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Gallup Latest Generic Ballot Shows Virtual Tie: Dems 46%, R's 45%. R's Losing Strength.

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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:31 PM
Original message
Gallup Latest Generic Ballot Shows Virtual Tie: Dems 46%, R's 45%. R's Losing Strength.
Edited on Mon Sep-20-10 04:36 PM by flpoljunkie
Generic Ballot Virtually Tied: Democrats 46%, Republicans 45%

Republicans losing strength in September compared with August

by Frank Newport

PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup's generic ballot for Congress for the week of Sept. 13-19 shows a 46% Democratic and 45% Republican split in registered voters' preferences for the midterm congressional elections. It is the second week out of the last three in which the two parties have been virtually tied.



Gallup's tracking shows a shift from a 49% to 43% Republican advantage in August to a 46% to 45% GOP advantage so far in September. Both of these estimates are based on very large samples, with more than 7,000 interviews conducted in August and more than 5,600 so far in September.



Regardless of these modest shifts in voting intentions, Republicans remain significantly more likely than Democrats to say they are "very" enthusiastic about voting in this year's midterm elections.



The enthusiasm gap this past week was 19 percentage points, with 47% of Republicans very enthusiastic about voting, compared with 28% of Democrats. Republicans have enjoyed at least a 10-point advantage on this measure since Gallup began tracking congressional election preferences in March, including margins of 16 points or higher since August.

Given this continuing enthusiasm gap between Republicans and Democrats, even a tie in registered voters' preferences will almost certainly mean the Republicans will garner the most votes on Election Day.

for Gallup Bottom Line...

http://www.gallup.com/poll/143132/Generic-Ballot-Virtually-Tied-Democrats-Republicans.aspx
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Phx_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
1. Looks like they may have peaked too early. Again.
Let's hope so!!

They're idiots. They think it's great to do a bunch of big rallies during the summer when they get lots of cable coverage because there is usually nothing else going on. The problem is, people are on vacation and just generally not paying attention to politics during the summer. So their rallies play to the bozos on cable news, but no one else! Dumbshits. :evilgrin:
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impik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
2. If Democrats won't go to vote, we deserve to lose it all
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Who cares about 'enthusiasm?' Just vote or it's Bush Redux! Or maybe worse!
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
4. President Obama's very public campaigning is obviously having an effect. nt
Edited on Mon Sep-20-10 04:38 PM by ClarkUSA
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Lilyeye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
5. This is GREAT news. I hope this continues into the elections.
I think the possibility of having tea party candidates is scaring the public like some have predicted. I still won't take this for granted though and will vote.
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SomeGuyInEagan Donating Member (872 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
6. Not surprising ... still not an election victory.
Now that people are going to start paying attention, time to inform them ... and get them to the voting booth.
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Lilyeye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Exactly.
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Blue Owl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:43 PM
Response to Original message
7. I've never believed for one second
that the GOP was even ahead.

Only in Tuck Chodd's wet dream were the Repukes ever in the lead.
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
9. I really don't think these generic polls...
mean anything.....would not look into the numbers all that much....need to pay attention to the polls for each matchup.
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 04:53 PM
Response to Original message
10. Come on, GOPers, spiral down.
Don't figure you've hit bottom until you're sitting on a sidewalk with a bottle of cheap booze and vomit on your clothes.

;-)
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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 05:17 PM
Response to Original message
11. We need a double digit lead, there's a lot of work to do.
Critically, we must consolidate bases, mobilize youth and people of color and labor constituencies. We need the "ACORN spirit" in grass roots mobilization of masses of progressive and dispossessed voters.
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 06:07 PM
Response to Original message
12. Donate, canvass, rally, phonebank. Please, I am working all I can up in Maine. PLEASE HELP.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 06:12 PM
Response to Original message
13. Strange that the headline isn't, "Democrats take lead for first time in over 7 weeks"
They call it a "virtual tie" to minimize the fact that we're LEADING Repubs.
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budkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 06:35 PM
Response to Original message
14. Don't call it a comeback!
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 07:25 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. LL Cool J!
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