New Poll: IL Senate: Kirk 39% Giannoulias 36%

[book_worm]

This is a seat I think we can win, and I think President Obama could be a big help--in his home state.

We Ask America
9/13/10; 1,379 likely voters, 2.6% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(We Ask America release)

Illinois

2010 Senate
39% Kirk (R), 36% Giannoulias (D), 4% Jones (G), 2% Labno (L) (chart)

www.pollster.com

According to their release more dems are undecided than reps, so Giannoulias has room to grow, obviously.

[tritsofme]

1. I never would have guessed that Brady could almost walk away with the governor's mansion

But that Giannoulias would keep the Senate race competitive.

It really is a shame that Blago has made Quinn so toxic, he is a good man.

[Dawson Leery]

2. Is Quinn in that bad of a position?

[tritsofme]

3. Nate Silver estimates Brady has a 90% chance of victory.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/governor/illinois

It looks pretty bad. Quinn's numbers are in the garbage.

[Dawson Leery]

4. Even though he did nothing wrong?

[seattleblue]

6. As someone who grew up in Chicago

I remember Quinn making his bones attacking the Daley Democrats and the 'machine'. Now the machine gets its revenge as they walk away from him.

[karynnj]

5. We Ask America has had strange results before (they seem to poll just IL)

here is a swingstate look at their polling. http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6672/on-those-we-ask-america-illinois-polls They have been more Republican than Rassmussen. (they had Kirk at +6 on August 4 - link to real clear - so all the numbers can be seen - http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/il/illinois_senate_giannoulias_vs_kirk-1092.html

I have always been skeptical of claims that a poll is biased, but that appears to be the case with them.