Dayton badly is the defection of voters to Horner. Horner's trying to position himself as the moderate between the right and left extremes.

This is the customary route for Republicans like Pawlenty to get elected governor in this state. Indies are a considerable number in MN (we have no party registration) and love to vote third party. That's how Pawlenty got elected twice with less than 50% of the vote.

[Hansel]

5. Emmer isn't even popular with Republicans in the state.

However, Horner was just endorsed by a moderate former Republican governor who was popular with both Republicans and Democrats. Horner is pulling votes from both it looks like if this poll is true. I hope Democrats wake up when they realize Horner can't win. This is why Republicans keep winning the governorship. If Emmer gets in he will absolutely destroy this state, which is already on the decline after Pawlenty's 8 years.

[Odin2005]

7. With Horner I'm hoping the Indies spoil the Pukes instead of spoiling us.

Previous Indie senator and governor candidates got more Dem-leaning than Puke-leaning independent voters, IIRC.