Six new House Polls--good news in LA--D leading in GOP district

[WI_DEM]

KY-06: Chandler internal poll has him dominant over GOP's Barr
If internal polling for veteran Democratic Rep. Ben Chandler is to be believed, the GOP can go ahead and scratch this race off of the target lists. The Mellman Group poll, conducted for Chandler's campaign, gives the incumbent a 53-33 lead over Republican Andy Barr. Given the somewhat inhospitable terrain (the 6th tends to favor GOP candidates at the presidential level), a lot of Republicans held out hope that Chandler would be vulnerable.

LA-02: Richmond's first internal poll puts him up ten on Cao
Democratic nominee Cedric Richmond has released his first internal poll, and it confirms the widely held perception that Republican incumbent Joseph Cao is among the most vulnerable incumbents in the nation. The Anzalone Liszt poll shows Richmond at 45% of the vote, with the GOP incumbent trailing with 35% of the vote. This New Orleans-based district, perhaps unsurprisingly, is one of the few GOP-held districts where close ties to President Obama will be a huge asset. The president has a job approval rating in the 70s here: THIS WOULD BE A DEM PICK-UP!!!!

RI-01/RI-02: Democrats hold solid leads in both races
If Mason-Dixon has gone wall-to-wall in Idaho, former college professor Victor Profughi's polling firm (Quest Research) has done the same for Rhode Island. The pollster sees Democratic holds in both races in the state. In the open seat 1st district (which has been on some Republican target lists, given the climate this year), Quest has Democrat David Cicilline well ahead of Republican John Laughlin (49-26). The pollster also gives longtime Dem incumbent Jim Langevin what is described as a "commanding lead" in his battle to keep the 2nd district in Democratic hands.

Down (but gaining) but not out:

VA-05: Dem internal has Perriello within striking distance
For the second time this month, a Democratic poll has endangered incumbent Tom Perriello within striking distance of Republican challenger Rob Hurt in this red-leaning district in southern Virginia. The poll, conducted by Benenson Strategies, puts Hurt at 46% and Perriello at 44%. This closely mirrors an early September poll from Global Strategy Group, which also has the margin at two points (44-42). In this poll, right-leaning Indie candidate Jeffrey Clark is at 4% of the vote, still not a big factor in this race.

WA-03: Is Denny giving Herrera Heck? New internal poll says yes
The conventional wisdom in southwestern Washington is that Democrat Denny Heck is going to be hard-pressed to keep the swing 3rd district in the blue column in November. But Heck's own internal polling suggests that Heck is beginning to creep up on Republican nominee Jaime Herrera. The poll, from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, shows Herrera at 47% of the vote and Heck at 44% of the vote. While releasing an internal showing you losing is usually pretty bad form, the polling memo makes clear that this is a considerable improvement for Heck over previous public and internal polling.

www.dailykos.com

[bigdarryl]

1. starting to look like those wavering democrats are coming home and looking

at the crazy people the rethugs got running

[vaberella]

2. Cao totally lost it. I'm excited. n/t

[catgirl]

3. Great post. Thanks!

[LynneSin]

4. I'm excited that Delaware will be adding +1 to the Dem side

Urquahart isn't as nutty as O'Donnell but he's still entrenched in Tea Party rhetoric and bumped off another moderate Republican that might have had a chance against former Lt. Governor John Carney.

So Mike Castle (R) old seat will be switching to the Democrats.